In all seriousness, super grateful for all the amazing mentors, friends and colleagues that made this possible and very excited for the next (tenured) chapter! 🙏☺️

For those who actually want the paper, here is the real working link. The first was just a test! osf.io/zmv85

We hope it is the first of many similar collaborations to come! Check out the pre-print here: osf.io/preprints/so... /fin

We see this work as contribution to the burgeoning behavioral modeling literature and empirical studies in behavioral international relations. In general, this work highlights the complementarity of political psychology and formal theory for understanding conflict dynamics. 6/7

We also show that the effects of anger are self-regulating; anger cannot foster perpetual conflict, as individuals would adjust their expectations over time, thereby neutralizing the anger-triggering effect of bad outcomes. 5/7

While anger often incites more aggressive behavior, it can also reduce the informational impact of a group’s choices, decreasing the opposing group’s aggression due to muted informational repercussions of adverse outcomes. 4/7

In our model, anger arises when agents observe negative outcomes that fall short of initial expectations and then motivates actors to seek punitive actions, as they derive psychological satisfaction from the losses inflicted on others. This has nuanced effects on conflict. 3/7

In it, we develop a formal model of anger in political conflict, integrating the study of strategic conflict dynamics with empirically-grounded behavioral assumptions about how emotions shape preferences. 2/7