Alex Rossell Hayes
alxrh.bsky.social
Alex Rossell Hayes
@alxrh.bsky.social
Contestant, @jeopardyofficial.bsky.social
Senior Data Scientist, @today.yougov.com
Crossword Constructor, @lilavcx.bsky.social
Political Science PhD
Americans are more likely to disapprove of ICE after answering questions about ICE's treatment of citizens vs. questions about treatment of immigrants. That suggests news about ICE mistreating citizens could particularly weaken public support.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
November 14, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Over half of Americans think ICE sometimes or often wrongfully arrests and deports citizens and authorized immigrants. Majorities say that ICE uses unnecessary force against citizens and immigrants regardless of their immigration status.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
November 14, 2025 at 8:58 PM
A majority of Americans disapprove of ICE. More Americans approve of protests against ICE than disapprove of them. Why? Maybe because many Americans think ICE is too forceful and are worried ICE could mistreat someone they know.

New article at @today.yougov.com: today.yougov.com/politics/art...
November 14, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Americans have net negative support for all potential U.S. actions against Venezuela that we asked about. More oppose than support attacking Venezuela's mainland, invading Venezuela, overthrowing Maduro, and covert CIA operations in Venezuela.

today.yougov.com/internationa... (@today.yougov.com)
October 31, 2025 at 7:03 PM
More Americans disapprove than approve of the U.S. Navy attacking and destroying ships in the sea around Venezuela. Disapproval is higher by a two-to-one margin among Independents.

today.yougov.com/internationa... (@today.yougov.com)
October 31, 2025 at 7:03 PM
After a month of U.S. military attacks on ships, Americans' approval of the navy's presence around Venezuela has fallen. That movement has particularly come among Republicans.

New article with @taylororth.bsky.social at @today.yougov.com: today.yougov.com/internationa...
October 31, 2025 at 7:03 PM
One more wrinkle: 1/3 of those who think there's a war or conflict in U.S. cities say the problem is caused by the government fighting against people. For many Americans, Trump sending troops to cities is the cause of conflict, not the solution.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
October 18, 2025 at 7:00 PM
While 1/4 of Americans say there is a war in U.S. cities if you ask a yes-or-no question, that number shrinks if you offer more options. Only 11% say there's a war in U.S. cities if you give the option to say there's conflict but not a war.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
October 18, 2025 at 7:00 PM
In my new article at @today.yougov.com, I break down some of America's spiciest debates. A statistical amuse bouche before you read more: Majorities of Americans say hot dogs aren't sandwiches, but hamburgers are. Most also say chili is stew and cole slaw is salad.

today.yougov.com/society/arti...
October 18, 2025 at 6:39 PM
We get to the heart of the chili soup-stew debate in my new article @today.yougov.com.

Many more Americans say chili is a stew than say soup. There are regional differences, but Colorado and New England don't stand out: chili soupers are predominantly Midwestern.

today.yougov.com/society/arti...
October 18, 2025 at 6:28 PM
Last week, Trump said U.S. cities are war zones and the military needs to handle the "enemy from within". Most Americans see things differently. Only about a quarter think there's currently a war happening in any U.S. cities.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
October 8, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Hegseth criticized fat generals and bearded service members. Americans think fitness and appearance are important, but don't agree with those specifics. Only a minority think fat generals are a serious problem or that beards shouldn't be allowed.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
October 8, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Last week, Trump said he would increase military spending to $1 trillion per year. But very few Americans think military spending is currently too low. Americans are much more likely to say that military spending is already too high.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
October 8, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Despite Trump and Hegseth using the secondary name "Department of War", most Americans prefer the department's official name, the Department of Defense. Majorities of Democrats, Independents, and Republicans are all more likely to say Defense.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
October 8, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Americans are more likely to approve of the jobs done by U.S. generals and admirals, the audience for Hegseth and Trump's meeting last week, than they are to approve of the way Hegseth and Trump are handling the military.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
October 8, 2025 at 9:01 PM
If a member of the military receives an order that they think is unconstitutional, most Americans say they should not follow the order. But Republicans are split on this question.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
October 8, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Hegseth and Trump defended firing generals who disagree with current policies, and threatened that more could be fired in the future. But most Americans think it's better to keep experienced generals, even if they disagree with current policy.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
October 8, 2025 at 9:01 PM
More Americans disapprove than approve of Trump and Hegseth summoning the generals to Virginia last week. Most don't think the meeting was a good use of spending and about half think it was a national security risk.

New article at @today.yougov.com: today.yougov.com/politics/art...
October 8, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Outside the realm of social media, more Americans have unfavorable opinions of Trump than of Newsom. Americans are also more likely to say Trump does not focus on the most important issues. But many haven't made up their minds about Newsom.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
October 7, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Newsom's social media trolling hasn't turned Americans off as much as Trump's. More Americans view Trump's social media negatively and say Trump's posts are inappropriate. But that could just be because Americans see Trump's social media more.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
October 7, 2025 at 7:39 PM
How is Gavin Newsom's social media strategy working out? For starters, he has fewer followers than Trump, though most Americans don't follow either. His posts are seen less often than Trump's as well.

New article at @today.yougov.com: today.yougov.com/politics/art...
October 7, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Charlie Kirk coins? An annual Charlie Kirk Day? Charlie Kirk Memorial Avenue? A Charlie Kirk statue on every college campus?
Those are real proposals made by state and federal lawmakers. Most Americans think they go too far.

New article at @today.yougov.com: today.yougov.com/politics/art...
October 1, 2025 at 2:49 PM
I'm tickled pink to announce that player, my new R package, is now on CRAN! Kill time while your analysis scripts run with hangman, poker, 2048, and 7 other games! Plus, each game runs in the console, so it may look to the unsuspecting eye like you're actually working!

pkg.rossellhayes.com/player/
September 25, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Americans increasingly see the government as a threat to freedom of speech rather than a protector of free speech rights. In 2022, 45% of Americans said that the government was the biggest threat to free speech. That number has now risen to a 60% majority.

today.yougov.com/politics/art...
September 24, 2025 at 8:53 PM
When asked which party does a better job at handling freedom of speech, Americans are more likely to pick the Democrats. Independents choose Democrats over Republicans by a nearly two-to-one margin (though many say there's no difference between the two parties).

today.yougov.com/politics/art...
September 24, 2025 at 8:53 PM