Living in fear of a panic Santander / TO overpay

Whether it’s right to believe these reports or not, gotta think $650 / 13 is probably where Soto talks land?

I expect $50M AAV is what Boras is ultimately looking for…

Whenever I miss baseball during the offseason, I watch my POV of the final out of the 2013 World Series.

and then I miss Koji Uehara instead.

Post-Patriots game deep dive into Soto has me in the trenches in Savant. Unbelievably impressed by how much the advanced metrics love Juan Soto.

You hear it anecdotally all the time, but he is SPECIAL.

More to come...

Couldn’t be more back if I tried

Shane Bieber is an intriguing bounce back candidate for the Red Sox. Keeps it in the zone, not a big velo guy - 2 years with an opt out?

Building from within from '14-'16 led to spending and trading in '17-'18. The team identified their guys, devoted time and energy to their development, and supplemented their gaps with aggressive trades and huge checks.

The 2025 offseason smells awfully similar...

The framework is simple- a team's contention window is limited and cyclical. Tear it down to build it again stronger.

Identify your guys, find free agent vets that fill the gaps, ideally win a few titles, then decide if that core is stable enough to keep winning and if not, start again!

Ahead of the 2024 MLB season, I started pulling together some thoughts on the state of the Red Sox, 5 years since the championship window effectively closed.

I cataloged as much as I could into a framework I’m calling “the Sports Competitive Cycle”

Not clever, but stick with me I’m cooking.

so it begins…

Also found this one, my attempt at coping with the lack of throttle last Sox offseason...

Revisiting some graphics I made ahead of the 2024 season and found this chart. Paired with all of the recent optimism around the Red Sox spending, quite a visual.

What a difference a year makes, I hope to say in the next few weeks...

Red Sox Twitter vs Red Sox Bluesky