Alex
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Alex
@arh820.bsky.social
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Seems like more evidence than polls are undercounting Ds like crazy
November 4, 2024 at 1:16 AM
She’s just constantly nailed this and it’s such a gutsy thing to publish as everyone else herds
November 2, 2024 at 11:25 PM
Just a ridiculous thing to write and explains why all the polls are herding
It's hard to overstate how traumatic the 2016 and 2020 elections were for many pollsters. For some, another underestimate of Mr. Trump could be a major threat to their business and their livelihood. For the rest, their status and reputations are on the line. If they underestimate Mr. Trump a third straight time, how can their polls be trusted again? It is much safer, whether in terms of literal self-interest or purely psychologically, to find a close race than to gamble on a clear Harris victory. At the same time, the 2016 and 2020 polling misfires shattered many pollsters' confidence in their own methods and data. When their results come in very blue, they don't believe it. And frankly, I share that same feeling: If our final Pennsylvania poll comes in at Harris +7, why would I believe it? As a result, pollsters are more willing to take steps to produce more Republican-leaning results.
November 1, 2024 at 8:58 PM
Trump Vance and Musk really hammer the point that the Republican Party is the party of deadbeat dads
Has she converted? No she hasn't. That's why I feel bad about it. She's got three kids. Obviously I help with the kids, but because I'm kind of the one going to church, she feels more responsibility to keep the kids quiet in the church. And I just felt kind of bad. Like, oh, you didn't sign up to marry a weekly churchgoer. Are you OK with this? And she was more than OK with it, and that was a big part of the confirmation that this was the right thing for me.
October 12, 2024 at 7:36 PM
Tampa and a bunch of the western coast is still in recovery from Helene and about to get absolutely smashed by Milton
October 6, 2024 at 12:54 AM
As a potential major hurricane is going to hit the panhandle and Georgia, it’s good to know the president won’t withhold aid because some counties/states didn’t vote for him
Hurricane forecast of a potential Cat 3/4 storm aimed at Pensacola
September 23, 2024 at 12:54 PM
What the actual fuck
September 6, 2024 at 2:34 AM
Walz made the hot pocket joke yesterday and Vance followed that up by showing he cares to learn nothing about regional food
August 19, 2024 at 9:10 PM
Stealing this from Michael Caley on the other site
August 15, 2024 at 8:07 PM
Republicans “We’re not weird. Please stop calling us weird”

Also republicans:
July 31, 2024 at 12:03 AM
Also got a little strip of green right now but we’ll see how long that lasts
April 10, 2024 at 5:35 PM
This Zillow post is just a little over the top
October 18, 2023 at 1:03 AM
This is some hard hitting journalism from axios
October 3, 2023 at 11:51 AM
Louisiana is such a laggard in adding any renewables. You don’t need to be Texas but you should be be adding more than Vermont
US map showing installed wind, solar, and storage capacity by state. Louisiana is one of the smallest dots
July 20, 2023 at 2:46 PM
I got 58 yesterday. I am done with that game. Don’t think I could ever do better
July 20, 2023 at 12:14 AM
Didn’t have Festus Ezeli on the DDD bingo card
July 5, 2023 at 2:33 AM
Clippers medical staff seeing they might be adding Brogdon
June 22, 2023 at 2:58 AM