Allen Sirolly
@allensirolly.bsky.social
PhD student @ Columbia Business School
Reposted by Allen Sirolly
Fascinating paper here on the growth of prediction markets in the US. Findings:
- Estimates wash trading was 60% of volume by last Dec on Polymarket.
- After subsiding over the summer, a surge since Sept, now 20% of volume by early Oct
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
- Estimates wash trading was 60% of volume by last Dec on Polymarket.
- After subsiding over the summer, a surge since Sept, now 20% of volume by early Oct
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Network-Based Detection of Wash Trading
Wash trading refers to the practice of buying and selling securities without taking a net position, for the purpose of artificially inflating recorded volume. I
papers.ssrn.com
November 9, 2025 at 11:24 AM
Fascinating paper here on the growth of prediction markets in the US. Findings:
- Estimates wash trading was 60% of volume by last Dec on Polymarket.
- After subsiding over the summer, a surge since Sept, now 20% of volume by early Oct
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
- Estimates wash trading was 60% of volume by last Dec on Polymarket.
- After subsiding over the summer, a surge since Sept, now 20% of volume by early Oct
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Reposted by Allen Sirolly
NYT is softening every edge in the framing but this article is a bombshell
Conclusive evidence that environmental scientists have been willing to use the ESA to knowingly invent "conservation species" and then using the newly created NEPA (passed in 1970) to litigate
Conclusive evidence that environmental scientists have been willing to use the ESA to knowingly invent "conservation species" and then using the newly created NEPA (passed in 1970) to litigate
January 4, 2025 at 6:41 PM
NYT is softening every edge in the framing but this article is a bombshell
Conclusive evidence that environmental scientists have been willing to use the ESA to knowingly invent "conservation species" and then using the newly created NEPA (passed in 1970) to litigate
Conclusive evidence that environmental scientists have been willing to use the ESA to knowingly invent "conservation species" and then using the newly created NEPA (passed in 1970) to litigate
Reposted by Allen Sirolly
WSJ: Jetliners being accidentally blasted out of the sky has become the leading cause of commercial-aviation deaths over recent years, marking a new trend running counter to an otherwise improving safety picture. www.wsj.com/world/flight...
Missiles Are Now the Biggest Killer of Airline Passengers
This week’s crash in Kazakhstan, if confirmed as a shootdown, would be the third such major incident since 2014.
www.wsj.com
December 27, 2024 at 5:25 PM
WSJ: Jetliners being accidentally blasted out of the sky has become the leading cause of commercial-aviation deaths over recent years, marking a new trend running counter to an otherwise improving safety picture. www.wsj.com/world/flight...
