Cássio M Turra
@cassiomturra.bsky.social
8/ 📄 Read the full paper here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Demographic changes and intergenerational reallocations in Brazil, 2003–2018
This research explores the intergenerational distribution of income and consumption in the context of the global demographic transition, focusing on B…
www.sciencedirect.com
February 1, 2025 at 5:12 PM
8/ 📄 Read the full paper here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
7/ I’ve had the honor of being part of the NTA project since its inception in 2004, led by Ronald Lee (UC-Berkeley) and Andy Mason (East-West Center). Proud to see this framework growing and generating critical insights for policymakers worldwide.
February 1, 2025 at 5:12 PM
7/ I’ve had the honor of being part of the NTA project since its inception in 2004, led by Ronald Lee (UC-Berkeley) and Andy Mason (East-West Center). Proud to see this framework growing and generating critical insights for policymakers worldwide.
6/ This research contributes to the debate on fiscal sustainability and social policy in a rapidly aging Brazil.
Also, it's worth emphasizing that there is no project like NTA anywhere in the world. It is the only methodology that consistently measures all resource reallocations across generations.
Also, it's worth emphasizing that there is no project like NTA anywhere in the world. It is the only methodology that consistently measures all resource reallocations across generations.
February 1, 2025 at 5:12 PM
6/ This research contributes to the debate on fiscal sustainability and social policy in a rapidly aging Brazil.
Also, it's worth emphasizing that there is no project like NTA anywhere in the world. It is the only methodology that consistently measures all resource reallocations across generations.
Also, it's worth emphasizing that there is no project like NTA anywhere in the world. It is the only methodology that consistently measures all resource reallocations across generations.
5/ Education as an opportunity
Brazil has increased investments in education, which suggests a possible second demographic dividend—higher productivity in the future. But will it be enough? That remains to be seen.
Brazil has increased investments in education, which suggests a possible second demographic dividend—higher productivity in the future. But will it be enough? That remains to be seen.
February 1, 2025 at 5:12 PM
5/ Education as an opportunity
Brazil has increased investments in education, which suggests a possible second demographic dividend—higher productivity in the future. But will it be enough? That remains to be seen.
Brazil has increased investments in education, which suggests a possible second demographic dividend—higher productivity in the future. But will it be enough? That remains to be seen.
4/ The challenge of an aging society
In 2018, public spending on the elderly was nearly five times higher than spending on children. This imbalance is unmatched in any other NTA country, creating serious fiscal sustainability concerns as Brazil’s population ages.
In 2018, public spending on the elderly was nearly five times higher than spending on children. This imbalance is unmatched in any other NTA country, creating serious fiscal sustainability concerns as Brazil’s population ages.
February 1, 2025 at 5:12 PM
4/ The challenge of an aging society
In 2018, public spending on the elderly was nearly five times higher than spending on children. This imbalance is unmatched in any other NTA country, creating serious fiscal sustainability concerns as Brazil’s population ages.
In 2018, public spending on the elderly was nearly five times higher than spending on children. This imbalance is unmatched in any other NTA country, creating serious fiscal sustainability concerns as Brazil’s population ages.
3/ A persistent pattern
Back in the 1990s, in my master’s thesis supervised by Eduardo Rios-Neto at Cedeplar/UFMG, Brazil, we already observed that public transfers were disproportionately allocated to the elderly in Brazil. Now, 30 years later, this pattern remains—with a few important changes.
Back in the 1990s, in my master’s thesis supervised by Eduardo Rios-Neto at Cedeplar/UFMG, Brazil, we already observed that public transfers were disproportionately allocated to the elderly in Brazil. Now, 30 years later, this pattern remains—with a few important changes.
February 1, 2025 at 5:12 PM
3/ A persistent pattern
Back in the 1990s, in my master’s thesis supervised by Eduardo Rios-Neto at Cedeplar/UFMG, Brazil, we already observed that public transfers were disproportionately allocated to the elderly in Brazil. Now, 30 years later, this pattern remains—with a few important changes.
Back in the 1990s, in my master’s thesis supervised by Eduardo Rios-Neto at Cedeplar/UFMG, Brazil, we already observed that public transfers were disproportionately allocated to the elderly in Brazil. Now, 30 years later, this pattern remains—with a few important changes.
2/ This study is the first to compare two points in time (2003 & 2018) using a more consistent methodology for the National Transfer Accounts (NTA) in Brazil. It provides a clearer picture of how population aging and economic dynamics have shaped intergenerational resource allocation.
February 1, 2025 at 5:12 PM
2/ This study is the first to compare two points in time (2003 & 2018) using a more consistent methodology for the National Transfer Accounts (NTA) in Brazil. It provides a clearer picture of how population aging and economic dynamics have shaped intergenerational resource allocation.
é a velha desconexão entre o tempo político (muito mais de curto prazo) e o tempo demográfico (mesmo sendo rápido por aqui, é longo prazo). Seria bom mudarmos isso e passarmos a discutir melhor os cenários para as próximas décadas
September 6, 2024 at 4:32 PM
é a velha desconexão entre o tempo político (muito mais de curto prazo) e o tempo demográfico (mesmo sendo rápido por aqui, é longo prazo). Seria bom mudarmos isso e passarmos a discutir melhor os cenários para as próximas décadas
Considerando que não somos os melhores no planejamento de longo prazo - era esperado que fôssemos atropelados por uma transição demográfica rápida. Eu tenho insistido apenas num ponto: os demógrafos da UFMG tratam desse assunto desde os 1970. Muitos não prestaram atenção e agora estão "surpresos".
September 6, 2024 at 4:27 PM
Considerando que não somos os melhores no planejamento de longo prazo - era esperado que fôssemos atropelados por uma transição demográfica rápida. Eu tenho insistido apenas num ponto: os demógrafos da UFMG tratam desse assunto desde os 1970. Muitos não prestaram atenção e agora estão "surpresos".
... ao passo que por aqui, a mortalidade começou a cair, por ex, quando já se sabia bem mais sobre transmissão de doenças. Com uma intensidade de queda maior, todas as demais etapas da transição foram mais rápidas, incluindo a queda da fec (que aqui ainda se aproveitou do desenv dos contraceptivos)
September 6, 2024 at 4:22 PM
... ao passo que por aqui, a mortalidade começou a cair, por ex, quando já se sabia bem mais sobre transmissão de doenças. Com uma intensidade de queda maior, todas as demais etapas da transição foram mais rápidas, incluindo a queda da fec (que aqui ainda se aproveitou do desenv dos contraceptivos)
há uma questão primordial por trás da velocidade de transição: nos países que foram pioneiros, o tempo foi mais longo porque tanto a redução da mortalidade quanto da fecundidade aconteceu pari passu com as mudanças na saúde pública, tecnologia, economia, cultura e sistemas de difução de ideias...+
September 6, 2024 at 4:15 PM
há uma questão primordial por trás da velocidade de transição: nos países que foram pioneiros, o tempo foi mais longo porque tanto a redução da mortalidade quanto da fecundidade aconteceu pari passu com as mudanças na saúde pública, tecnologia, economia, cultura e sistemas de difução de ideias...+