Alternate angle of the mustache mafia:

Well, until I saw this picture of you, @andrewathan.bsky.social , I thought it was only my strange mind. But now I am convinced, that I found a portrait of you when I was hunting for #Graffiti in #Krakow

Admittedly, you usually don't look as grumpy 😅

#SPRKrakow2025

I'm most of the remaining 1% and proud of it

Totally agree.

Looking forward to it! To be clear, I totally agree that better analytic decisions should generally be used esp when CIs have been misused. Despite how hard it is to write concisely for me, I think we are mostly just three dudes agreeing

Yeah I’m not saying we shouldn’t model correctly, just that it’s a tool for people to use, so the best test is whether it helps improve decisions, in this case about treatment. I’d definitely hypothesize that a more accurate model would help make better decisions, but that’s an empirical question

Sounds good. In a way this kind of clinician-facing statistic is really still unvalidated because we have so few trials of reasonable alternates, and the ultimate validity question is how much they improve important outcomes. Beter to be wrong and helpful than the opposite, would be my preference

Say more? Robust against what?

Her findings suggest that therapists sometimes feel a patient doesn’t fit them, often when patients are dissimilar from the therapist in some way, which lowers the therapists’ expectations

This is 100% my experience too. This city doesn’t sleep