Ángel Casaña
@angelcasana.bsky.social
Economics and the stock market.
I trade stocks and financial options.
I do not offer courses or recommendations. Non-profit.
The #TrumProblem tariffs have led to a slowdown in the global economy and increased uncertainty. The US is one of the hardest hit countries, the OECD said.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Trump’s Tariffs Are Hurting US and Global Economy, OECD Warns
Donald Trump’s combative trade policies have tipped the world economy into a downturn, with the US among the hardest hit, the OECD said.
www.bloomberg.com
June 3, 2025 at 9:30 AM
The #TrumProblem tariffs have led to a slowdown in the global economy and increased uncertainty. The US is one of the hardest hit countries, the OECD said.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
We have a very interesting week ahead with NVDA's earnings.
In the premarket, it broke above the 200-day moving average (hourly chart) and broke out of the bullish flag ceiling.
Bloomberg: 7 trillion waiting for the results to get in.
In the premarket, it broke above the 200-day moving average (hourly chart) and broke out of the bullish flag ceiling.
Bloomberg: 7 trillion waiting for the results to get in.
May 27, 2025 at 11:26 AM
We have a very interesting week ahead with NVDA's earnings.
In the premarket, it broke above the 200-day moving average (hourly chart) and broke out of the bullish flag ceiling.
Bloomberg: 7 trillion waiting for the results to get in.
In the premarket, it broke above the 200-day moving average (hourly chart) and broke out of the bullish flag ceiling.
Bloomberg: 7 trillion waiting for the results to get in.
After a few days of busying himself with stinging tactics in the Gulf, Mr. Tariffs is back with renewed vigor.
He's threatening Europe with 50% tariffs and Apple with 25% for phones manufactured outside the US.
Heavy losses in the futures. I can't imagin the Wisconsin guys screwing the iPhone up.
He's threatening Europe with 50% tariffs and Apple with 25% for phones manufactured outside the US.
Heavy losses in the futures. I can't imagin the Wisconsin guys screwing the iPhone up.
May 23, 2025 at 12:25 PM
After a few days of busying himself with stinging tactics in the Gulf, Mr. Tariffs is back with renewed vigor.
He's threatening Europe with 50% tariffs and Apple with 25% for phones manufactured outside the US.
Heavy losses in the futures. I can't imagin the Wisconsin guys screwing the iPhone up.
He's threatening Europe with 50% tariffs and Apple with 25% for phones manufactured outside the US.
Heavy losses in the futures. I can't imagin the Wisconsin guys screwing the iPhone up.
Walmart's strong intraday performance after earnings. Third-highest volume of the year.
Target: the origin of the $100 gap
(I have an options position) WMT
Target: the origin of the $100 gap
(I have an options position) WMT
May 15, 2025 at 9:31 PM
Walmart's strong intraday performance after earnings. Third-highest volume of the year.
Target: the origin of the $100 gap
(I have an options position) WMT
Target: the origin of the $100 gap
(I have an options position) WMT
Impressive market. What strength. We're near to those who missed the rally starting to say it's expensive.
$SPX $SPY S&P 500
$SPX $SPY S&P 500
May 15, 2025 at 9:15 PM
Impressive market. What strength. We're near to those who missed the rally starting to say it's expensive.
$SPX $SPY S&P 500
$SPX $SPY S&P 500
Good results from Walmart.
WMT Up 3% in premarket.
(I have a C100 option that will surely go into the money.)
WMT Up 3% in premarket.
(I have a C100 option that will surely go into the money.)
May 15, 2025 at 11:06 AM
Good results from Walmart.
WMT Up 3% in premarket.
(I have a C100 option that will surely go into the money.)
WMT Up 3% in premarket.
(I have a C100 option that will surely go into the money.)
Yesterday at the close, it was reported that Qatar has ordered 210 planes from Boeing, with Trump's support.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
BA up 2% in premarket (I'm invested through options).
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
BA up 2% in premarket (I'm invested through options).
