Alex Roarty
@alexroarty.bsky.social
Is 2026 going to be a 2018 redux? There's a raging debate about whether the current Trump midterm is going to be like the last one www.notus.org/2026-electio...
A Year Out From the Midterms, Democrats Aren't Certain of a 2018 Repeat
Trump’s approval ratings are low, and voters are frustrated. That doesn’t guarantee an easy election for Democrats.
www.notus.org
November 3, 2025 at 3:38 PM
Is 2026 going to be a 2018 redux? There's a raging debate about whether the current Trump midterm is going to be like the last one www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Haley Stevens’ Campaign Is Underwhelming Democrats
Democrats say the establishment favorite’s Michigan Senate campaign isn’t ready for primetime — and it could cost the party the general election.
w/@daniellamicaela.bsky.social www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Democrats say the establishment favorite’s Michigan Senate campaign isn’t ready for primetime — and it could cost the party the general election.
w/@daniellamicaela.bsky.social www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Haley Stevens' Campaign Is Underwhelming Democrats
Democrats say the establishment favorite’s Michigan Senate campaign isn’t ready for primetime — and it could cost the party the general election.
www.notus.org
October 30, 2025 at 1:17 PM
Haley Stevens’ Campaign Is Underwhelming Democrats
Democrats say the establishment favorite’s Michigan Senate campaign isn’t ready for primetime — and it could cost the party the general election.
w/@daniellamicaela.bsky.social www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Democrats say the establishment favorite’s Michigan Senate campaign isn’t ready for primetime — and it could cost the party the general election.
w/@daniellamicaela.bsky.social www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Reposted by Alex Roarty
New: The largest union of federal workers says Senate Democrats should support the GOP funding bill to end the shutdown
But Democrats say they don't *actually* mean that
"I work very closely with them," Sen. Tim Kaine said, "the AFGE would not want us to cut a deal"
www.notus.org/democrats/de...
But Democrats say they don't *actually* mean that
"I work very closely with them," Sen. Tim Kaine said, "the AFGE would not want us to cut a deal"
www.notus.org/democrats/de...
Democrats Say Federal Workers Don't Want Them to Cave. Their Union Says Otherwise.
The largest union representing federal workers called for an end to the shutdown. It did little to convince Senate Democrats to support Republicans’ short-term funding bill.
www.notus.org
October 28, 2025 at 12:49 AM
New: The largest union of federal workers says Senate Democrats should support the GOP funding bill to end the shutdown
But Democrats say they don't *actually* mean that
"I work very closely with them," Sen. Tim Kaine said, "the AFGE would not want us to cut a deal"
www.notus.org/democrats/de...
But Democrats say they don't *actually* mean that
"I work very closely with them," Sen. Tim Kaine said, "the AFGE would not want us to cut a deal"
www.notus.org/democrats/de...
Reposted by Alex Roarty
BREAKING: Arizona has officially sued the House of Representatives over Mike Johnson's decision to not swear in Adelita Grijalva, who was elected in a special election one month ago
www.notus.org/house/adelit...
www.notus.org/house/adelit...
Arizona Sues the House Over Johnson’s Failure to Swear In Adelita Grijalva
The state’s attorney general, Kris Mayes, argued that Johnson is breaking the precedent he set in April when he swore in two Republican congressmen during a pro forma session.
www.notus.org
October 21, 2025 at 9:36 PM
BREAKING: Arizona has officially sued the House of Representatives over Mike Johnson's decision to not swear in Adelita Grijalva, who was elected in a special election one month ago
www.notus.org/house/adelit...
www.notus.org/house/adelit...
57% of the ads from Republicans in the Virginia governor's race have focused on transgender issues.
Sign of things to come from the GOP in 2026. W/ @oriana.bsky.social www.notus.org/2025-electio...
Sign of things to come from the GOP in 2026. W/ @oriana.bsky.social www.notus.org/2025-electio...
Republicans Go All In on Anti-Trans Messaging
More than half of Republican ads in Virginia are focused on trans issues. Not everyone in the party thinks it’s the right political play.
www.notus.org
October 10, 2025 at 1:31 PM
57% of the ads from Republicans in the Virginia governor's race have focused on transgender issues.
Sign of things to come from the GOP in 2026. W/ @oriana.bsky.social www.notus.org/2025-electio...
Sign of things to come from the GOP in 2026. W/ @oriana.bsky.social www.notus.org/2025-electio...
Reposted by Alex Roarty
NEW: Republicans are going all in on anti-trans messaging in Virginia’s governor race, even more than Trump did in 2024
57% of their ads have focused on trans issues
It’s a blueprint for 2026 — but not all Republicans think it’s a good idea
w/ @alexroarty.bsky.social
www.notus.org/2025-electio...
