Boz
@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social
Founder of Hxagon. Global Fellow at the Woodrow Wilson Center. Weekly Columnist at World Politics Review. SuperForecaster at GJI. Probably a few other things too. Mostly writing about Latin America.
There is a surprisingly high level of support for a US military intervention in Venezuela, particularly in the Andes and Brazil, where over half the population supports the idea. I'm not saying this to defend it, just to show that conventional wisdom is likely off.
November 1, 2025 at 7:36 PM
There is a surprisingly high level of support for a US military intervention in Venezuela, particularly in the Andes and Brazil, where over half the population supports the idea. I'm not saying this to defend it, just to show that conventional wisdom is likely off.
My first draft attempt for scenarios for Argentina's 2027 election
boz.substack.com/p/argentina-...
boz.substack.com/p/argentina-...
October 28, 2025 at 12:48 PM
My first draft attempt for scenarios for Argentina's 2027 election
boz.substack.com/p/argentina-...
boz.substack.com/p/argentina-...
Quoted in Bloomberg. Whether or not I think this naval operation was strategic, just, or legal, the political reality is that Trump is engaging in a militarized security populism that has plenty of supporters in this hemisphere.
September 3, 2025 at 12:00 AM
Quoted in Bloomberg. Whether or not I think this naval operation was strategic, just, or legal, the political reality is that Trump is engaging in a militarized security populism that has plenty of supporters in this hemisphere.
The Economist quotes my newsletter. www.economist.com/the-americas...
August 27, 2025 at 11:07 AM
The Economist quotes my newsletter. www.economist.com/the-americas...
August 5, 2025 at 12:38 PM
Sure, Boric is polling poorly. But did you know he is polling better than Bachelet and Piñera at this moment in their second terms in office? It's been a long time since a Chilean president retained their popularity beyond their first year in office.
June 25, 2025 at 10:38 AM
Sure, Boric is polling poorly. But did you know he is polling better than Bachelet and Piñera at this moment in their second terms in office? It's been a long time since a Chilean president retained their popularity beyond their first year in office.
Two months ago, I published a 3x2 matrix of how Latin America's leaders were responding to Trump. Today I marked it up a bit chaotically to represent how things are changing.
April 8, 2025 at 2:38 PM
Two months ago, I published a 3x2 matrix of how Latin America's leaders were responding to Trump. Today I marked it up a bit chaotically to represent how things are changing.
Important photo here showing Luisa Gonzalez winning the endorsement of the leading indigenous political movement in Ecuador.
March 31, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Important photo here showing Luisa Gonzalez winning the endorsement of the leading indigenous political movement in Ecuador.
Early draft map. I may write more about this tomorrow.
February 24, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Early draft map. I may write more about this tomorrow.
The chart from today's newsletter attempts to categorize how Latin American leaders are responding to Trump.
February 4, 2025 at 3:11 PM
The chart from today's newsletter attempts to categorize how Latin American leaders are responding to Trump.
Here is the graph from today's newsletter for paying subscribers about President Mulino's approval ratings in Panama. Link is here: boz.substack.com/p/panama-jan...
January 22, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Here is the graph from today's newsletter for paying subscribers about President Mulino's approval ratings in Panama. Link is here: boz.substack.com/p/panama-jan...
From last night's debate in Ecuador. The president is quietly in the back corner of the picture of candidates, trying not to attract too much attention. That's wonderfully symbolic of his debate performance. He didn't dominate the debate. The goal was "don't lose" and he succeeded at that.
January 20, 2025 at 11:19 AM
From last night's debate in Ecuador. The president is quietly in the back corner of the picture of candidates, trying not to attract too much attention. That's wonderfully symbolic of his debate performance. He didn't dominate the debate. The goal was "don't lose" and he succeeded at that.
The worsening of internet content over the past decade is directly linked to the shutdown of Google Reader and that's the hill I'll die on. Similar to TikTok (which, to be fair, I don't use), there are/were hundreds of alternatives and yet none of them fully captures the app experience.
January 18, 2025 at 2:54 PM
The worsening of internet content over the past decade is directly linked to the shutdown of Google Reader and that's the hill I'll die on. Similar to TikTok (which, to be fair, I don't use), there are/were hundreds of alternatives and yet none of them fully captures the app experience.
Here is my blog post from 2013 explaining why Cuba should be removed from the state sponsors of terrorism list. I don't need to change a single word 12 years later.
January 14, 2025 at 9:15 PM
Here is my blog post from 2013 explaining why Cuba should be removed from the state sponsors of terrorism list. I don't need to change a single word 12 years later.
My comment on this from today's newsletter:
January 13, 2025 at 4:34 PM
My comment on this from today's newsletter:
This is the official update that you can believe. She was detained and then freed.
January 9, 2025 at 9:09 PM
This is the official update that you can believe. She was detained and then freed.
Current mining policy debate in some Latin American countries
December 20, 2024 at 8:49 PM
Current mining policy debate in some Latin American countries
A media outlet called "The Empty Chair" doing anti-corruption journalism about chairs while featuring a photo of an empty chair is what I needed this morning.
November 14, 2024 at 10:19 AM
A media outlet called "The Empty Chair" doing anti-corruption journalism about chairs while featuring a photo of an empty chair is what I needed this morning.
To provide a visual and a discussion point, today's Mexico Security Notes post includes a map of the current narratives based on my own best guesses at the moment.
November 12, 2024 at 2:27 PM
To provide a visual and a discussion point, today's Mexico Security Notes post includes a map of the current narratives based on my own best guesses at the moment.
October 31, 2023 at 10:22 AM