Boeing Marks Comeback From Crisis With Record Qatar Air Deal
A year after Boeing Co. slogged through a deep executive shakeup and prolonged existential crisis, the US planemaker just landed its biggest-ever aircraft order, propelled by a powerful endorsement fr...
www.bloomberg.com
May 15, 2025 at 10:38 AM
Yesterday at the close, it was reported that Qatar has ordered 210 planes from Boeing, with Trump's support.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
BA up 2% in premarket (I'm invested through options).
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
BA up 2% in premarket (I'm invested through options).
Support on the Fibonacci (hourly chart) was expected after days of vertical rises awaiting today's macro data: retail sales, producer prices, and new unemployment claims.
Let's see if the tariffs have already taken effect and how the market reacts.
Let's see if the tariffs have already taken effect and how the market reacts.
May 15, 2025 at 10:01 AM
Support on the Fibonacci (hourly chart) was expected after days of vertical rises awaiting today's macro data: retail sales, producer prices, and new unemployment claims.
Let's see if the tariffs have already taken effect and how the market reacts.
Let's see if the tariffs have already taken effect and how the market reacts.
With the S&P 500 in 🚀 mode, we can expect a pullback, some correction toward the Fibonacci level or even the 200 moving average.
Perhaps tomorrow's macro data on Thursday will provide an excuse to do so, to rest after the rise in the China deal and the trip to Saudi Arabia.
Perhaps tomorrow's macro data on Thursday will provide an excuse to do so, to rest after the rise in the China deal and the trip to Saudi Arabia.
May 14, 2025 at 1:17 PM
With the S&P 500 in 🚀 mode, we can expect a pullback, some correction toward the Fibonacci level or even the 200 moving average.
Perhaps tomorrow's macro data on Thursday will provide an excuse to do so, to rest after the rise in the China deal and the trip to Saudi Arabia.
Perhaps tomorrow's macro data on Thursday will provide an excuse to do so, to rest after the rise in the China deal and the trip to Saudi Arabia.
Are we in a V-shaped surge like Covid?
It's hard to know yet, given that tariffs on China have been suspended for 90 days, and we don't know the damage this could have done to the economy and what it will do if there's no agreement within three months.
Current charts vs. Covid.
It's hard to know yet, given that tariffs on China have been suspended for 90 days, and we don't know the damage this could have done to the economy and what it will do if there's no agreement within three months.
Current charts vs. Covid.
May 13, 2025 at 8:55 AM
Are we in a V-shaped surge like Covid?
It's hard to know yet, given that tariffs on China have been suspended for 90 days, and we don't know the damage this could have done to the economy and what it will do if there's no agreement within three months.
Current charts vs. Covid.
It's hard to know yet, given that tariffs on China have been suspended for 90 days, and we don't know the damage this could have done to the economy and what it will do if there's no agreement within three months.
Current charts vs. Covid.
The S&P500 came to a standstill, almost touching the 0.78 Fibo level, at the day's highs. It didn't even bother to pull back at the end of the session.
It's likely to test the MM200 (green, reacting to this week's data, which could already show the damage tariffs have on the economy. Today's CPI.
It's likely to test the MM200 (green, reacting to this week's data, which could already show the damage tariffs have on the economy. Today's CPI.
May 13, 2025 at 8:44 AM
The S&P500 came to a standstill, almost touching the 0.78 Fibo level, at the day's highs. It didn't even bother to pull back at the end of the session.
It's likely to test the MM200 (green, reacting to this week's data, which could already show the damage tariffs have on the economy. Today's CPI.
It's likely to test the MM200 (green, reacting to this week's data, which could already show the damage tariffs have on the economy. Today's CPI.
I don't think anyone expected such a positive agreement, including me.
Unless this week's macro data is catastrophic, the main scenario now is a V-shaped upswing.
Unless this week's macro data is catastrophic, the main scenario now is a V-shaped upswing.
The SP500 has been trading in the range it was in on April 2 for seven sessions, hours before we knew what "Liberation Day" would mean.
May 12, 2025 at 8:39 AM
I don't think anyone expected such a positive agreement, including me.
