@bignose223344.bsky.social
Oh I see... it's the overall World Series WPA, where the 'championship' is winning it all. I got hung up on the nomenclature here being American League Championship Series. But ALCS is not the whole-league championship.
If it was Game 7 of the World Series, the two numbers would be the same, right?
If it was Game 7 of the World Series, the two numbers would be the same, right?
October 21, 2025 at 4:38 PM
Oh I see... it's the overall World Series WPA, where the 'championship' is winning it all. I got hung up on the nomenclature here being American League Championship Series. But ALCS is not the whole-league championship.
If it was Game 7 of the World Series, the two numbers would be the same, right?
If it was Game 7 of the World Series, the two numbers would be the same, right?
I have a question if I may: how is the championship win percentage +19% when you also list the game win percentage as +39%? My logic here is, it's Game 7 of the series, winning the game is equivalent to winning the series. I would buy that the two would be different in Games 1-6, but not Game 7...
October 21, 2025 at 3:31 PM
I have a question if I may: how is the championship win percentage +19% when you also list the game win percentage as +39%? My logic here is, it's Game 7 of the series, winning the game is equivalent to winning the series. I would buy that the two would be different in Games 1-6, but not Game 7...
Just wondering, how is it not a requirement for the federal government to use US company's machines for their work when possible? Caterpillar, Deere, and Case are US companies that all make excavators. The Volvo is a fine machine, but it is a Swedish company. Shouldn't their contractor be using US?
October 21, 2025 at 1:20 AM
Just wondering, how is it not a requirement for the federal government to use US company's machines for their work when possible? Caterpillar, Deere, and Case are US companies that all make excavators. The Volvo is a fine machine, but it is a Swedish company. Shouldn't their contractor be using US?
RE: "There is no market for domestic American soybeans" -- ers.usda.gov/data-product... around half of all domestic soybeans are being used to produce biodiesel fuel.
More accurate would be 'the US farmers make _more_ than can be used just from domestic uses, but there is clearly not _no_ market.
More accurate would be 'the US farmers make _more_ than can be used just from domestic uses, but there is clearly not _no_ market.
Renewable diesel production surpasses biodiesel | Economic Research Service
The U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard, a program that originated in the mid-2000s, mandates that a specific volume of certain biofuels be used each year in transportation fuel. One category of biofuels inc...
ers.usda.gov
October 2, 2025 at 3:00 PM
RE: "There is no market for domestic American soybeans" -- ers.usda.gov/data-product... around half of all domestic soybeans are being used to produce biodiesel fuel.
More accurate would be 'the US farmers make _more_ than can be used just from domestic uses, but there is clearly not _no_ market.
More accurate would be 'the US farmers make _more_ than can be used just from domestic uses, but there is clearly not _no_ market.
This is exciting, I have been very interested in this space the last few years. Looking forward to reading this when it comes out.
May 8, 2025 at 2:28 PM
This is exciting, I have been very interested in this space the last few years. Looking forward to reading this when it comes out.
repeat this 1000x.... she just voted for a budget that funded USAID. SHE is literally one of the 535 people who get to decide EXACTLY what the federal government spends money on. SHE could have proposed an amendment to remove that line item and had it passed, the judge wouldn't do anything.
March 18, 2025 at 7:54 PM
repeat this 1000x.... she just voted for a budget that funded USAID. SHE is literally one of the 535 people who get to decide EXACTLY what the federal government spends money on. SHE could have proposed an amendment to remove that line item and had it passed, the judge wouldn't do anything.
Trump won NE 59-39, but incumbent Sen Fisher beat challenger Osbourne only 53-46. Osbourne deliberately choose to run as independent, not Dem. It is just a single data point, but wildly supportive of your thesis here.
January 28, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Trump won NE 59-39, but incumbent Sen Fisher beat challenger Osbourne only 53-46. Osbourne deliberately choose to run as independent, not Dem. It is just a single data point, but wildly supportive of your thesis here.
unusualwhales.com/congress-tra...
