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Traders may be keeping their powder dry amid the possibility of wider market tumult over the looming U.S. debt ceiling. That may limit Bitcoin's immediate upside.

Bitcoin's illiquid supply on Binance has reached historically high levels, indicating that more BTC is being held long-term and removed from circulation. This scarcity of liquid Bitcoin reduces the amount available for trading, thereby increasing buying pressure. While this dynamic supports an upward price trend, it also creates a fragile market susceptible to sharp corrections if large holders decide to sell. Whales and institutions are currently exhibiting a "hold for the long haul" strategy, showing confidence in Bitcoin as a long-term asset. However, any change in this behavior could lead to immediate market impact. The current market situation is described as a "fragile bull run," supported by long-term holders but vulnerable to whale sell-offs. If illiquid supply continues to climb, Bitcoin could potentially reach $150,000 by the end of 2025. Conversely, an increase in liquid supply due to selling could drive prices down to the $90,000 to $100,000 range. Some analysts remain optimistic, predicting even higher prices for Bitcoin. At the time of reporting, Bitcoin was trading below its recent all-time high.