Unless this week's macro data is catastrophic, the main scenario now is a V-shaped upswing.
Unless this week's macro data is catastrophic, the main scenario now is a V-shaped upswing.
My thoughts for tomorrow, Monday, after Geneva and Ukraine/Russia: huge bullish gap, profit-taking, and a weak close ahead of Tuesday's CPI. We'll see.
The SP500 has been trading in the range it was in on April 2 for seven sessions, hours before we knew what "Liberation Day" would mean.
May 11, 2025 at 8:50 PM
My thoughts for tomorrow, Monday, after Geneva and Ukraine/Russia: huge bullish gap, profit-taking, and a weak close ahead of Tuesday's CPI. We'll see.
The SP500 has been trading in the range it was in on April 2 for seven sessions, hours before we knew what "Liberation Day" would mean.
May 11, 2025 at 10:54 AM
The SP500 has been trading in the range it was in on April 2 for seven sessions, hours before we knew what "Liberation Day" would mean.
Bitcoin salió del canal bajista y ahora se encuentra ante la media móvil de 200 sesiones.
Empieza una película nueva. Seguramente se mantendrá en esta zona un tiempo, incluso con testeo al techo del canal, antes de intentar saltar por encima de la media.
Empieza una película nueva. Seguramente se mantendrá en esta zona un tiempo, incluso con testeo al techo del canal, antes de intentar saltar por encima de la media.
April 21, 2025 at 7:31 AM
Bitcoin salió del canal bajista y ahora se encuentra ante la media móvil de 200 sesiones.
Empieza una película nueva. Seguramente se mantendrá en esta zona un tiempo, incluso con testeo al techo del canal, antes de intentar saltar por encima de la media.
Empieza una película nueva. Seguramente se mantendrá en esta zona un tiempo, incluso con testeo al techo del canal, antes de intentar saltar por encima de la media.
El 38% de los hogares de EEUU tiene bolsa. Deben estar odiando a Trump por la volatilidad que está metiendo a los mercados.
April 13, 2025 at 8:19 PM
El 38% de los hogares de EEUU tiene bolsa. Deben estar odiando a Trump por la volatilidad que está metiendo a los mercados.
Bitcoin completó el viaje hasta el techo del canal.
Ahora cede ligeramente mientras decide si se va a buscar la media de 200 sesiones (línea verde) o vuelve al suelo del canal.
Ahora cede ligeramente mientras decide si se va a buscar la media de 200 sesiones (línea verde) o vuelve al suelo del canal.
April 13, 2025 at 8:53 AM
Bitcoin completó el viaje hasta el techo del canal.
Ahora cede ligeramente mientras decide si se va a buscar la media de 200 sesiones (línea verde) o vuelve al suelo del canal.
Ahora cede ligeramente mientras decide si se va a buscar la media de 200 sesiones (línea verde) o vuelve al suelo del canal.
El DOGE de Elon Musk es una cortina de humo.
Un análisis del Wall Street Journal, basado en datos del Departamento del Tesoro, muestra que el gasto del gobierno Trump desde la toma de posesión es de 154 mil millones más que en el mismo período de 2024 durante la administración de Biden.
Un análisis del Wall Street Journal, basado en datos del Departamento del Tesoro, muestra que el gasto del gobierno Trump desde la toma de posesión es de 154 mil millones más que en el mismo período de 2024 durante la administración de Biden.
April 11, 2025 at 11:16 AM
El DOGE de Elon Musk es una cortina de humo.
Un análisis del Wall Street Journal, basado en datos del Departamento del Tesoro, muestra que el gasto del gobierno Trump desde la toma de posesión es de 154 mil millones más que en el mismo período de 2024 durante la administración de Biden.
Un análisis del Wall Street Journal, basado en datos del Departamento del Tesoro, muestra que el gasto del gobierno Trump desde la toma de posesión es de 154 mil millones más que en el mismo período de 2024 durante la administración de Biden.
¿Las bolsas? No, donde se juega el partido es en los mercados monetarios.
