Mert N. Matsumoto (松本信秀)
@arveloamert.bsky.social
Japanese-Turkish, PhD (C) IR, Working on Seapower, Geopolitics, Mil. Strategy, FP. Analysis and Owner of World News Journal (RT ≠ Endorsement)
Merry Christmas to everyone!!! 🎄🎄🎄🎄
December 24, 2024 at 6:37 PM
Merry Christmas to everyone!!! 🎄🎄🎄🎄
87) ... with Chinese and NK bodies, it was still one of the toughest and deadliest battles for the U.S. Army and U.S. Marines. Staying vigilant, checking your magazines and keeping your eyes wide open even at night is the best way since NK troops also looks for gaining the first shooter advantage.
December 15, 2024 at 11:02 PM
87) ... with Chinese and NK bodies, it was still one of the toughest and deadliest battles for the U.S. Army and U.S. Marines. Staying vigilant, checking your magazines and keeping your eyes wide open even at night is the best way since NK troops also looks for gaining the first shooter advantage.
86) But still we can't make and see them as fools and underestimate their presence. It is clear that they will face heavy casualties but a firable mass force is still a mass. They will burn-out Ukrainian ammunition, time and to some degree men power. Even once fields around Chosin has filled...
December 15, 2024 at 11:02 PM
86) But still we can't make and see them as fools and underestimate their presence. It is clear that they will face heavy casualties but a firable mass force is still a mass. They will burn-out Ukrainian ammunition, time and to some degree men power. Even once fields around Chosin has filled...
85) It means, it is highly possible that you will die if enemy has already detected+positioned your location. So if fire has once started your mortality chance is greater than 60%. This concentration and closing-in becomes an obstacle and a greater risk. NKs will learn this but will be in a hard way
December 15, 2024 at 11:02 PM
85) It means, it is highly possible that you will die if enemy has already detected+positioned your location. So if fire has once started your mortality chance is greater than 60%. This concentration and closing-in becomes an obstacle and a greater risk. NKs will learn this but will be in a hard way
84) By this way, they feel themselves under a sense of control, safeness and this gives them an ability to react and use suppression fire in a concentrated way if Ukrainians fire first. But here is the problem, in both trench and modern warfare there is a first-contact advantage. What this means?
December 15, 2024 at 11:02 PM
84) By this way, they feel themselves under a sense of control, safeness and this gives them an ability to react and use suppression fire in a concentrated way if Ukrainians fire first. But here is the problem, in both trench and modern warfare there is a first-contact advantage. What this means?
83) They know that Ukrainians have already positioned themselves and mastered to fight as dispersed and disguised forces, they are alien to the territory and they knew they are under a constant aerial reconing and surveillance. It is a natural instinct to try closing-in to a familial face in unknown
December 15, 2024 at 11:02 PM
83) They know that Ukrainians have already positioned themselves and mastered to fight as dispersed and disguised forces, they are alien to the territory and they knew they are under a constant aerial reconing and surveillance. It is a natural instinct to try closing-in to a familial face in unknown
82) But failure to disperse in modern war is almost a near death situation. Don't they know this? Of course they know. But this awareness of danger makes them more exposed. Why even as platoons, North Koreans continues to move forward in open terrain as close-in groups? It is a pure human instinct.
December 15, 2024 at 11:02 PM
82) But failure to disperse in modern war is almost a near death situation. Don't they know this? Of course they know. But this awareness of danger makes them more exposed. Why even as platoons, North Koreans continues to move forward in open terrain as close-in groups? It is a pure human instinct.
81) Even current Russian and North Korean Offensive tactics look similiar, NK forces still faces a bigger risk for even higher casualties. Why? They don't know the territory as well as Russians and could have problems with finding cover or worse friendly fire issues. So dispersing is a risk or them.
December 15, 2024 at 11:02 PM
81) Even current Russian and North Korean Offensive tactics look similiar, NK forces still faces a bigger risk for even higher casualties. Why? They don't know the territory as well as Russians and could have problems with finding cover or worse friendly fire issues. So dispersing is a risk or them.
80) ... to encircle the positions and anniilate or attrit enemies. This is pretty similiar with today's Russian offensive doctrine which is also prone to heavy casualties. I am pretty sure that both their Russian mentors and NK Commanders warned them about how much war has changed and more lethal.
December 15, 2024 at 11:02 PM
80) ... to encircle the positions and anniilate or attrit enemies. This is pretty similiar with today's Russian offensive doctrine which is also prone to heavy casualties. I am pretty sure that both their Russian mentors and NK Commanders warned them about how much war has changed and more lethal.
78) It also looks like the Russian Command arranged them as platoons like its own Storm-Z troops. But one problem persists, North Korean troops (even in platoon-level) tries to act close to each other on open field rather than in cover, disguise and as dispersed. It is not surprising as expected.
December 15, 2024 at 10:52 PM
78) It also looks like the Russian Command arranged them as platoons like its own Storm-Z troops. But one problem persists, North Korean troops (even in platoon-level) tries to act close to each other on open field rather than in cover, disguise and as dispersed. It is not surprising as expected.
77) Reports and FPV-originated videos shows that, as expected, North Koreans experienced high amount of losses. The views of dead bodies on fields of #Kursk resembled me the Battle of Chosin Reservoir in 1950 Korean War. It appears like the Russians gave them little and limited general training.
