andrewjlohn.bsky.social
@andrewjlohn.bsky.social
My math says that small increases in the number of defenses can hold off exponential increases in the number or speed of attackers. Surprised? Disagree? Take a look and tell me why.

www.arxiv.org/abs/2504.18577
Defending Against Intelligent Attackers at Large Scales
We investigate the scale of attack and defense mathematically in the context of AI's possible effect on cybersecurity. For a given target today, highly scaled cyber attacks such as from worms or botne...
www.arxiv.org
April 29, 2025 at 9:42 PM
Kicking things off with some self-promotion.

Wonder whether AI will help or hurt in cyber? Feel like reading an 80-page comprehensive analysis? No? What if you can get most of it in three minutes by just skimming the table of contents and a couple tables in section 9.

arxiv.org/abs/2504.13371
The Impact of AI on the Cyber Offense-Defense Balance and the Character of Cyber Conflict
Unlike other domains of conflict, and unlike other fields with high anticipated risk from AI, the cyber domain is intrinsically digital with a tight feedback loop between AI training and cyber applica...
arxiv.org
April 22, 2025 at 10:42 PM