Thank you for sharing! I also include @nclpolitics.bsky.social for its reference.

Thank you for sharing!

This paper was previously awarded the Best Paper Award in 2024 from @psaautocracy.bsky.social

Here are the award committee’s comments about the previous draft of this paper. Cheers 🥂

Overall, this article can bridge three strands of literature: (a) autocratization, (b) democratic attitudes, (c) transnational learning.

Like my recent publications and other works in my pipeline, this paper’s focus lies in the intersection of the three circles.

To test which expectation is correct, I re-use two European datasets collected amid Trump’s victory back in 2016. Findings?

🥁🥁🥁 Benchmark effect, though the magnitude is small

I also explore various kinds of heterogeneity effects. The one that I focus on is motivated reasoning through ideology

Another is benchmark effect: expecting SWD 📈. The benchmark effect can link to works on economic voting, Brexit, pandemic

One important resource that I use is De Vries’ book. The alternative state in the ref. country (autocratization) can serve as benchmark for citizens to evaluate their democracy

There are two effects we can think of for this research puzzle. One is contagion/domino effect: expecting SWD 📉 The theoretical underpinning can date back to Huntington’s seminal work “The Third Wave”