December 15, 2024 at 10:52 PM
77) Reports and FPV-originated videos shows that, as expected, North Koreans experienced high amount of losses. The views of dead bodies on fields of #Kursk resembled me the Battle of Chosin Reservoir in 1950 Korean War. It appears like the Russians gave them little and limited general training.
76) North Korean soldiers are reported to be deployed in various fronts in #Kursk and some unconfirmed reports even underlines that they are also being or at least prepared to be deployed within #Ukraine. NK forces took part in Russian operations (or solely executed it is unclear) to retake Guyevo.
December 15, 2024 at 10:52 PM
75) If #Ukraine could achieve a new way of mobilization and the U.S. and the West could achieve to supply #Ukraine, with right choices, this narrow window could help Kyiv to strike #Russia elsewhere of the front. But this window is really narrow and could already be missed.
December 13, 2024 at 9:11 AM
74) … to take a breath by exploiting the inauguration of the Trump Administration and its peace-making rhetoric to consolidate its forces, relocate some troops and to wait for the Ukrainian military to further experience attrition of winter by cutting the #Pokrovsk route.
December 13, 2024 at 9:11 AM
74) … to take a breath by exploiting the inauguration of the Trump Administration and its peace-making rhetoric to consolidate its forces, relocate some troops and to wait for the Ukrainian military to further experience attrition of winter by cutting the #Pokrovsk route.
73) … highly attritional. The Battle for #Pokrovsk is significantly deadly for the Russian military combined with its offensive efforts in #Kursk. Pokrovsk could be the top point of the Russian offensive operations for a while. #Russia could attempt to negotiate a ceasefire…
December 13, 2024 at 9:11 AM
72) Possible loss of #Pokrovsk is an important set-back since it is one of the important crossroads between the South, East and North of Donbass. But there is still one very narrow window of opportunity for #Ukraine and the West to not miss. Russian military, now, fights…
December 13, 2024 at 9:11 AM
71) Russian forces continues their advances around #Pokrovsk. This week, #Russia advanced from the south of the town to cut the communication lines between the town and Southern Vuhledar-axis. This situation put the Ukrainian forces defending the town in a highly hard position.
December 13, 2024 at 9:11 AM
END) So this naval drill is one of the most important and widest naval drills that #China ever organized. But it is far from having the degree of jointness and naval strength of the previous exercises that they conducted. The seperated execution of the exercise is also weird.
December 12, 2024 at 8:43 AM
END) So this naval drill is one of the most important and widest naval drills that #China ever organized. But it is far from having the degree of jointness and naval strength of the previous exercises that they conducted. The seperated execution of the exercise is also weird.
10) ...island hopping campaigns of #China. Kinmen, Wuqiu and Matsu Islands. Penghu is still out of the exercise area for now. China thinks they will probably won’t need an A2 zone in taking these islands since the US won’t intervene + AF will be enough to enforce a kind of sea-denial.
December 12, 2024 at 8:43 AM
10) ...island hopping campaigns of #China. Kinmen, Wuqiu and Matsu Islands. Penghu is still out of the exercise area for now. China thinks they will probably won’t need an A2 zone in taking these islands since the US won’t intervene + AF will be enough to enforce a kind of sea-denial.
9) Another important thing is, this training exercise was focused solely on the First Island Chain and #Taiwan Strait. The aim was checking Taiwanese forces out and preparing the other Commands to help and enforce a kind of blockade and anti-access. This leads us to long…
December 12, 2024 at 8:43 AM
9) Another important thing is, this training exercise was focused solely on the First Island Chain and #Taiwan Strait. The aim was checking Taiwanese forces out and preparing the other Commands to help and enforce a kind of blockade and anti-access. This leads us to long…
8) A declining trust in Navy (extreme reason), different operational mantra due to different focus in the training or simply a swift competition between services within the PLA. But what is important is the U.S., Japan and #Taiwan should focus countering #China’s air-sea denial in a combined way.
December 12, 2024 at 8:43 AM
7) … other theater Commands. But this one is important since it coordinates different Commands with each other. Also this drill is more like an Air Force dominated drill rather than Navy. An important change and reason to wonder: why? Could be related with many things.
December 12, 2024 at 8:43 AM
7) … other theater Commands. But this one is important since it coordinates different Commands with each other. Also this drill is more like an Air Force dominated drill rather than Navy. An important change and reason to wonder: why? Could be related with many things.
6) … this naval drill focuses more on geographical and theater wide jointness rather than inter-service jointness of previous drills. Until now, the Chinese forces mostly acted like they are operating in a confined and isolated environment with only using certain units from…
December 12, 2024 at 8:43 AM
6) … this naval drill focuses more on geographical and theater wide jointness rather than inter-service jointness of previous drills. Until now, the Chinese forces mostly acted like they are operating in a confined and isolated environment with only using certain units from…
4) … together. You could also add South Korea if they fail to guarantee a some kind of deal with #China. China wants to have a capability to punish whole First Island Chain nations and they see #Taiwan and Senkaku as a intertwined whole for their dominance in the East China Sea.
December 12, 2024 at 8:43 AM
3) … part of the drill in the Eastern and Southern Pacific diminished its practicability and once more, shows a return to the confined maritime ambitions around the First Island Chain. But it also re-surfaces a frightening reality. #Taiwan and #Japan’s destiny is sealed to fight…
December 12, 2024 at 8:43 AM