Amar Marthi
amarmarthi.bsky.social
Amar Marthi
@amarmarthi.bsky.social
Renal Registrar/Fellow from the UK, currently on hiatus to be a PhD student in Epidemiology at UNC Chapel Hill
While no method is perfect - we can aim to provide less biased estimates of the per protocol analysis, and in the process, aim to estimate the effect we are really interest in: how well does an intervention work in the people who take it.
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
Of course there are caveats - important ones being (1) factors associated with non-adherence and the outcome of interest are appropriately measured and modeled, and (2) at least some people who remain adherent look like the people who we censored (were non-adherent) so they can "stand in" properly.
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
Those people who remain adherent then stand in for the people who became non-adherent. This "inverse probability of censoring weighting" (IPCW) preserves our baseline randomization and also accounts for the fact that we are censoring people who might differ from the people remaining in the study.
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
We identify baseline and time-varying factors (e.g. age, eGFR etc.) that might be predictive of both censoring (non-adherence) and the outcome of interest. Then we can use this to identify adherent people who based on those factors look like the people who are non-adherent and "up weight" them.
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
Epidemiology methods to the rescue! Modern per-protocol analyses recognize this bias and account for this using predictors of non-adherence. How do they do this? We analyze as in the ITT but as soon as someone deviates from their assigned arm, we censor them. But next is the important part...
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
What if we could keep people in their randomized arm (preserve randomization at baseline) but then account for the fact that non-adherence is not occurring randomly. Then we can estimate the effect had everyone been randomized and then remained adherent to their assigned treatment arm.
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
This restriction to those who adhere creates selection bias, specifically because factors associated with adherence might be associated with the outcome. Also we can't know ahead of time who will and will not adhere... so what do we do... the authors don't offer us a solution.
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
In a per-protocol analysis, the authors state we would only include participants who adhere to the assigned intervention by excluding non-adherent participants or those with protocol deviations. But to decide this we have looked in to the future (after baseline) to define our analytical groups.
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
Unless people are stopping treatment completely at random, those who no longer take treatment/start the comparator are going to differ from those who stay on treatment. We are comparing two different groups and have all the same issues related to confounding as we would in an observational study.
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
If we are interested in only assessing those who remained on treatment - we might censor those individuals who deviate from some definition of adherence e.g. censor people who stop treatment (i.e. switching to the 'placebo arm') or start the comparator treatment. But this comes at a cost.
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
In an as-treated analysis, we analyze the trial based on the treatment they actually received. In an ideal/perfect RCT setting, the as-treated result would be the same as an ITT. But when things aren't perfect - we "break" randomization and define the treatment groups based on treatment received.
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
In a two arm trial, if non-adherence is non-differential i.e. completely at random in both arms, then the ITT is commonly said to be "biased towards the null". Why? The more people are non-adherent, the more the two groups will be similar to each other & the less the difference in their outcomes...
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
The ITT assess the effect of assigning treatment regardless of whether someone actually received the intervention. While we preserve randomization/eliminate confounding at baseline it does not account for potential non-adherence or differential loss to follow-up.
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM
tl/dr modern and robust methods in epidemiology can account for selection bias resulting from per-protocol analysis. Leveraging these methods can provide valuable insights in to whether a treatment works in those who take it.
November 14, 2025 at 10:57 PM