Brendan Nyhan
@brendannyhan.bsky.social
Dartmouth political scientist and Bright Line Watch co-director. Previously Upshot NYT / CJR contributor, Spinsanity co-founder, All the President's Spin co-author.
https://sites.dartmouth.edu/nyhan/
http://brightlinewatch.org
https://sites.dartmouth.edu/nyhan/
http://brightlinewatch.org
New AI timeline forecasts from The Longitudinal Expert AI Panel forecastingresearch.substack.com/p/introducin... Lots of uncertainty but more expert/superforecaster convergence than I expected
November 10, 2025 at 2:18 PM
New AI timeline forecasts from The Longitudinal Expert AI Panel forecastingresearch.substack.com/p/introducin... Lots of uncertainty but more expert/superforecaster convergence than I expected
The real Slow House = the leadership suite with Patel and Bongino
"arrived wearing a trucker hat and a green hooded sweatshirt"
Fussed over flights, screwed over our ally, took a picture with the king, left
"arrived wearing a trucker hat and a green hooded sweatshirt"
Fussed over flights, screwed over our ally, took a picture with the king, left
November 10, 2025 at 2:03 PM
The real Slow House = the leadership suite with Patel and Bongino
"arrived wearing a trucker hat and a green hooded sweatshirt"
Fussed over flights, screwed over our ally, took a picture with the king, left
"arrived wearing a trucker hat and a green hooded sweatshirt"
Fussed over flights, screwed over our ally, took a picture with the king, left
Literally coordinating mid-game by phone to rig pitches
November 9, 2025 at 9:15 PM
Literally coordinating mid-game by phone to rig pitches
Unprecedented corruption - not just monetizing the presidency by selling branded products, but selling those products directly to government employees and having the Department of Homeland Security promote them to the media
November 7, 2025 at 1:33 PM
Unprecedented corruption - not just monetizing the presidency by selling branded products, but selling those products directly to government employees and having the Department of Homeland Security promote them to the media
Happy FSTL day to all who celebrate
November 7, 2025 at 1:25 PM
Happy FSTL day to all who celebrate
Our most recent Bright Line Watch report measures public preferences by party for fighting fire with fire in response to democratic norm violations brightlinewatch.org/violence-red...
November 6, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Our most recent Bright Line Watch report measures public preferences by party for fighting fire with fire in response to democratic norm violations brightlinewatch.org/violence-red...
Call me old-fashioned, but shouldn't it be a news story when the president is posting AI videos of himself (without disclosure) talking about *nuclear weapons*? truthsocial.com/@realDonaldT...
November 6, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Call me old-fashioned, but shouldn't it be a news story when the president is posting AI videos of himself (without disclosure) talking about *nuclear weapons*? truthsocial.com/@realDonaldT...
Give me all the free solar power abundance! Our policy status quo is insane
November 6, 2025 at 5:44 PM
Give me all the free solar power abundance! Our policy status quo is insane
instead of whataboutism, I hope this is a moment where people can say that they agree that the VA AG's texts were terrible and that having elected officials endorse violence is awful. full stop.
November 6, 2025 at 5:04 PM
instead of whataboutism, I hope this is a moment where people can say that they agree that the VA AG's texts were terrible and that having elected officials endorse violence is awful. full stop.
clickbait headlines like this are not helpful: "Will we have elections in 2026?"
November 6, 2025 at 4:49 PM
clickbait headlines like this are not helpful: "Will we have elections in 2026?"
Call me old-fashioned, but shouldn't it be a news story when the president is posting AI videos of himself without disclosure - either he's trying to deceive people or he's reposting AI content without knowing these are fake videos of him www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025... Seems bad either way...
November 6, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Call me old-fashioned, but shouldn't it be a news story when the president is posting AI videos of himself without disclosure - either he's trying to deceive people or he's reposting AI content without knowing these are fake videos of him www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025... Seems bad either way...
Another one bites the dust
November 6, 2025 at 3:29 AM
Another one bites the dust
Pathetically craven even by FIFA standards
November 6, 2025 at 2:09 AM
Pathetically craven even by FIFA standards
Fascinating economics job market paper by Jens Oehlen on the effects of Enigma codebreaking and how it interacted with military/intelligence strategy jensoehlen.github.io/uploads/Enig...
November 6, 2025 at 1:31 AM
Fascinating economics job market paper by Jens Oehlen on the effects of Enigma codebreaking and how it interacted with military/intelligence strategy jensoehlen.github.io/uploads/Enig...
A case in point. These issues aren't all powerful, but people are just mirror-imaging the over-claiming after the last election.
November 5, 2025 at 4:05 PM
A case in point. These issues aren't all powerful, but people are just mirror-imaging the over-claiming after the last election.