57% of their ads have focused on trans issues
It’s a blueprint for 2026 — but not all Republicans think it’s a good idea
w/ @alexroarty.bsky.social
www.notus.org/2025-electio...
Republicans Go All In on Anti-Trans Messaging
More than half of Republican ads in Virginia are focused on trans issues. Not everyone in the party thinks it’s the right political play.
www.notus.org
October 10, 2025 at 1:13 PM
NEW: Republicans are going all in on anti-trans messaging in Virginia’s governor race, even more than Trump did in 2024
57% of their ads have focused on trans issues
It’s a blueprint for 2026 — but not all Republicans think it’s a good idea
w/ @alexroarty.bsky.social
www.notus.org/2025-electio...
57% of their ads have focused on trans issues
It’s a blueprint for 2026 — but not all Republicans think it’s a good idea
w/ @alexroarty.bsky.social
www.notus.org/2025-electio...
Dunlap defies national Democrats, makes primary bid against Golden official in Maine’s right-leaning 2nd district.
The dccc is threatening to pull ad $$$ in the battleground district if Golden loses his primary, saying the race might be unwinable in a general election www.notus.org/2026-electio...
The dccc is threatening to pull ad $$$ in the battleground district if Golden loses his primary, saying the race might be unwinable in a general election www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Maine State Auditor Defies National Democrats, Launches Primary Against Moderate Jared Golden
Officials at the DCCC warned that if the incumbent loses the primary, Democrats will lose a seat in the general election.
www.notus.org
October 6, 2025 at 3:04 PM
Dunlap defies national Democrats, makes primary bid against Golden official in Maine’s right-leaning 2nd district.
The dccc is threatening to pull ad $$$ in the battleground district if Golden loses his primary, saying the race might be unwinable in a general election www.notus.org/2026-electio...
The dccc is threatening to pull ad $$$ in the battleground district if Golden loses his primary, saying the race might be unwinable in a general election www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Reposted by Alex Roarty
New: The Supreme Court tentatively green-lit Trump's pocket rescissions, which will make ending a shutdown hard — and the *entire* approps process harder
"What’s the point of passing a bill if they just do whatever the hell they want to do anyway?," one Senate Dem said
www.notus.org/courts/scotu...
"What’s the point of passing a bill if they just do whatever the hell they want to do anyway?," one Senate Dem said
www.notus.org/courts/scotu...
Bipartisan Funding Deals Are Hard to Do. The Supreme Court Might Have Made Them Impossible.
“What’s the point of passing a bill if they just do whatever the hell they want to do anyway?” one Senate Democrat said.
www.notus.org
October 1, 2025 at 10:27 PM
New: The Supreme Court tentatively green-lit Trump's pocket rescissions, which will make ending a shutdown hard — and the *entire* approps process harder
"What’s the point of passing a bill if they just do whatever the hell they want to do anyway?," one Senate Dem said
www.notus.org/courts/scotu...
"What’s the point of passing a bill if they just do whatever the hell they want to do anyway?," one Senate Dem said
www.notus.org/courts/scotu...
Reposted by Alex Roarty
New from @alexroarty.bsky.social at @notus.com on the D primary for #IASen:
"In interviews with NOTUS, several Iowa Democratic insiders said they believed that [state Rep. Josh] Turek has the tacit backing of Democratic Senate Leader Chuck Schumer and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee."
"In interviews with NOTUS, several Iowa Democratic insiders said they believed that [state Rep. Josh] Turek has the tacit backing of Democratic Senate Leader Chuck Schumer and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee."
Iowa Democrats Look for Their Senate Star
State lawmaker Josh Turek’s buzzy campaign announcement has caught Democrats’ attention.
www.notus.org
September 16, 2025 at 3:55 PM
New from @alexroarty.bsky.social at @notus.com on the D primary for #IASen:
"In interviews with NOTUS, several Iowa Democratic insiders said they believed that [state Rep. Josh] Turek has the tacit backing of Democratic Senate Leader Chuck Schumer and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee."
"In interviews with NOTUS, several Iowa Democratic insiders said they believed that [state Rep. Josh] Turek has the tacit backing of Democratic Senate Leader Chuck Schumer and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee."
