Walker COOKED the 49ers near-top-10 run D last week (6.1 YpC & 3 tuds). The Rams - who survived the Bears behind 3 Caleb INTs & some stout 4th-down stands - are statistically similar in that area. Whichever QB does more than last week tips the scales.
Walker COOKED the 49ers near-top-10 run D last week (6.1 YpC & 3 tuds). The Rams - who survived the Bears behind 3 Caleb INTs & some stout 4th-down stands - are statistically similar in that area. Whichever QB does more than last week tips the scales.
The Nix injury & Stidham "revenge" angle dominates this one. Not much revenge when you were a 4th-round guy on the roster during the "panini". He's a 60% passer with a 1:1 ratio & a rating under 80. All love for Denver but he's not beating this Pats defense.
The Nix injury & Stidham "revenge" angle dominates this one. Not much revenge when you were a 4th-round guy on the roster during the "panini". He's a 60% passer with a 1:1 ratio & a rating under 80. All love for Denver but he's not beating this Pats defense.
S/U 3-1 🔥 ... ATS 3-1 🔥 ... O/U 1-3 💀
PLAYOFF RESULTS
S/U 8-2 🔥 ... ATS 8-2 🔥 ... O/U 5-5 🤔
BWF PICK'EM
4 / 24 ... 69.3% Cpts
DIV WINNER
Huis. Booz. & Goki's Winners, 100% Cpts
OVERALL
Huis. Booz., 70.7% Cpts
#Ruleof4 2025 = 15-3 (10🔥)
S/U 3-1 🔥 ... ATS 3-1 🔥 ... O/U 1-3 💀
PLAYOFF RESULTS
S/U 8-2 🔥 ... ATS 8-2 🔥 ... O/U 5-5 🤔
BWF PICK'EM
4 / 24 ... 69.3% Cpts
DIV WINNER
Huis. Booz. & Goki's Winners, 100% Cpts
OVERALL
Huis. Booz., 70.7% Cpts
#Ruleof4 2025 = 15-3 (10🔥)
DEN 27-24
SF49 23-17
NEP 23-14
LAR 31-28
DEN 27-24
SF49 23-17
NEP 23-14
LAR 31-28
The Over here feels like a gimme. It's not a great hedge but I feel like just a FG separates it (these teams won by 7pts COMBINED last week). Stafford has averaged 272 pass yds/gm vs. CHI in 22 games; the Bears defense may need a miracle in this one.
The Over here feels like a gimme. It's not a great hedge but I feel like just a FG separates it (these teams won by 7pts COMBINED last week). Stafford has averaged 272 pass yds/gm vs. CHI in 22 games; the Bears defense may need a miracle in this one.
HOU came alive midseason, winners of 5 straight road games incl. last week. The competition jump is large here, plus no Nico Collins. Stroud beat Maye head-to-head in 2024; unless Woody Marks pops off for another 100+, I don't see it happening again.
HOU came alive midseason, winners of 5 straight road games incl. last week. The competition jump is large here, plus no Nico Collins. Stroud beat Maye head-to-head in 2024; unless Woody Marks pops off for another 100+, I don't see it happening again.
All SF did all year was overcome injuries (Kittle is devastating) and win on the road (7-2 + last week, 5 straight). Purdy has owned SEA in his career, winning 6/8, where Darnold has been tepid vs. SF: 2-2, avg. sub-200 pass yds. Niners with the upset.
All SF did all year was overcome injuries (Kittle is devastating) and win on the road (7-2 + last week, 5 straight). Purdy has owned SEA in his career, winning 6/8, where Darnold has been tepid vs. SF: 2-2, avg. sub-200 pass yds. Niners with the upset.
Bills just 5-3 on the road this year but have won 4 straight incl. last week. Broncos only lost once at home all year. BUF can't afford to get doubled-up on the ground again. Nix has never played BUF before; Allen is 2-1 vs. DEN. Tight, but gimme Denver.
Bills just 5-3 on the road this year but have won 4 straight incl. last week. Broncos only lost once at home all year. BUF can't afford to get doubled-up on the ground again. Nix has never played BUF before; Allen is 2-1 vs. DEN. Tight, but gimme Denver.
