Treblig 🇺🇦
@camtreblig.bsky.social
Immigration lawyer & cat dad
Facts care about my feelings.
Facts care about my feelings.
Or indeed tell them “hey maybe do these kind of policies during an election when they might be salient, not just at random?”
November 15, 2025 at 3:06 PM
Or indeed tell them “hey maybe do these kind of policies during an election when they might be salient, not just at random?”
(Any SpAd or pollster telling Mahmood and the government that Reform voters will even remember this policy, let alone reward them for it, in 4 years time needs their head examining)
November 15, 2025 at 2:09 PM
(Any SpAd or pollster telling Mahmood and the government that Reform voters will even remember this policy, let alone reward them for it, in 4 years time needs their head examining)
If we can’t have both, I’m definitely opting for (2) without (1) (aka the Gavin Newsom option)
November 15, 2025 at 2:06 PM
If we can’t have both, I’m definitely opting for (2) without (1) (aka the Gavin Newsom option)
The political arguments also just don’t make sense. If this was being announced in November 2028, you could at least say “ok this is a stunt for the general election in a few months”. Instead they’ve done it at a time when it serves no purpose whatsoever
November 15, 2025 at 2:03 PM
The political arguments also just don’t make sense. If this was being announced in November 2028, you could at least say “ok this is a stunt for the general election in a few months”. Instead they’ve done it at a time when it serves no purpose whatsoever
When it inevitably burns down, I think it’s guaranteed that conspiracy theories blaming it on outgroups will run riot
November 15, 2025 at 12:56 PM
When it inevitably burns down, I think it’s guaranteed that conspiracy theories blaming it on outgroups will run riot
(I’m only half joking, I think it’s guaranteed that the inevitable fire will immediately be subject to really frightening conspiracy theories)
November 15, 2025 at 12:54 PM
(I’m only half joking, I think it’s guaranteed that the inevitable fire will immediately be subject to really frightening conspiracy theories)
And if it’s after 2029, Prime Minister Farage can say it was burned down by transgender refugees using solar panels or whatever and introduce the Enabling Act 🙃
November 15, 2025 at 12:53 PM
And if it’s after 2029, Prime Minister Farage can say it was burned down by transgender refugees using solar panels or whatever and introduce the Enabling Act 🙃
(I’m paraphrasing as I can’t remember where I found it but not hugely)
November 15, 2025 at 11:45 AM
(I’m paraphrasing as I can’t remember where I found it but not hugely)
During my masters, I came across this fantastically sarcastic line in an academic journal: “British policymakers discovered, to their horror, that their quest to turn as many people as possible into British subjects had led them to accidentally making hundreds of millions of people British subjects”
November 15, 2025 at 11:44 AM
During my masters, I came across this fantastically sarcastic line in an academic journal: “British policymakers discovered, to their horror, that their quest to turn as many people as possible into British subjects had led them to accidentally making hundreds of millions of people British subjects”
Ok but what’s the point in introducing popular policies now? This is the period when they should be doing unpopular stuff that will benefit them by the time of the next election, not bingeing on empty calories
November 15, 2025 at 10:52 AM
Ok but what’s the point in introducing popular policies now? This is the period when they should be doing unpopular stuff that will benefit them by the time of the next election, not bingeing on empty calories
It’s not like they’ll even gain anything from it being popular either! If she announced this on the eve of a general election, I’d at least understand it as a cynical election stunt. But people won’t remember this in four years
November 15, 2025 at 10:45 AM
It’s not like they’ll even gain anything from it being popular either! If she announced this on the eve of a general election, I’d at least understand it as a cynical election stunt. But people won’t remember this in four years
It’s not. If the question is about whether this thing will be popular, then it’s relevant to point out that its consequences will cumulatively be even more unpopular than just doing nothing
November 15, 2025 at 10:43 AM
It’s not. If the question is about whether this thing will be popular, then it’s relevant to point out that its consequences will cumulatively be even more unpopular than just doing nothing
I am so fucking sick of having to point this out. These fucking morons have no ability to absorb new information and look at the evidence. They just regurgitate received wisdom and cliches, and have no ability to think about policies beyond “but poll number high”
November 15, 2025 at 10:39 AM
I am so fucking sick of having to point this out. These fucking morons have no ability to absorb new information and look at the evidence. They just regurgitate received wisdom and cliches, and have no ability to think about policies beyond “but poll number high”
If she is being told “this policy is like Brexit: short term it’ll be popular, but the consequences will be even more unpopular than the status quo” and her response is “great, let’s do it”, then I don’t know what to say
November 15, 2025 at 10:31 AM
If she is being told “this policy is like Brexit: short term it’ll be popular, but the consequences will be even more unpopular than the status quo” and her response is “great, let’s do it”, then I don’t know what to say
Ok but this isn’t the public doing it, it’s the Home Secretary. And while I don’t expect members of the public to do the necessary policy analysis, I do expect the Home Secretary to do some analysis of the possible consequences of policies she’s going to introduce!
November 15, 2025 at 10:28 AM
Ok but this isn’t the public doing it, it’s the Home Secretary. And while I don’t expect members of the public to do the necessary policy analysis, I do expect the Home Secretary to do some analysis of the possible consequences of policies she’s going to introduce!
These measures aren’t a deterrent against people coming here at all, they are a deterrent against people engaging with the system
November 15, 2025 at 10:22 AM
These measures aren’t a deterrent against people coming here at all, they are a deterrent against people engaging with the system
It’s somehow worse than that. The political consensus is not against people putting down roots here after fleeing war and strife, it’s (de facto) against them doing it through the formal channels.
The political consensus is, in effect, supportive of more illegal migration
The political consensus is, in effect, supportive of more illegal migration
November 15, 2025 at 10:20 AM
It’s somehow worse than that. The political consensus is not against people putting down roots here after fleeing war and strife, it’s (de facto) against them doing it through the formal channels.
The political consensus is, in effect, supportive of more illegal migration
The political consensus is, in effect, supportive of more illegal migration
Banning asylum seekers from working was also popular. And it directly led to asylum hotels, which is probably the most unpopular part of the asylum system and led to a summer of far-right riots.
There has to be some kind of analysis of policies beyond “but poll number high”
There has to be some kind of analysis of policies beyond “but poll number high”
November 15, 2025 at 10:09 AM
Banning asylum seekers from working was also popular. And it directly led to asylum hotels, which is probably the most unpopular part of the asylum system and led to a summer of far-right riots.
There has to be some kind of analysis of policies beyond “but poll number high”
There has to be some kind of analysis of policies beyond “but poll number high”
It would be very typical of this government to look how disgustingly racist Katie Lam’s plans were, and the backlash to them, and think “damn I wish we’d thought of that”
November 15, 2025 at 10:00 AM
It would be very typical of this government to look how disgustingly racist Katie Lam’s plans were, and the backlash to them, and think “damn I wish we’d thought of that”
It targets illegal migration in that it will create a lot more illegal migrants (these kinds of proposals are a direct incentive for people to disappear underground rather than engage with the system)
November 15, 2025 at 9:57 AM
It targets illegal migration in that it will create a lot more illegal migrants (these kinds of proposals are a direct incentive for people to disappear underground rather than engage with the system)