from the NYT: "A journalist asked Mr. Trump last week who the arch is for. He responded: “Me — it’s going to be beautiful.” " www.nytimes.com/2025/10/21/u...

You can read the full working paper and methodology here - comments welcome! arxiv.org/abs/2511.11532

I find a weaker, or non-existant relationship to coverage by MSNBC and CNN (not statistically significant). As I was submitting this, a wave of new attention broke, so I will need to re-run the analysis when I have data on the new window 3/

So I thought I would test it. I put together data on Trump's Truth Social posts and TV transcripts from Fox News, CNN, and MSNBC. I find there is clear movement towards novel content in Trump's posts in the days following a spike in attention on Epstein in Fox News TV coverage. 2/

I hope this work sparks a conversation about shifting our focus from what's easiest for AI to teach, to what's most valuable for humans to learn.
Full paper here: arxiv.org/abs/2508.19625

The problem is worsened when considering unpriced, non-cognitive skills like persistence, which could be crowded out by an over-reliance on AI tools that are intended to make learning "easier."

The central proposition is that this mismatch grows as AI becomes more prevalent, leading schools to over-invest in skills that are becoming obsolete.

The risk is that AI encourages educational systems to specialize in precisely the wrong areas. My paper formalizes this as a coordination failure, where planners who adopt AI for its immediate teaching benefits, systematically generate a skill mismatch.

Exactly! I have a research article about this, and a more recent write up here - open.substack.com/pub/elenchos...

www.foreignaffairs.com/sudan/sudans...