Brent Crossman
@bcrossman.bsky.social
Mainer, ex-banker, ex-distressed debt private equity, probably staring at a spreadsheet right now. Here's a little game I made http://reelationshipsgame.com
I had assumed most gerrymandering was done by making strong Dem districts even more Dem by adding in another districts Dem areas. Leaving an area that would was slightly Dem or slightly Repub and making it more Republican. With these shifts gerrymandering might fail but not worse for repubs.
November 5, 2025 at 8:47 PM
I had assumed most gerrymandering was done by making strong Dem districts even more Dem by adding in another districts Dem areas. Leaving an area that would was slightly Dem or slightly Repub and making it more Republican. With these shifts gerrymandering might fail but not worse for repubs.
We've always been at war with _____
October 20, 2025 at 12:48 AM
We've always been at war with _____
Ha ha, what a bot
October 18, 2025 at 11:59 PM
Ha ha, what a bot
There's something philosophically appealing about random forests and what it says about what a bunch of fairly ordinary decision makers can do when working together.
October 18, 2025 at 12:10 AM
There's something philosophically appealing about random forests and what it says about what a bunch of fairly ordinary decision makers can do when working together.
I hope Bill Green is happy with everything he's enabled in the world by supporting Collins.
October 15, 2025 at 11:25 AM
I hope Bill Green is happy with everything he's enabled in the world by supporting Collins.
Isn't this answered by acknowledging that people weren't going to be happy with slower inflation, they wanted deflation, which was/is never going to happen, so they're going to be pissed at incumbents for a long time.
October 12, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Isn't this answered by acknowledging that people weren't going to be happy with slower inflation, they wanted deflation, which was/is never going to happen, so they're going to be pissed at incumbents for a long time.
This is a bit of a Matt Y subtweet but my theory is that a large percentage of ex-Biden voters (i.e. voted Biden, then voted Trump or didn't vote) may not agree with Dems on all social issues but they also don't care at all about social issues and abandoning the social issue won't help win them over
October 9, 2025 at 3:31 PM
This is a bit of a Matt Y subtweet but my theory is that a large percentage of ex-Biden voters (i.e. voted Biden, then voted Trump or didn't vote) may not agree with Dems on all social issues but they also don't care at all about social issues and abandoning the social issue won't help win them over
Can I ask you a random question I've been thinking about on "issues" polling. Is there something like a cross-tab that would show a) how people voted in 2020 vs 2024 b) how they felt on various issues (strongly agreed, agreed, etc.) but also a ranking of importance of the issues?
October 9, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Can I ask you a random question I've been thinking about on "issues" polling. Is there something like a cross-tab that would show a) how people voted in 2020 vs 2024 b) how they felt on various issues (strongly agreed, agreed, etc.) but also a ranking of importance of the issues?
Well I'll do a bit of research on the Iowa Dem voting and what it implies, and a bit on bashears/cooper but I definitely can agree that debating is not the highest from of persuasion. Otoh, I think my side of the aisle has pulled back from public debate too much and needs more "debate me bros"
September 20, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Well I'll do a bit of research on the Iowa Dem voting and what it implies, and a bit on bashears/cooper but I definitely can agree that debating is not the highest from of persuasion. Otoh, I think my side of the aisle has pulled back from public debate too much and needs more "debate me bros"
I want to clarify that debating is not the exclusive means of 'doing good political work,' but to suggest it has no value (or is harmful) isn't true either
September 20, 2025 at 5:38 PM
I want to clarify that debating is not the exclusive means of 'doing good political work,' but to suggest it has no value (or is harmful) isn't true either
He persuaded a majority of delegates in Iowa as a gay Democrat who was only a mayor of South Bend. Is that more or less convincing than losing a statewide run for treasurer in Indiana...I think it shows what being a communicator willing to "debate me bro" on Fox News can do.
September 20, 2025 at 5:34 PM
He persuaded a majority of delegates in Iowa as a gay Democrat who was only a mayor of South Bend. Is that more or less convincing than losing a statewide run for treasurer in Indiana...I think it shows what being a communicator willing to "debate me bro" on Fox News can do.
I get that it's performative and many times won on rhetoric over logic, facts, and analysis, but I mean, welcome to politics (and life). That's the arena, we either put people in that arena (like a buttigieg) or the republicans fill the vacuum and win people over by default.
September 20, 2025 at 5:22 PM
I get that it's performative and many times won on rhetoric over logic, facts, and analysis, but I mean, welcome to politics (and life). That's the arena, we either put people in that arena (like a buttigieg) or the republicans fill the vacuum and win people over by default.
It is hard to take Ben seriously when he's just shadow boxing a fictitious "left". When he can't point to something any Dem with power (whether it is Biden, or Bernie, etc) is doing to fit his caricature of "the left" it's just made up to justify the need for his "conservative" approach.
September 19, 2025 at 8:34 PM
It is hard to take Ben seriously when he's just shadow boxing a fictitious "left". When he can't point to something any Dem with power (whether it is Biden, or Bernie, etc) is doing to fit his caricature of "the left" it's just made up to justify the need for his "conservative" approach.
Platner seems really good, Mills is very good. I'm fine with them both presenting their vision of the democratic party in the marketplace of ideas and seeing which way democrats vote. Then I'll gladly support either to beat Collins and I think they both have a strong chance to do that.
September 10, 2025 at 9:11 PM
Platner seems really good, Mills is very good. I'm fine with them both presenting their vision of the democratic party in the marketplace of ideas and seeing which way democrats vote. Then I'll gladly support either to beat Collins and I think they both have a strong chance to do that.
If it's too cold, you can take the Tauntauns.
August 19, 2025 at 11:55 PM
If it's too cold, you can take the Tauntauns.
You all dog whistled the tune these MAGA are now blaring as they march in the street. You need to own that.
August 15, 2025 at 2:02 AM
You all dog whistled the tune these MAGA are now blaring as they march in the street. You need to own that.
I remember a book I read called "People Skills" and the most profound point it made was that you probably shouldn't give advice even if they do ask for it....
August 14, 2025 at 12:22 AM
I remember a book I read called "People Skills" and the most profound point it made was that you probably shouldn't give advice even if they do ask for it....
The scenes with only two people in it make it worth it.
August 11, 2025 at 4:13 PM
The scenes with only two people in it make it worth it.