Bence Hamrak
@bencehamrak.bsky.social
Phd researching public opinion and group identities @weareceu.bsky.social & representation @univie.ac.at | bencehamrak.github.io
Post-election cross-sectional surveys from the US show effects that are in the same ballpark as the experimental estimates
August 27, 2025 at 5:31 PM
Post-election cross-sectional surveys from the US show effects that are in the same ballpark as the experimental estimates
- The latter is likely due to motivated reasoning: losers ignore change in relative group status by outcomes
- Eliciting election scenarios generally increase out-group threat for both winners & losers, but losing only minimally more
- Eliciting election scenarios generally increase out-group threat for both winners & losers, but losing only minimally more
August 27, 2025 at 5:28 PM
- The latter is likely due to motivated reasoning: losers ignore change in relative group status by outcomes
- Eliciting election scenarios generally increase out-group threat for both winners & losers, but losing only minimally more
- Eliciting election scenarios generally increase out-group threat for both winners & losers, but losing only minimally more
Key findings:
- Elections influence winners but not losers & primarily through in-party gratification + a very modest increase in out-party warmth
- Losers don't dislike opponents more, nor cool on their own party
- Elections influence winners but not losers & primarily through in-party gratification + a very modest increase in out-party warmth
- Losers don't dislike opponents more, nor cool on their own party
August 27, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Key findings:
- Elections influence winners but not losers & primarily through in-party gratification + a very modest increase in out-party warmth
- Losers don't dislike opponents more, nor cool on their own party
- Elections influence winners but not losers & primarily through in-party gratification + a very modest increase in out-party warmth
- Losers don't dislike opponents more, nor cool on their own party
Method: 3 survey experiments (N=7,188) simulating 2024 US election outcomes & closeness. Measured in- & out-party feelings before/after.
August 27, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Method: 3 survey experiments (N=7,188) simulating 2024 US election outcomes & closeness. Measured in- & out-party feelings before/after.
See details & results: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Identity after the ballot: How winning and losing impact partisan attachments and affective polarization
How do election outcomes shape partisan affective polarization? Drawing on theories of group identity, I examine how winning or losing elections affec…
www.sciencedirect.com
August 27, 2025 at 4:06 PM
See details & results: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Open access: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Identity after the ballot: How winning and losing impact partisan attachments and affective polarization
How do election outcomes shape partisan affective polarization? Drawing on theories of group identity, I examine how winning or losing elections affec…
www.sciencedirect.com
August 27, 2025 at 3:11 PM
Open access: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...