Stanford played a much easier ACC schedule.

Against the top 7 teams, Pitt played 3 home games, 6 road games. Stanford played 6 home games, 2 road games. Their only tough road games were GT and UL.

The schedule advantage isn't as egregious as it was for 2023 ACC co-champ FSU, but it is close.

If Kentucky loses tonight and Pitt wins out, I wonder if Pitt could slip past UK for #3. Pitt would have a similar RPI/KPI and the head-to-head win. That would be ideal because we could avoid Nebraska until the final.

I don't think Pitt would be out, but I may be biased.

If L'ville then beats Stanford, they probably get it. If Stanford wins, how would they rank Stanford (18-2, 2 top 10 wins, easier ACC schedule) and Pitt/L'ville/SMU (17-3, more top 10 wins, tougher ACC schedule)? ASU may get it in that scenario.

If Pitt wins out, the four #1 seeds will be Nebraska, Kentucky/Texas, Pitt.

If Pitt loses one, it will be between Pitt, ASU, and Louisville/Stanford winner. It would depend on how they value top wins (advantage Pitt), RPI/KPI (advantage ASU), and head-to-head (advantage Louisville/Stanford).

If Pitt and Stanford win out, Stanford will get the automatic bid, but Pitt will get the #1 seed.

Also, I don't think ASU has much chance. The committee focuses on significant wins for the #1 seeds. Pitt is 5-2 vs. the top 10 (with one more tomorrow). ASU was swept in their two top 10 matches.