Los bonos presionaron a Trump a anunciar un retraso de 90 días de los aranceles recíprocos. Y aunque hubo tregua y subida bestial de los mercados, las dudas mientras #TrumProblema esté en la Casa Blanca persisten.
Los bonos presionaron a Trump a anunciar un retraso de 90 días de los aranceles recíprocos. Y aunque hubo tregua y subida bestial de los mercados, las dudas mientras #TrumProblema esté en la Casa Blanca persisten.
April 11, 2025 at 11:02 AM
¿Las bolsas? No, donde se juega el partido es en los mercados monetarios.
Los bonos presionaron a Trump a anunciar un retraso de 90 días de los aranceles recíprocos. Y aunque hubo tregua y subida bestial de los mercados, las dudas mientras #TrumProblema esté en la Casa Blanca persisten.
Los bonos presionaron a Trump a anunciar un retraso de 90 días de los aranceles recíprocos. Y aunque hubo tregua y subida bestial de los mercados, las dudas mientras #TrumProblema esté en la Casa Blanca persisten.
General Motors despedirá a 200 trabajadores en su planta de vehículos eléctricos mientras ajusta la producción.
#TrumProblema
#TrumProblema
April 10, 2025 at 1:29 PM
General Motors despedirá a 200 trabajadores en su planta de vehículos eléctricos mientras ajusta la producción.
#TrumProblema
#TrumProblema
En las tres se dieron intervenciones de la Reserva Federal. Esta vez no parece el caso.
Sujeten los caballos, no se dejen llevar por la euforia. En las 16 veces que el S&P 500 cayó un 15% o más, solo terminó 12 meses después en positivo en tres ocasiones, según datos compilados por Ryan Detrick en Carson Group.
April 10, 2025 at 12:06 PM
En las tres se dieron intervenciones de la Reserva Federal. Esta vez no parece el caso.
Sujeten los caballos, no se dejen llevar por la euforia. En las 16 veces que el S&P 500 cayó un 15% o más, solo terminó 12 meses después en positivo en tres ocasiones, según datos compilados por Ryan Detrick en Carson Group.
April 10, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Sujeten los caballos, no se dejen llevar por la euforia. En las 16 veces que el S&P 500 cayó un 15% o más, solo terminó 12 meses después en positivo en tres ocasiones, según datos compilados por Ryan Detrick en Carson Group.
Bitcoin en zona de peligro. Intentó volver a meterse en el canal bajista pero ha fallado. Si no se sujeta en esta zona podría viajar fuerte al sur.
No recomendaría a nadie un corto. La contraparte es muy fuerte.
BTC
No recomendaría a nadie un corto. La contraparte es muy fuerte.
BTC
April 8, 2025 at 5:39 PM
Bitcoin en zona de peligro. Intentó volver a meterse en el canal bajista pero ha fallado. Si no se sujeta en esta zona podría viajar fuerte al sur.
No recomendaría a nadie un corto. La contraparte es muy fuerte.
BTC
No recomendaría a nadie un corto. La contraparte es muy fuerte.
BTC
Bitcoin ha completado rápidamente su viaje hasta el suelo del canal.
Empieza un partido nuevo: ¿rebote desde aquí, como hizo en dos ocasiones anteriores? ¿O tal vez se vaya al origen de la subida, los 70.000 dólares?
Empieza un partido nuevo: ¿rebote desde aquí, como hizo en dos ocasiones anteriores? ¿O tal vez se vaya al origen de la subida, los 70.000 dólares?
April 6, 2025 at 7:11 PM
Bitcoin ha completado rápidamente su viaje hasta el suelo del canal.
Empieza un partido nuevo: ¿rebote desde aquí, como hizo en dos ocasiones anteriores? ¿O tal vez se vaya al origen de la subida, los 70.000 dólares?
Empieza un partido nuevo: ¿rebote desde aquí, como hizo en dos ocasiones anteriores? ¿O tal vez se vaya al origen de la subida, los 70.000 dólares?