Go Sens Go!
@btewgolf.bsky.social
Senators l Charge l REDBLACKS fan. Love stats & aviation, weather junkie.
If they now want to be YKF-based, they'd get a Transport Canada air operator's certificate and not FAA.
October 31, 2025 at 4:27 PM
If they now want to be YKF-based, they'd get a Transport Canada air operator's certificate and not FAA.
That'll never happen. Besides what happens to the MPs every 10 years when the riding boundaries get redrawn and those that lived inside their old electoral boundary are suddenly living outside of it, yet they still live in the same house?
May 6, 2025 at 8:51 PM
That'll never happen. Besides what happens to the MPs every 10 years when the riding boundaries get redrawn and those that lived inside their old electoral boundary are suddenly living outside of it, yet they still live in the same house?
That ended up proving to be very accurate as the Liberals' NCR vote share was above 60% including over 50% in Carleton.
May 6, 2025 at 8:44 PM
That ended up proving to be very accurate as the Liberals' NCR vote share was above 60% including over 50% in Carleton.
I was the ridings remaining that they were within a thousand. They got up to 169. Might get 170 is the Terrebonne recount falls in their unlikely favour.
May 4, 2025 at 12:16 AM
I was the ridings remaining that they were within a thousand. They got up to 169. Might get 170 is the Terrebonne recount falls in their unlikely favour.
Yes. If everything were to break perfectly in the Liberals' favour, they can still get to as high as 179. As such, 172-175 is realistic. Certainly 175 would give them a bit of a buffer. Also, if the House were to pick a member of the opposition to be Speaker, that'd help too.
April 29, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Yes. If everything were to break perfectly in the Liberals' favour, they can still get to as high as 179. As such, 172-175 is realistic. Certainly 175 would give them a bit of a buffer. Also, if the House were to pick a member of the opposition to be Speaker, that'd help too.
Haha that's a funny meme.
April 29, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Haha that's a funny meme.
That would be quite the sacrifice for a fellow CPC to do...with no prospect of a patronage appointment anytime soon to boot.
It'd have to be in an ultra-safe prairie or rural Ontario seat. We shall see but I think you're right, he'll try to win a byelection.
It'd have to be in an ultra-safe prairie or rural Ontario seat. We shall see but I think you're right, he'll try to win a byelection.
April 29, 2025 at 2:20 PM
That would be quite the sacrifice for a fellow CPC to do...with no prospect of a patronage appointment anytime soon to boot.
It'd have to be in an ultra-safe prairie or rural Ontario seat. We shall see but I think you're right, he'll try to win a byelection.
It'd have to be in an ultra-safe prairie or rural Ontario seat. We shall see but I think you're right, he'll try to win a byelection.
He's now officially lost.
April 29, 2025 at 2:17 PM
He's now officially lost.
Over the Liberals.
I honestly thought the Libs were going to win a comfortable majority but the CPC certainly outperformed in much of Ontario - especially the SW of the province.
The Liberals though performed exactly as I thought in the NCR by getting 60% of the vote.
I honestly thought the Libs were going to win a comfortable majority but the CPC certainly outperformed in much of Ontario - especially the SW of the province.
The Liberals though performed exactly as I thought in the NCR by getting 60% of the vote.
April 29, 2025 at 2:16 PM
Over the Liberals.
I honestly thought the Libs were going to win a comfortable majority but the CPC certainly outperformed in much of Ontario - especially the SW of the province.
The Liberals though performed exactly as I thought in the NCR by getting 60% of the vote.
I honestly thought the Libs were going to win a comfortable majority but the CPC certainly outperformed in much of Ontario - especially the SW of the province.
The Liberals though performed exactly as I thought in the NCR by getting 60% of the vote.
I knew it before even the writs were dropped.
For anyone who thinks their vote doesn't count, last night should prove it most certainly does. We still don't know if it's going to be a minority or majority - advance ballots are heavily breaking Lib though so razor-thin majority is likely.
For anyone who thinks their vote doesn't count, last night should prove it most certainly does. We still don't know if it's going to be a minority or majority - advance ballots are heavily breaking Lib though so razor-thin majority is likely.
April 29, 2025 at 2:14 PM
I knew it before even the writs were dropped.
For anyone who thinks their vote doesn't count, last night should prove it most certainly does. We still don't know if it's going to be a minority or majority - advance ballots are heavily breaking Lib though so razor-thin majority is likely.
For anyone who thinks their vote doesn't count, last night should prove it most certainly does. We still don't know if it's going to be a minority or majority - advance ballots are heavily breaking Lib though so razor-thin majority is likely.
That's a good point. The Libs tend to outperform their polls in Ontario - at least the last 3 times. Same goes regionally in Ottawa. The recent poll had the Libs at 53% in the city. That means it's more like 58%...or at least 58% for the NCR, including the Quebec side.
