Bernie Bastien-Olvera
@bbastien.bsky.social
Interdisciplinary climate change scientist and communicator • National Geographic Explorer ⛰️ • Assistant Professor at UNAM 🇲🇽
Figures looked weird, so sharing again!
September 3, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Figures looked weird, so sharing again!
Press Release here: scripps.ucsd.edu/news/ocean-w...
Ocean Warming Projected to Stall Expected Mangrove Recovery
Leer en español aquiIncreasing ocean temperatures will erase mangrove restoration gains expected to occur due to economic development and conservation, according to a new study from researchers at UC ...
scripps.ucsd.edu
September 3, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Press Release here: scripps.ucsd.edu/news/ocean-w...
By 2100, foregone benefits = 28B USD/year.
But uneven:
Asia 64% of losses
Middle East and Africa 18%
LatAm & Caribbean 12%
OECD 3%
Climate damages ecosystems broadly, but people don’t bear losses equally.
But uneven:
Asia 64% of losses
Middle East and Africa 18%
LatAm & Caribbean 12%
OECD 3%
Climate damages ecosystems broadly, but people don’t bear losses equally.
September 3, 2025 at 1:54 PM
By 2100, foregone benefits = 28B USD/year.
But uneven:
Asia 64% of losses
Middle East and Africa 18%
LatAm & Caribbean 12%
OECD 3%
Climate damages ecosystems broadly, but people don’t bear losses equally.
But uneven:
Asia 64% of losses
Middle East and Africa 18%
LatAm & Caribbean 12%
OECD 3%
Climate damages ecosystems broadly, but people don’t bear losses equally.
Together:
🌍 Socioeconomics push toward recovery.
🔥 Warming oceans stall or reverse progress.
Without climate change, mangroves could recover to global restoration targets. With warming, we lose ~150,000 ha by 2100.
🌍 Socioeconomics push toward recovery.
🔥 Warming oceans stall or reverse progress.
Without climate change, mangroves could recover to global restoration targets. With warming, we lose ~150,000 ha by 2100.
September 3, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Together:
🌍 Socioeconomics push toward recovery.
🔥 Warming oceans stall or reverse progress.
Without climate change, mangroves could recover to global restoration targets. With warming, we lose ~150,000 ha by 2100.
🌍 Socioeconomics push toward recovery.
🔥 Warming oceans stall or reverse progress.
Without climate change, mangroves could recover to global restoration targets. With warming, we lose ~150,000 ha by 2100.
Temperature matters too.
Warming helps colder sites expand. But beyond a threshold, heat damages dominate.
We identified sea surface temp of the hottest month (SSTh) as the strongest signal.
This Figure shows the marginal effect of both drivers
Warming helps colder sites expand. But beyond a threshold, heat damages dominate.
We identified sea surface temp of the hottest month (SSTh) as the strongest signal.
This Figure shows the marginal effect of both drivers
September 3, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Temperature matters too.
Warming helps colder sites expand. But beyond a threshold, heat damages dominate.
We identified sea surface temp of the hottest month (SSTh) as the strongest signal.
This Figure shows the marginal effect of both drivers
Warming helps colder sites expand. But beyond a threshold, heat damages dominate.
We identified sea surface temp of the hottest month (SSTh) as the strongest signal.
This Figure shows the marginal effect of both drivers
We find a Kuznets-like pattern: at low GDP, mangroves are often lost (deforestation/land-use change). Beyond a development threshold, protection strengthens and mangrove cover recovers. Socioeconomic growth can support conservation—but only after that threshold is crossed.
September 3, 2025 at 1:54 PM
We find a Kuznets-like pattern: at low GDP, mangroves are often lost (deforestation/land-use change). Beyond a development threshold, protection strengthens and mangrove cover recovers. Socioeconomic growth can support conservation—but only after that threshold is crossed.
Mangroves protect coasts, store carbon & sustain fisheries. Using global data (1996–2020), we mapped mangrove extent & tracked how it responds to climate & socioeconomic drivers. Each point = 1° grid cell with mangroves.
September 3, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Mangroves protect coasts, store carbon & sustain fisheries. Using global data (1996–2020), we mapped mangrove extent & tracked how it responds to climate & socioeconomic drivers. Each point = 1° grid cell with mangroves.
Reposted by Bernie Bastien-Olvera
📈 Daily global temperature between 1940 to 2025 – @hausfath.bsky.social
2️⃣ bsky.app/profile/haus...
2️⃣ bsky.app/profile/haus...
May 30, 2025 at 11:35 AM
📈 Daily global temperature between 1940 to 2025 – @hausfath.bsky.social
2️⃣ bsky.app/profile/haus...
2️⃣ bsky.app/profile/haus...
Sure thing! Here's a website where activists and academics are compiling info that has proved useful to inform about potential impacts, but not peer reviewed research that I'm aware of.
whalesorgas.org
whalesorgas.org
Whales or Gas
Mexican whales are being threatened. They want to bring huge ships through the Gulf of California to transport millions of tons of methane gas to Asia.
whalesorgas.org
March 20, 2025 at 10:03 PM
Sure thing! Here's a website where activists and academics are compiling info that has proved useful to inform about potential impacts, but not peer reviewed research that I'm aware of.
whalesorgas.org
whalesorgas.org