Brett House
brettehouse.bsky.social
Brett House
@brettehouse.bsky.social
Economist (he/him)
The numbers behind $2,000 “tariff rebate checks” don’t add up.

I spoke with CNBC’s Jessica Dickler about why this proposal isn’t likely to become real policy.

www.cnbc.com/2025/11/11/t...
Trump floats $2,000 tariff rebate checks: Here's what you need to know
President Donald Trump refloated the idea of tariff rebate checks over the weekend, but experts say such a plan is unlikely to become policy.
www.cnbc.com
November 16, 2025 at 7:46 PM
New York’s new mayor is promising sweeping reforms — from rent freezes to expanded child care.

In Life with Mamdani from Columbia Business School, I noted the new child care plans could improve access for families, but the full economic cost isn’t yet clear.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=D8kp...
Life with Mamdani: CBS Faculty Weigh in on Policy Proposals of NYC Mayor-Elect
YouTube video by Columbia Business School
www.youtube.com
November 12, 2025 at 9:31 PM
Markets are charged up heading into the Fed’s rate decision — but more cuts may not be what the economy needs.

I spoke with EFN about why overstimulation could unsettle inflation expectations and why the U.S. might not need extra stimulus right now.

Full more: efn.se/varningen-in...
November 5, 2025 at 10:05 PM
New York’s mayoral race is spotlighting how policy meets practicality. I spoke with @columbiauniversity.bsky.social on how universal childcare boosts labour participation and growth—even if it isn’t fully self-financing.

Great piece by Jonathan Sperling: business.columbia.edu/insights/bus...
October 31, 2025 at 10:18 PM
Auto repossessions are surging. That’s not just a story about the car market — it’s a warning about household finances.

As I shared with Edward Helmore, when auto borrowers start falling behind, it’s often a signal that consumer budgets are getting tighter.

www.theguardian.com/business/202...
October 24, 2025 at 9:22 PM
Private debt markets are expanding, but transparency hasn’t kept up. That's a problem.

As I told Edward Helmore at The Guardian, when assets aren’t marked to market and no one knows where the risks are concentrated, shocks can catch the system off guard.

www.theguardian.com/business/202...
October 15, 2025 at 8:51 PM
The GOP can’t claim fiscal discipline while cutting taxes and boosting spending. As I noted to BBC News' Anthony Zurcher, that contradiction speaks louder than any budget rhetoric.

www.bbc.com/news/article...
October 10, 2025 at 8:21 PM
Policy volatility, rising tariffs, and cooling job growth are reshaping the outlook for small and mid-sized businesses in North America.

I moderated a panel at Columbia Business School that looked at these key signals for SME leaders. Read the write-up here: business.columbia.edu/insights/fin...
October 9, 2025 at 9:50 PM
The shutdown is just one layer of the uncertainty weighing on the US economy.

As I noted to Allison Morrow at @cnn.com, statistical blind spots, tariff volatility, and weakened institutions are eroding investor confidence at a critical time.

www.cnn.com/2025/10/02/b...
October 8, 2025 at 7:28 PM
The Fed’s next rate-cut decision may be made with incomplete data.

I discussed the implications of the US government shutdown for the Observer—from missing jobs numbers to rising inflation, policymakers could be flying blind at a pivotal moment.

observer.com/2025/10/gove...
October 3, 2025 at 10:53 PM
President Trump’s new tariffs on trucks, furniture and medicines risk adding more pressure to prices, supply chains and cross-border trade. I discussed the potential fallout with @washingtonpost.com reporters Andrew Jeong and Victoria Craw.

www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
October 1, 2025 at 11:04 PM
Tricolor’s collapse is a warning sign. When subprime auto borrowers fall behind, the cracks in the economy start to show.

I spoke with @financialtimes.com reporters about what this signals for US households and labour markets.

www.ft.com/content/3e8f...
Auto lender’s bust signals strain in financial health of US households
Tricolor’s collapse highlights struggles of low-income consumers and their impact on the broader American economy
www.ft.com
September 27, 2025 at 3:12 PM
The Fed’s rate cut brings some relief—but not for everyone.