April 28, 2025 at 7:28 PM
That's a good point. The Libs tend to outperform their polls in Ontario - at least the last 3 times. Same goes regionally in Ottawa. The recent poll had the Libs at 53% in the city. That means it's more like 58%...or at least 58% for the NCR, including the Quebec side.
Our elections are completely different though. You vote directly for a President. In Canada, only a handful of voters in a handful of ridings are voting for someone to be a Prime Minister. Also, the Republican voter efficiency in the USA is the complete opposite in Canada.
April 28, 2025 at 5:33 AM
Our elections are completely different though. You vote directly for a President. In Canada, only a handful of voters in a handful of ridings are voting for someone to be a Prime Minister. Also, the Republican voter efficiency in the USA is the complete opposite in Canada.
It's going to be a Liberal majority. The only question is how big.
April 28, 2025 at 4:53 AM
It's going to be a Liberal majority. The only question is how big.
Completely legal under the Ontario Highway Traffic Act.
April 28, 2025 at 4:49 AM
Completely legal under the Ontario Highway Traffic Act.
Apply to immigrate to Canada.
April 28, 2025 at 4:47 AM
Apply to immigrate to Canada.
Correction: not "may" but "will".
April 28, 2025 at 3:55 AM
Correction: not "may" but "will".
I live in Ottawa and I can tell he's done. Of note:
- 1/10 the CPC lawns signs vs 7 other times.
-Carleton was #1 in advance poll voting, > 43k votes already cast. High turnout is usually bad news for the incumbent.
-He held a riding rally tonight - you don't do that when you're cruising to victory.
- 1/10 the CPC lawns signs vs 7 other times.
-Carleton was #1 in advance poll voting, > 43k votes already cast. High turnout is usually bad news for the incumbent.
-He held a riding rally tonight - you don't do that when you're cruising to victory.
April 28, 2025 at 3:34 AM
I live in Ottawa and I can tell he's done. Of note:
- 1/10 the CPC lawns signs vs 7 other times.
-Carleton was #1 in advance poll voting, > 43k votes already cast. High turnout is usually bad news for the incumbent.
-He held a riding rally tonight - you don't do that when you're cruising to victory.
- 1/10 the CPC lawns signs vs 7 other times.
-Carleton was #1 in advance poll voting, > 43k votes already cast. High turnout is usually bad news for the incumbent.
-He held a riding rally tonight - you don't do that when you're cruising to victory.
Ordinarily we are. But cross us like orange man has and we won't hesitate to kick ass.
a hockey player in a green jersey with the number 71 on it
ALT: a hockey player in a green jersey with the number 71 on it
media.tenor.com
April 28, 2025 at 3:30 AM
Ordinarily we are. But cross us like orange man has and we won't hesitate to kick ass.
With the final polls out, it's actually not close. The only questions left to answer tomorrow are:
a) How big will the Liberal majority be? (I think it'll be around 18 seats)
b) By how many votes will the leader of the Official Opposition lose his seat by?
a) How big will the Liberal majority be? (I think it'll be around 18 seats)
b) By how many votes will the leader of the Official Opposition lose his seat by?
April 28, 2025 at 3:28 AM
With the final polls out, it's actually not close. The only questions left to answer tomorrow are:
a) How big will the Liberal majority be? (I think it'll be around 18 seats)
b) By how many votes will the leader of the Official Opposition lose his seat by?
a) How big will the Liberal majority be? (I think it'll be around 18 seats)
b) By how many votes will the leader of the Official Opposition lose his seat by?
The CPC are going to have to win the Monday vote by 15 points just to win a razor thin minority. It ain't happening. They need to win the Monday vote by 10 just to stop a Liberal majority. Also not happening.
April 28, 2025 at 3:25 AM
The CPC are going to have to win the Monday vote by 15 points just to win a razor thin minority. It ain't happening. They need to win the Monday vote by 10 just to stop a Liberal majority. Also not happening.
I have a feeling it's going to be more in the 190-192 range. There's going to be some 3-way splits in Quebec like Trois-Rivieres. Also PP's done in Carleton which the models aren't picking up.
April 28, 2025 at 3:22 AM
I have a feeling it's going to be more in the 190-192 range. There's going to be some 3-way splits in Quebec like Trois-Rivieres. Also PP's done in Carleton which the models aren't picking up.
So Nanos polled another ~500 people today and their numbers didn't budge.
April 28, 2025 at 3:20 AM
So Nanos polled another ~500 people today and their numbers didn't budge.
Yup that's whom I'm referring to too.
April 28, 2025 at 3:18 AM
Yup that's whom I'm referring to too.