Bel
belawares.bsky.social
Bel
@belawares.bsky.social
Reposted by Bel
Explanation/evidence: The national presidential 2020-2024 swing was 6 points (Biden by 4.5 to Trump by 1.5 points). In the pivotal EC states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and North Carolina, the average swing was only 3.5 points toward Trump. /5
December 11, 2025 at 6:14 PM
Reposted by Bel
There was a swing toward Trump across the whole country, but it was bigger in the states exposed to very little campaign messaging. Harris presidential campaign messages appear to have been more effective than Trump's. She lost b/c of that general swing, likely caused by economic concerns. /2
December 11, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Reposted by Bel
Judge Xinis also alternatively finds that the government is not detaining him to execute a removal order — because if they did want to deport him they could have sent him to Costa Rica any time since August but have refused to do so (and lied about why) because the admin wants to send him to Africa.
December 11, 2025 at 4:20 PM
Reposted by Bel
🚨Judge Xinis finds that, incredibly, Mr. Abrego Garcia was never ordered deported in 2019. She notes that every since this saga began all the way back in March, the government has NEVER been able to produce any evidence that the immigration judge actually issued a removal order.
December 11, 2025 at 4:13 PM