Jessica Dickler at CNBC looks at how borrowing and savings costs are shifting. I shared a few thoughts on what that means for household budgets in a higher-inflation economy.

www.cnbc.com/2025/09/17/f...
September 25, 2025 at 10:17 PM
Stagflation risks are rising in the U.S. economy—driven by President Trump’s tariffs and immigration policies.

In @theguardian.com, I spoke with Lauren Aratani about how growth forecasts are falling and inflation is climbing.

www.theguardian.com/business/202...
September 24, 2025 at 9:38 PM
The Fed’s rate cut is a bet on softening labour markets and a reminder that monetary policy takes time to move through the system.

I discussed the lag on rate impacts in @csmonitor.bsky.social.

www.csmonitor.com/Business/202...
September 21, 2025 at 1:49 PM
Canada’s largest employee-owned trust shows the power of EOTs to keep companies locally rooted while sharing wealth.

Meera Raman cites the Social Capital Partners report I co-wrote with Jon Shell. Big credit to Employee Ownership Canada & Matthew Mendelsohn.

www.theglobeandmail.com/business/art...
September 14, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Reposted by Brett House
Yes, your morning jolt has gotten more expensive. Coffee prices are up nearly 21% over the past year, partly because of Trump’s punishing tariffs on Brazil and Vietnam. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/11/b...
Yes, Your Morning Coffee Has Gotten More Expensive
www.nytimes.com
September 12, 2025 at 12:37 PM
President Trump’s attacks on the Fed could backfire. A loss of central bank independence won’t bring down mortgage rates — it’ll drive them up.

I broke it down with Claire Boston in Yahoo Finance: finance.yahoo.com/news/trumps-...
September 11, 2025 at 9:51 PM
In @csmonitor.bsky.social, Laurent Belsie looks at how the Supreme Court’s tariff ruling could decide whether the U.S. enters recession.

I explain why few firms actually benefit from tariffs—and why policy uncertainty continues to drag on the economy.

www.csmonitor.com/Business/202...
September 9, 2025 at 9:52 PM
What do falling cardboard box sales say about the U.S. economy? A lot, actually. AlterNet’s Adam Lynch and I spoke about how this indicator reveals deeper uncertainty around consumer demand, tariffs, and the Trump market.

www.alternet.org/trump-econom...
September 8, 2025 at 10:24 PM
President Trump says if courts strike down his emergency tariffs, recent trade "deals" would have to be unwound.

Fortune explores what that could mean for U.S. leverage in trade negotiations—and features my take on how these non-deals undermine real trade diplomacy.

fortune.com/2025/09/04/d...
September 5, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Freschia Gonzales at Wealth Professional dives into why Canadian investors are sending record capital into U.S. stocks—despite stronger returns at home and consumer boycotts.

I shared why it’s not emotion but diversification that drives portfolio strategy.

www.wealthprofessional.ca/news/industr...
September 5, 2025 at 4:47 PM
We're grateful to @bobeunlimited.bsky.social for helping us launch the 3rd edition of our CBS Global Macro Investing course by sharing his insights on the links between economic developments, asset factors, and market prices with a packed house of MBA students! Follow Bob for his daily views!
September 4, 2025 at 9:22 PM
The euro’s surge and U.S. tariffs are hitting European exporters hard. I spoke with @benzinga.bsky.social about why currency pressure, trade friction, and diverging interest rate paths are converging to create real risk for corporate Europe.

www.benzinga.com/markets/euro...
September 4, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Featured in this article by Tamsin Vidal for Gothamist, I explain how a 30% tariff on Chinese imports is raising prices on everything from pencils to backpacks—and straining families already facing rising housing and food costs.

gothamist.com/news/nyc-par...
September 2, 2025 at 9:29 PM