andretrades.bsky.social
@andretrades.bsky.social
When those three collapse, the instinct is predictable:

Create a conflict big enough to distract from all three.

This is not national defense.

This is a collapsing strongman improvising one more act.
December 14, 2025 at 4:08 PM
So he tries to drown them with the sound of explosions.

Leaders who possess real power don’t need stunts.

Leaders who fear losing power rely on nothing else.
December 14, 2025 at 4:07 PM
The September 2 strike — and the contested follow-up strike on survivors — demands scrutiny because the logic fails every strategic test but passes the optics test perfectly.

This is not foreign policy.

This is a political stunt with body counts.
December 14, 2025 at 4:07 PM
The timing is not accidental.
The motives are not strategic.
The pattern is textbook.

A president losing cognitive, political, and institutional control always turns outward to manufacture strength.

Theatrics fill the void where leadership used to be.
December 14, 2025 at 4:06 PM
Trump chose a foreign conflict because he needed:

• louder headlines
• cinematic violence
• a fabricated display of strength
• a distraction from Epstein-file fallout
• a counter-story to cognitive decline reporting

This isn’t strategy.

It’s insecurity masquerading as power.
December 14, 2025 at 4:04 PM
Frozen Russian assets remain the only veto-proof, long-term, politically durable funding base.

EU joint debt is a backup — not a replacement — and it is veto-vulnerable.

Russia pays. Europe stabilizes.

That is the doctrine.
December 14, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Ukraine financing must be structured so minority coalitions or fiscally anxious states cannot dilute or delay the use of Russian assets.

If resistance forms, the EU must default to qualified-majority or institution-level mechanisms.
December 14, 2025 at 3:44 PM
A small coalition (Italy, Belgium, Malta, Bulgaria) can’t form a blocking minority — but their public resistance creates political drag at the exact moment Trump is pushing concessions.

Fragmentation is now a strategic risk.
December 14, 2025 at 3:44 PM
When the U.S. wobbles and a single EU state obstructs, the only durable path is:

• EU-level financing
• Russian assets as backbone
• No veto choke points
• Europe as the stabilizer

The EU just deployed that structure.
December 14, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Doctrine Clause 1.2 (Updated):

“Security guarantees for Ukraine must be unambiguous, automatic, and enforceable.

Any optional or interpretive guarantee cannot form a stable or lasting peace.”

Update complete.
December 13, 2025 at 5:17 AM
Some leaders argue for “painful concessions.”

But a weak peace with vague guarantees only sets up a larger NATO war later.

Europe cannot fracture on this point.
December 13, 2025 at 5:17 AM