brendanmorty.bsky.social
@brendanmorty.bsky.social
Gary Sánchez gives the O's both a solid backup catcher and a righty DH option.

Gary's defensive metrics are slightly better than McCann's, and the vet brings a career .787 OPS against lefties.

The 33 games of playoff experience don't hurt either.
December 8, 2024 at 6:27 PM
Heston Kjerstad should still get plenty of run.

O'Neill has a career .751 OPS against RHP compared to a .923 OPS against LHP.

Expect Kjerstad to get plenty of AB's as a platoon option.
December 8, 2024 at 6:27 PM
Will most likely roam RF and can play CF if needed. Just 17th percentile OAA but 82nd percentile arm strength.

O'Neill has only played 100+ games twice in his seven-year career, but he has combined for an 8.7 bWAR in those seasons. When healthy, he's a beast.
December 8, 2024 at 6:26 PM
Tyler O'Neill is an ideal fit in Baltimore.

Right-handed thump in the middle of the lineup. 31 dingers last year. 98th percentile barrel %, 90th percentile hard-hit%, 90th percentile xSLG, and 90th percentile bat speed.

OBP is an upgrade too. 87th percentile walk rate per Statcast
December 8, 2024 at 6:26 PM
Randal Grichuk:

Return to form in 2024. Career-best .291 BA and .348 OBP. Hit .319 with a .914 OPS in 163 AB's against lefties.

Has an OPS over 1.000 in 63 career games against Baltimore. Below average defender with great advanced hitting metrics. Won't command a huge deal.
December 5, 2024 at 8:41 PM
Carson Kelly:

.313 OBP, .687 OPS in 91 games last season. .806 OPS in 29 games against lefties.

76th percentile fielding run value, 85th percentile caught stealing above average.

Potential upgrade offensively and defensively in backup role, but is that role enough for him?
December 3, 2024 at 11:08 PM
Nathan Eovaldi:

3.80 ERA in 29 starts in 2024. Fastball velo has decreased the last few seasons, but he was in the 90th percentile for offspeed run value this year.

A killer in the postseason that the O's could use. 3.05 ERA in 17 appearances. Entering age 35 season, expect a 2-3 year deal.
December 2, 2024 at 9:50 PM
Tyler O'Neill:

113 G's in 2024 - .241/.336/.511, .847 OPS with 31 HR's

Powerful RH bat that can play all three OF positions, but has only played in 100+ games twice since entering the league in 2018.

Could platoon with Mullins and Kjerstad. Estimate at 3 for $50 mil
November 25, 2024 at 5:09 PM
Blake Snell:

Cy Young in 2023. 3.12 ERA in 2024 with a 1.45 ERA in 12 starts in the second half.

At least 95th percentile in: xERA, xBA, whiff rate, K%, hard-hit rate. One of the best curveballs in the game.

No big contract last year, should get it now. Estimate at 5 for 130
November 20, 2024 at 6:52 PM
Sean Manaea:

Completely different dude in 2024. Dropped his arm slot, threw cross-body more, dominated glove side.

Went at least 6.2 IP in 8 of last 9 starts. Overall - 32 GS, 3.47 ERA, 1.084 WHIP, 9.1 K/9.

Fire him up as a new and improved No. 2. Estimate at 4 for $65 mil
November 19, 2024 at 8:34 PM
Max Fried:

In 2024 - 3.25 ERA, 1.164 WHIP, 8.6 K/9, 2.9 BB/9

Entering his age 31 season, a career 3.07 ERA is bananas. Last four years - 2.87 ERA, 160+ IP in 3 of 4

59.2% ground ball rate pairs beautifully with an athletic defense. @spotrac.bsky.social estimates 6 yrs, $136 mil
November 19, 2024 at 8:33 PM
Teoscar Hernández:

Similar to Santander, coming off a career year - 4.3 bWAR, 33 HRs career bests. Hit .272 with a .339 OBP, but -9 OAA in LF/RF

Powerful RH bat the O's could really use and a proven playoff performer.

Contract estimate from @spotrac.bsky.social at 3 years, $71 million
November 19, 2024 at 8:33 PM
John Means:

Only 10 games last 3 seasons. 2.61 ERA in 4 starts in 2024, 2.66 ERA in 4 starts in 2023

3.62 ERA in 26 games when healthy in 2021

Can't count on Means being a fixture, but been great for community and solid when healthy

Could be back for 1 year, $2 mil range
November 19, 2024 at 8:32 PM
James McCann:

2 years with O's. .228/.274/.382, .657 OPS, 1.3 bWAR. Just 11th percentile blocks above average, 14th framing in 2024

Basallo is on the way, but not yet. McCann played an important backup role, and was key in the clubhouse

Estimated 1 year deal around $3 mil
November 19, 2024 at 8:31 PM
Anthony Santander:

8 years in Baltimore. 11.1 bWAR

Career year in 2024. 155 G, .814 OPS, 44 HRs, 102 RBIs, are all bests.

Is a .308 OBP and 44 dingers sustainable? Improved defense, but still 28th percentile OAA. Kjerstad looms

Estimated deal around 5 years for $88 mil
November 19, 2024 at 8:31 PM
Corbin Burnes:

In 2024 - 32 GS, 2.92 ERA, 1.096 WHIP, 8.4 K/9, 2.2 BB/9

All-Star for the 4th consecutive season, 190+ innings for the 3rd consecutive season. +20 run value cutter.

O's have an ace-sized hole, and Burnes is that. But anticipate 6+ years, $180+ mil
November 19, 2024 at 8:30 PM