casey briggs
@caseybriggs.com
numbers gremlin.
i invented ravioli
• do NOT contact me with unsolicited services or offers
i invented ravioli
• do NOT contact me with unsolicited services or offers
For the first time in decades, the Coalition has lost its perceived advantage on economic management, the Australian Election Study has found.
It shows the challenge ahead for the Liberals, who now need to regain their traditional strengths
My latest: www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
It shows the challenge ahead for the Liberals, who now need to regain their traditional strengths
My latest: www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
November 25, 2025 at 11:09 PM
For the first time in decades, the Coalition has lost its perceived advantage on economic management, the Australian Election Study has found.
It shows the challenge ahead for the Liberals, who now need to regain their traditional strengths
My latest: www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
It shows the challenge ahead for the Liberals, who now need to regain their traditional strengths
My latest: www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11...
Counting still underway but former KAP MP Nick Dametto has romped home in the election for Townsville mayor, with nearly 62% of the first preference vote on the current count. His replacement in state parliament will be chosen in a fortnight #qldpol
November 16, 2025 at 6:32 AM
Counting still underway but former KAP MP Nick Dametto has romped home in the election for Townsville mayor, with nearly 62% of the first preference vote on the current count. His replacement in state parliament will be chosen in a fortnight #qldpol
Seven candidates have nominated for the Queensland state seat of Hinchinbrook, with election day set for November 29. Full guide on the ABC News website coming soon
November 11, 2025 at 5:05 AM
Seven candidates have nominated for the Queensland state seat of Hinchinbrook, with election day set for November 29. Full guide on the ABC News website coming soon
the government now seems to be saying that Senators wouldn't need permission to use the bathroom under its proposed new standing order, but that's not what the motion on the notice paper says, unless they plan to amend it
November 4, 2025 at 1:15 AM
the government now seems to be saying that Senators wouldn't need permission to use the bathroom under its proposed new standing order, but that's not what the motion on the notice paper says, unless they plan to amend it
I'd be surprised if Marielle Smith's motion passes, but... if such a rule were to be agreed, is it genuinely enforceable? I am not a lawyer but this feels vaguely kidnapping-adjacent? Would Black Rod have to prevent senators from walking out one of the chambers many doors?
November 4, 2025 at 1:02 AM
I'd be surprised if Marielle Smith's motion passes, but... if such a rule were to be agreed, is it genuinely enforceable? I am not a lawyer but this feels vaguely kidnapping-adjacent? Would Black Rod have to prevent senators from walking out one of the chambers many doors?
loving this suggestion to remove the donkey vote advantage by printing ballots on round paper with a centre hole, and installing spindles into ballot booths to "facilitate spinning if needed". i suspect it will be deemed logistically impractical, but it would certainly make voting more whimsical
November 3, 2025 at 3:07 AM
loving this suggestion to remove the donkey vote advantage by printing ballots on round paper with a centre hole, and installing spindles into ballot booths to "facilitate spinning if needed". i suspect it will be deemed logistically impractical, but it would certainly make voting more whimsical
This is interesting: someone has told the parliamentary inquiry looking at the last federal election that they worked as a contractor for a party or a candidate and was paid for doorknocking, phone polling, and working outside pre-poll voting centres
November 3, 2025 at 2:12 AM
This is interesting: someone has told the parliamentary inquiry looking at the last federal election that they worked as a contractor for a party or a candidate and was paid for doorknocking, phone polling, and working outside pre-poll voting centres
The Paris Agreement requires Australia (and all countries) to submit nationally determined contributions (NDCs) every 5 years, that each should be an improvement on the previous and reflect the “highest possible ambition”
Does pegging the target to the OECD average satisfy that?
Does pegging the target to the OECD average satisfy that?
November 2, 2025 at 3:01 AM
The Paris Agreement requires Australia (and all countries) to submit nationally determined contributions (NDCs) every 5 years, that each should be an improvement on the previous and reflect the “highest possible ambition”
Does pegging the target to the OECD average satisfy that?
Does pegging the target to the OECD average satisfy that?
i do want this o'bahn schematic diagram as a full sized poster though
October 31, 2025 at 5:19 AM
i do want this o'bahn schematic diagram as a full sized poster though
all the pictures on the O'Bahn wikipedia page appear to be upwards of two decades old. Adelaide deserves better than this.
October 31, 2025 at 5:17 AM
all the pictures on the O'Bahn wikipedia page appear to be upwards of two decades old. Adelaide deserves better than this.
Per YouGov (and @dropout.tv), Kamala Harris won the hotel toiletry thief demographic 45-43.
Trump won 49-39 among Americans who never take unused toiletries from hotels
open.substack.com/pub/yougovam...
Trump won 49-39 among Americans who never take unused toiletries from hotels
open.substack.com/pub/yougovam...
August 17, 2025 at 10:29 PM
Per YouGov (and @dropout.tv), Kamala Harris won the hotel toiletry thief demographic 45-43.