S/U 5-1 🔥 ... ATS 5-1 🔥 ... O/U 4-2 😎
PLAYOFF RESULTS
S/U 5-1 🔥 ... ATS 5-1 🔥 ... O/U 4-2 😎
BWF PICK'EM
5 / 24 ... 68.9% Cpts
WC WINNER
BRIDGEWATERSFINEST, 90.9% Cpts
OVERALL
Crack Attack, 70.2% Cpts
#Ruleof4 2025 = 15-3 (10🔥)
S/U 5-1 🔥 ... ATS 5-1 🔥 ... O/U 4-2 😎
PLAYOFF RESULTS
S/U 5-1 🔥 ... ATS 5-1 🔥 ... O/U 4-2 😎
BWF PICK'EM
5 / 24 ... 68.9% Cpts
WC WINNER
BRIDGEWATERSFINEST, 90.9% Cpts
OVERALL
Crack Attack, 70.2% Cpts
#Ruleof4 2025 = 15-3 (10🔥)
LAR 24-17
GBP 27-24
BUF 26-23
SF49 23-19
NEP 28-16
HOU 27-16
LAR 24-17
GBP 27-24
BUF 26-23
SF49 23-19
NEP 28-16
HOU 27-16
Some dubious "CJ Stroud in cold weather" stats out there. The Texans defense has been crushing, with last week being their sole 30-points-allowed game of 2025. Rodgers has not thrown an INT in 2 months. Something's gotta give. Gimme the championship defense.
Some dubious "CJ Stroud in cold weather" stats out there. The Texans defense has been crushing, with last week being their sole 30-points-allowed game of 2025. Rodgers has not thrown an INT in 2 months. Something's gotta give. Gimme the championship defense.
Don't ask me to trust Justin Herbert in colder weather with some rain. It's just not a thing. The Pats get this matchup at a good time as well with a questionable Omarion Hampton (still expect him to play). Two excellent defenses but love the Pats here.
Don't ask me to trust Justin Herbert in colder weather with some rain. It's just not a thing. The Pats get this matchup at a good time as well with a questionable Omarion Hampton (still expect him to play). Two excellent defenses but love the Pats here.
What breaks first - Purdy, Hurts, or these secondaries? In windy conditions, 5.5pts on the spread is too much, but for my money, I think the Niners win this thing outright. Lotta questions to be answered in Philly this offseason - starting with the coach.
What breaks first - Purdy, Hurts, or these secondaries? In windy conditions, 5.5pts on the spread is too much, but for my money, I think the Niners win this thing outright. Lotta questions to be answered in Philly this offseason - starting with the coach.
The Bills have reached their true impasse. If a deep run cannot be achieved here in a Mahomes-less and largely untested AFC Playoffs - even as a 6 seed - the case can be made for blowing this up. I question the Trevor Lawrence arrival. Gimme Josh Allen.
The Bills have reached their true impasse. If a deep run cannot be achieved here in a Mahomes-less and largely untested AFC Playoffs - even as a 6 seed - the case can be made for blowing this up. I question the Trevor Lawrence arrival. Gimme Josh Allen.
A few flurries in the forecast won't mean a thing to these two. It's a team game, but a healthy Josh Jacobs, who has gashed the Bears for 320 total yards & 3 TD since coming to Green Bay, completely changes the formula. The ground game decides this one.
A few flurries in the forecast won't mean a thing to these two. It's a team game, but a healthy Josh Jacobs, who has gashed the Bears for 320 total yards & 3 TD since coming to Green Bay, completely changes the formula. The ground game decides this one.
The Rams had the NFL's top total & pass offense in 2025 which will really press Carolina's middle-of-the-pack secondary. If the Rams have a defensive crutch, it's the pass; can Bryce Young produce the game of his life? Some rain may impact this one.
The Rams had the NFL's top total & pass offense in 2025 which will really press Carolina's middle-of-the-pack secondary. If the Rams have a defensive crutch, it's the pass; can Bryce Young produce the game of his life? Some rain may impact this one.
