Have now read this paper in detail. It’s a tour de force. If you’re interested in the potential impact of AI on election outcomes you should put it by your bedside. Key takeaway: let’s remain alive to, but healthily skeptical of, the possibility of large impacts: knightcolumbia.org/content/dont...

It’s high time we started asking the important questions

What a line

"we argue that our evidence is consistent with finding that badass TikTok edits are approximately as effective as professionally produced television ads"

doi.org/10.1177/2056...

Timeline cleanse, courtesy @rmcelreath.bsky.social

“As you know, our journal receives a high volume of submissions and we can only accept a small fraction…”

Covering IV, DiD, RDD with my students today (my experimentalist nerves are all over the shop)

New paper with Luke Hewitt.

We conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of in-survey RCT pre-testing to increase the impact of public health campaigns in a pandemic.

Key takeaway: It is plausibly cost-effective & could be robustly-so, but we need more research.

osf.io/preprints/ps...

I’m sure you’ve seen it but this paper seems relevant doi.org/10.1093/poq/...