Caffeinated Mathematician
@caffemath.bsky.social
She’s fucking building margin with more Election Day votes lmao, wtf.
The GOP is so fucking cooked in November.
The GOP is so fucking cooked in November.
February 8, 2026 at 3:00 AM
She’s fucking building margin with more Election Day votes lmao, wtf.
The GOP is so fucking cooked in November.
The GOP is so fucking cooked in November.
Woke 2.0 racking up cultural victories this week
February 7, 2026 at 7:57 PM
Woke 2.0 racking up cultural victories this week
Shit, and with those provisionals there’s a chance he outright loses the remaining ballots in Morris.
Yeah, this is over unless a ton of Malinowski people sent their ballots out on Election Day and fuck up these estimates.
Yeah, this is over unless a ton of Malinowski people sent their ballots out on Election Day and fuck up these estimates.
February 7, 2026 at 6:33 PM
Shit, and with those provisionals there’s a chance he outright loses the remaining ballots in Morris.
Yeah, this is over unless a ton of Malinowski people sent their ballots out on Election Day and fuck up these estimates.
Yeah, this is over unless a ton of Malinowski people sent their ballots out on Election Day and fuck up these estimates.
I see, I guess that makes the drop marginally better for Malinowski since it’s from Essex and not Morris, but regardless he isn’t in a position to be losing ground right now.
Provisionals probably break Mejia meaning his last hope is to get giga margins out of late Morris mail, which looks unlikely
Provisionals probably break Mejia meaning his last hope is to get giga margins out of late Morris mail, which looks unlikely
February 7, 2026 at 6:22 PM
I see, I guess that makes the drop marginally better for Malinowski since it’s from Essex and not Morris, but regardless he isn’t in a position to be losing ground right now.
Provisionals probably break Mejia meaning his last hope is to get giga margins out of late Morris mail, which looks unlikely
Provisionals probably break Mejia meaning his last hope is to get giga margins out of late Morris mail, which looks unlikely
5k ballots are estimated to be left outstanding. These are provisionals that need to get screened and approved first and late mail ballots that still need to come in.
February 7, 2026 at 6:12 PM
5k ballots are estimated to be left outstanding. These are provisionals that need to get screened and approved first and late mail ballots that still need to come in.
Was that all from Morris? Cause if so I’d stick a knife in it. Mejia isn’t losing that lead.
February 7, 2026 at 5:10 PM
Was that all from Morris? Cause if so I’d stick a knife in it. Mejia isn’t losing that lead.
Republicans were so dumb to even begin this fight. Dems always had more potential to gain from gerrymandering cause they’re held back by commissions in half their states.
Now that Newsom paved the way for dealing with that issue, Republicans are fucked.
Now that Newsom paved the way for dealing with that issue, Republicans are fucked.
February 7, 2026 at 4:06 PM
Republicans were so dumb to even begin this fight. Dems always had more potential to gain from gerrymandering cause they’re held back by commissions in half their states.
Now that Newsom paved the way for dealing with that issue, Republicans are fucked.
Now that Newsom paved the way for dealing with that issue, Republicans are fucked.
So how did Obama win it in 2008 and 2012.
And how did Brown win two years after 2004.
And how did Brown win two years after 2004.
February 7, 2026 at 6:04 AM
So how did Obama win it in 2008 and 2012.
And how did Brown win two years after 2004.
And how did Brown win two years after 2004.
She does need an account here, but I like her on Twitter too to piss all the right people off
February 7, 2026 at 4:13 AM
She does need an account here, but I like her on Twitter too to piss all the right people off
Now I wouldn't call wasting a bunch of AIPAC's money "nothing."
February 6, 2026 at 9:55 PM
Now I wouldn't call wasting a bunch of AIPAC's money "nothing."
In this household we BELIEVE in a Republican collapse in Suburban Reno.
February 6, 2026 at 7:39 PM
In this household we BELIEVE in a Republican collapse in Suburban Reno.
Keep and eye on it. Math changes very quickly if Republicans struggle in the Reno Metro. Trump won it by a few points in ‘24.
February 6, 2026 at 7:03 PM
Keep and eye on it. Math changes very quickly if Republicans struggle in the Reno Metro. Trump won it by a few points in ‘24.
We believe in a Republican Reno Suburban collapse.
February 6, 2026 at 7:01 PM
We believe in a Republican Reno Suburban collapse.
GOP started a fight they couldn't finish.
They were always fucking dumb to pick this fight when Dems had so much more potential in places they were held back by commissions in. Newsom paving the way for CA, VA, WA, and CO to redraw is gonna mean Dems net gain seats in the long run.
They were always fucking dumb to pick this fight when Dems had so much more potential in places they were held back by commissions in. Newsom paving the way for CA, VA, WA, and CO to redraw is gonna mean Dems net gain seats in the long run.
February 6, 2026 at 6:33 PM
GOP started a fight they couldn't finish.
They were always fucking dumb to pick this fight when Dems had so much more potential in places they were held back by commissions in. Newsom paving the way for CA, VA, WA, and CO to redraw is gonna mean Dems net gain seats in the long run.
They were always fucking dumb to pick this fight when Dems had so much more potential in places they were held back by commissions in. Newsom paving the way for CA, VA, WA, and CO to redraw is gonna mean Dems net gain seats in the long run.
Honestly yeah. Just get turbo blown the fuck out and than say “How could the Dems have possibly won Wyoming? FRAUD!”
February 6, 2026 at 4:57 PM
Honestly yeah. Just get turbo blown the fuck out and than say “How could the Dems have possibly won Wyoming? FRAUD!”
Literally all they're good for is having a centralized place to watch all the results come in on election night for big and small races. Leave the calls to the adults.
February 6, 2026 at 4:03 AM
Literally all they're good for is having a centralized place to watch all the results come in on election night for big and small races. Leave the calls to the adults.
DDHQ called it early like they always do lol. Mejia is favored and hard to see her losing at this point.
February 6, 2026 at 3:33 AM
DDHQ called it early like they always do lol. Mejia is favored and hard to see her losing at this point.
It’s been at >95% in since thousands of votes ago lmao.
How they could fuck the estimate up so bad is hilarious.
How they could fuck the estimate up so bad is hilarious.
February 6, 2026 at 3:29 AM
It’s been at >95% in since thousands of votes ago lmao.
How they could fuck the estimate up so bad is hilarious.
How they could fuck the estimate up so bad is hilarious.
Be first lol, they never anticipate Election Day v. Mail-ins are gonna be heavily different in primaries and that’s gotten them multiple times now.
February 6, 2026 at 3:23 AM
Be first lol, they never anticipate Election Day v. Mail-ins are gonna be heavily different in primaries and that’s gotten them multiple times now.
DDHQ still showcasing their L
February 6, 2026 at 3:17 AM
DDHQ still showcasing their L
The called it back when they only had early votes in. They must not have thought the Election Day vote was gonna be this extreme.
February 6, 2026 at 3:13 AM
The called it back when they only had early votes in. They must not have thought the Election Day vote was gonna be this extreme.
Mejia is favored at this point.
These Election Day drops are fucking insane for her.
These Election Day drops are fucking insane for her.
February 6, 2026 at 3:08 AM
Mejia is favored at this point.
These Election Day drops are fucking insane for her.
These Election Day drops are fucking insane for her.
Fuck isn’t she winning by like ~12% in recent Morris County drops?
Is Malinowski cooked?!
Is Malinowski cooked?!
February 6, 2026 at 2:55 AM
Fuck isn’t she winning by like ~12% in recent Morris County drops?
Is Malinowski cooked?!
Is Malinowski cooked?!