This is the report cited by The Hill article. Indeed 24 of the studied disclosed portfolios outperformed the S&P 500 index. But 70 underperformed. And they seem to only have data on about 100 total Members
Lots and lots of context missing that is important I think
This is the report cited by The Hill article. Indeed 24 of the studied disclosed portfolios outperformed the S&P 500 index. But 70 underperformed. And they seem to only have data on about 100 total Members
Lots and lots of context missing that is important I think
The Unusual Whales Congress Trading Report for 2024
Congress has beaten the markets once again in 2024. We've explored numerous ways on how Congress traded, their trends, as well as the most unusual of trades. Read it now to see how Congress beats the ...
unusualwhales.com
January 9, 2025 at 5:51 PM
unusualwhales.com/congress-tra...
This is the report cited by The Hill article. Indeed 24 of the studied disclosed portfolios outperformed the S&P 500 index. But 70 underperformed. And they seem to only have data on about 100 total Members
Lots and lots of context missing that is important I think
This is the report cited by The Hill article. Indeed 24 of the studied disclosed portfolios outperformed the S&P 500 index. But 70 underperformed. And they seem to only have data on about 100 total Members
Lots and lots of context missing that is important I think
Some % are going to beat the market just due to dumb luck.
just 3 (two dozen) to 7 (my number of 50) % beating the market can be attributed to just dumb luck.
I feel like there is some big, big context missing here or a critical number missing.
just 3 (two dozen) to 7 (my number of 50) % beating the market can be attributed to just dumb luck.
I feel like there is some big, big context missing here or a critical number missing.
January 9, 2025 at 5:29 PM
Some % are going to beat the market just due to dumb luck.
just 3 (two dozen) to 7 (my number of 50) % beating the market can be attributed to just dumb luck.
I feel like there is some big, big context missing here or a critical number missing.
just 3 (two dozen) to 7 (my number of 50) % beating the market can be attributed to just dumb luck.
I feel like there is some big, big context missing here or a critical number missing.
If they outperformed the market by like 1000%, or they have outperformed the market for 10 years running, then that is important.
But frankly, if just two dozen only 'beat the market' this last year, then Congress as a whole stinks at picking stocks.
But frankly, if just two dozen only 'beat the market' this last year, then Congress as a whole stinks at picking stocks.
January 9, 2025 at 5:28 PM
If they outperformed the market by like 1000%, or they have outperformed the market for 10 years running, then that is important.
But frankly, if just two dozen only 'beat the market' this last year, then Congress as a whole stinks at picking stocks.
But frankly, if just two dozen only 'beat the market' this last year, then Congress as a whole stinks at picking stocks.
Robert, I greatly appreciate your work and almost always agree with your messages.
However, even if 50 members of Congress 'outperformed the market in 2024'... that is still only 50/535 --> 7%. That's... completely and totally normal. Shoot, my portfolio outperforms the market once in a while, too.
However, even if 50 members of Congress 'outperformed the market in 2024'... that is still only 50/535 --> 7%. That's... completely and totally normal. Shoot, my portfolio outperforms the market once in a while, too.
January 9, 2025 at 5:25 PM
Robert, I greatly appreciate your work and almost always agree with your messages.
However, even if 50 members of Congress 'outperformed the market in 2024'... that is still only 50/535 --> 7%. That's... completely and totally normal. Shoot, my portfolio outperforms the market once in a while, too.
However, even if 50 members of Congress 'outperformed the market in 2024'... that is still only 50/535 --> 7%. That's... completely and totally normal. Shoot, my portfolio outperforms the market once in a while, too.
Serious question RE: 'Joe Biden isn’t just pardoning Hunter for past crimes — he’s protecting him from future fuckery.' If Trump and his cronies seemingly have no issues breaking every other rule, why do you think that a pardon has any meaning at all? They just gonna go after people anyway...
December 2, 2024 at 4:21 PM
Serious question RE: 'Joe Biden isn’t just pardoning Hunter for past crimes — he’s protecting him from future fuckery.' If Trump and his cronies seemingly have no issues breaking every other rule, why do you think that a pardon has any meaning at all? They just gonna go after people anyway...