S/U 8-8 🤔 ... ATS 6-10 😬 ... O/U 12-3-1 🔥
SZN RESULTS
S/U 164-107-1 😎 ... ATS 133-133-6 🤔 ... O/U 129-140-3 🤔
BWF PICK'EM
7 / 24 ... 68.3% Cpts
W18 WINNER
Crack Attack & W.C. Martin, 71.3% Cpts
RS WINNER
Hui. Boozhound, 70.5% Cpts
#Ruleof4 ✅️ (15-3) 10🔥
S/U 8-8 🤔 ... ATS 6-10 😬 ... O/U 12-3-1 🔥
SZN RESULTS
S/U 164-107-1 😎 ... ATS 133-133-6 🤔 ... O/U 129-140-3 🤔
BWF PICK'EM
7 / 24 ... 68.3% Cpts
W18 WINNER
Crack Attack & W.C. Martin, 71.3% Cpts
RS WINNER
Hui. Boozhound, 70.5% Cpts
#Ruleof4 ✅️ (15-3) 10🔥
NOS 24-17
DAL 33-20
CIN 28-10
KCC 20-13
HOU 30-6
TEN 27-26
MIN 20-14
BUF 27-13
MIA 23-20
LAR 34-20
DET 30-17
WSH 23-21
CAR 23-17
SF49 27-24
DEN 21-13
BAL 24-21
FIVE FAVORITE PLAYS
DAL -3.5
CLE/CIN Under
TEN +13
MIA +11.5
ARI/LAR Over
NOS 24-17
DAL 33-20
CIN 28-10
KCC 20-13
HOU 30-6
TEN 27-26
MIN 20-14
BUF 27-13
MIA 23-20
LAR 34-20
DET 30-17
WSH 23-21
CAR 23-17
SF49 27-24
DEN 21-13
BAL 24-21
FIVE FAVORITE PLAYS
DAL -3.5
CLE/CIN Under
TEN +13
MIA +11.5
ARI/LAR Over
SEA @ SF49 +2.5 (W) O47.5
LAC +13 @ DEN (W) U38
BAL (W) @ PIT +4 O41
Panthers win the South & KO the Bucs. Niners clinch home Playoff dates INCLUDING the Super Bowl. Broncos lock up AFC 1-seed vs. resting Chargers. Ravens walk off Steelers for the North.
SEA @ SF49 +2.5 (W) O47.5
LAC +13 @ DEN (W) U38
BAL (W) @ PIT +4 O41
Panthers win the South & KO the Bucs. Niners clinch home Playoff dates INCLUDING the Super Bowl. Broncos lock up AFC 1-seed vs. resting Chargers. Ravens walk off Steelers for the North.
ARI @ LAR -9 (W) O46.5
DET +3 (W) @ CHI U50.5
WSH +4.5 (W) @ PHI O38.5
Due to other results the Pats can't fall below 2 so I think they rest & lose to MIA. Cards roll (over) for draft equity. Lions are hungry. Eagles IMO rest & don't care who they play.
ARI @ LAR -9 (W) O46.5
DET +3 (W) @ CHI U50.5
WSH +4.5 (W) @ PHI O38.5
Due to other results the Pats can't fall below 2 so I think they rest & lose to MIA. Cards roll (over) for draft equity. Lions are hungry. Eagles IMO rest & don't care who they play.
TEN +13 (W) @ JAX O48
GBP +9.5 @ MIN (W) U37
NYJ @ BUF -7.5 (W) O37
Yes, I do genuinely believe the Jags still blow the division. Losing to the Titans is very Jags. Packers D is still good enough to cover +9.5. Bills are gunning for that 5th seed.
TEN +13 (W) @ JAX O48
GBP +9.5 @ MIN (W) U37
NYJ @ BUF -7.5 (W) O37
Yes, I do genuinely believe the Jags still blow the division. Losing to the Titans is very Jags. Packers D is still good enough to cover +9.5. Bills are gunning for that 5th seed.