Trump won 49-39 among Americans who never take unused toiletries from hotels
open.substack.com/pub/yougovam...
Trump won 49-39 among Americans who never take unused toiletries from hotels
open.substack.com/pub/yougovam...
... but there are more independents in the 'ungrouped' column and more independents in multi-candidate groups (like the Peter George group)
More than a quarter of all candidates are independents, a big jump on last year.
More than a quarter of all candidates are independents, a big jump on last year.
June 30, 2025 at 1:58 AM
... but there are more independents in the 'ungrouped' column and more independents in multi-candidate groups (like the Peter George group)
More than a quarter of all candidates are independents, a big jump on last year.
More than a quarter of all candidates are independents, a big jump on last year.
There are 161 candidates in Tasmania, slightly down on last year, but there's been a big drop in the number of ballot columns across the state, and a big jump in the number of independent candidates.
That'll make for simpler ballots for most voters...
www.abc.net.au/news/electio...
That'll make for simpler ballots for most voters...
www.abc.net.au/news/electio...
June 30, 2025 at 1:58 AM
There are 161 candidates in Tasmania, slightly down on last year, but there's been a big drop in the number of ballot columns across the state, and a big jump in the number of independent candidates.
That'll make for simpler ballots for most voters...
www.abc.net.au/news/electio...
That'll make for simpler ballots for most voters...
www.abc.net.au/news/electio...
June 11, 2025 at 9:01 AM
Here's the full statement from Government House:
June 10, 2025 at 8:45 AM
Here's the full statement from Government House:
This is the error in Tasmania's supply bill that delayed passage and means the Premier is visiting the Governor after sunset.
That "28,862" should've been "26,862", a $2 million typo #politas
That "28,862" should've been "26,862", a $2 million typo #politas
June 10, 2025 at 7:36 AM
This is the error in Tasmania's supply bill that delayed passage and means the Premier is visiting the Governor after sunset.
That "28,862" should've been "26,862", a $2 million typo #politas
That "28,862" should've been "26,862", a $2 million typo #politas
I've been playing with sankey charts to see how seats in the lower house have been changing over time.
It's interesting to see the double defeat of the Coalition over two cycles and how big a mountain it is for them to return to power caseybriggs.substack.com/p/australias...
It's interesting to see the double defeat of the Coalition over two cycles and how big a mountain it is for them to return to power caseybriggs.substack.com/p/australias...
May 29, 2025 at 1:24 AM
I've been playing with sankey charts to see how seats in the lower house have been changing over time.
It's interesting to see the double defeat of the Coalition over two cycles and how big a mountain it is for them to return to power caseybriggs.substack.com/p/australias...
It's interesting to see the double defeat of the Coalition over two cycles and how big a mountain it is for them to return to power caseybriggs.substack.com/p/australias...
My "Fyre 2 is real" tshirt is raising a lot of questions already answered by the tshirt
April 18, 2025 at 5:39 AM
My "Fyre 2 is real" tshirt is raising a lot of questions already answered by the tshirt
We wanted to better understand how elections are won in Australia, how swing voters are changing, and how the tectonic plates of politics are shifting in this country
So here's something we've been working on.
Swingers: How To Win An Election.
Starting next Tuesday
So here's something we've been working on.
Swingers: How To Win An Election.
Starting next Tuesday
April 2, 2025 at 10:35 PM
We wanted to better understand how elections are won in Australia, how swing voters are changing, and how the tectonic plates of politics are shifting in this country
So here's something we've been working on.
Swingers: How To Win An Election.
Starting next Tuesday
So here's something we've been working on.
Swingers: How To Win An Election.
Starting next Tuesday
imo you don't get to make up lies in press releases no matter what the date is, so I trust the press gallery will hold The Greens accountable for this policy position in the next parliament
March 31, 2025 at 11:04 PM
imo you don't get to make up lies in press releases no matter what the date is, so I trust the press gallery will hold The Greens accountable for this policy position in the next parliament
ok but what does this have to do with the budget??
March 25, 2025 at 8:46 AM
ok but what does this have to do with the budget??
more than half the vote still to be reported but the combined major party primary vote in Werribee (outer western Melbourne) is currently about 56%.
Crowded field of candidates contributes a little to that, but still: woof.
Crowded field of candidates contributes a little to that, but still: woof.
February 8, 2025 at 10:59 AM
more than half the vote still to be reported but the combined major party primary vote in Werribee (outer western Melbourne) is currently about 56%.
Crowded field of candidates contributes a little to that, but still: woof.
Crowded field of candidates contributes a little to that, but still: woof.
THE MYSTERIOUS AFFAIR AT STYLES (1920)
January 15, 2025 at 8:23 AM
THE MYSTERIOUS AFFAIR AT STYLES (1920)
No Australian has ever said this sentence
January 1, 2025 at 10:48 AM
No Australian has ever said this sentence