Senate Democrats desperately want Mary Peltola to run for Senate. But a gubernatorial bid, according to just about everybody, would offer a much easier pathway back to elected office
On the Peltola dilemma, the talk of Alaska politics w/
@riley-rogerson.bsky.social
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
On the Peltola dilemma, the talk of Alaska politics w/
@riley-rogerson.bsky.social
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Democrats Are Desperate for Mary Peltola to Run for Something, Anything in Alaska
A Peltola Senate campaign would mark the latest recruiting win for Majority Leader Chuck Schumer.
www.notus.org
August 29, 2025 at 1:53 PM
Senate Democrats desperately want Mary Peltola to run for Senate. But a gubernatorial bid, according to just about everybody, would offer a much easier pathway back to elected office
On the Peltola dilemma, the talk of Alaska politics w/
@riley-rogerson.bsky.social
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
On the Peltola dilemma, the talk of Alaska politics w/
@riley-rogerson.bsky.social
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
"A CDC employee sent NOTUS photographs of windows still pockmarked with bullet holes on Monday afternoon. Handwritten signs taped to chairs warned employees to avoid glass on the carpet."
www.notus.org/health-scien...
www.notus.org/health-scien...
‘We Trudge On’: CDC Employees Return to Work With Bullet Holes Still in the Windows
“I was thinking they would have at least enhanced security going into campus,” one CDC employee told NOTUS.
www.notus.org
August 20, 2025 at 1:41 PM
"A CDC employee sent NOTUS photographs of windows still pockmarked with bullet holes on Monday afternoon. Handwritten signs taped to chairs warned employees to avoid glass on the carpet."
www.notus.org/health-scien...
www.notus.org/health-scien...
A new Senate candidate in Maine is going to test the appetite of Democratic voters for someone new, previously apolitical, and decidedly progressive www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Oyster Farmer Announces Democratic Senate Bid in Maine
Graham Platner doesn’t have any real political experience, but he’s the latest Democrat to argue that’s a strength.
www.notus.org
August 19, 2025 at 2:36 PM
A new Senate candidate in Maine is going to test the appetite of Democratic voters for someone new, previously apolitical, and decidedly progressive www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Reposted by Alex Roarty
Rep. LaMonica McIver is urging a federal court to dismiss the federal charges against her — and using the dismissed cases of over 160 Jan. 6 rioters as the reason why
www.notus.org/courts/mcive...
www.notus.org/courts/mcive...
August 18, 2025 at 9:15 PM
Rep. LaMonica McIver is urging a federal court to dismiss the federal charges against her — and using the dismissed cases of over 160 Jan. 6 rioters as the reason why
www.notus.org/courts/mcive...
www.notus.org/courts/mcive...
Reposted by Alex Roarty
🚨 At least 10 scientists, all cited in the Trump admin's new climate change report, told me that the report completely mischaracterizes their research.
I also found five citations with significant errors, and a paragraph missing an important citation.
I also found five citations with significant errors, and a paragraph missing an important citation.
‘A Serious Misuse of My Research’: Climate Scientists Say New Trump Energy Report Botches Their Work
“Our work has no relevance,” an astrobiologist whose research was cited in the administration’s climate change report said.
www.notus.org
July 30, 2025 at 11:46 PM
🚨 At least 10 scientists, all cited in the Trump admin's new climate change report, told me that the report completely mischaracterizes their research.
I also found five citations with significant errors, and a paragraph missing an important citation.
I also found five citations with significant errors, and a paragraph missing an important citation.
Reposted by Alex Roarty
“I love and loved my job, we did good work with some of the smartest people, and they’re being routinely disrespected and lied to."
Inside the FDA's AI push, w/ @taylorgiorno_ www.notus.org/health-scien...
Inside the FDA's AI push, w/ @taylorgiorno_ www.notus.org/health-scien...
‘They Have To Figure Out If They Can Trust The Software’: Inside the FDA’s AI Push
The AI rollout at the FDA has been rocky. But even critics are optimistic.
www.notus.org
July 29, 2025 at 2:02 PM
“I love and loved my job, we did good work with some of the smartest people, and they’re being routinely disrespected and lied to."
Inside the FDA's AI push, w/ @taylorgiorno_ www.notus.org/health-scien...
Inside the FDA's AI push, w/ @taylorgiorno_ www.notus.org/health-scien...
Reposted by Alex Roarty
NEW: The White House is pressuring Republicans to 'defund' gender-affirming care through the appropriations process, after they failed to ban Medicaid from covering these treatments in reconciliation
Trump "is very committed to this," one House R said
www.notus.org/congress/whi...
Trump "is very committed to this," one House R said
www.notus.org/congress/whi...
The White House Is Pushing Republicans to ‘Defund’ Gender-Affirming Care Through Appropriations Bills
“The president is very committed to this,” one House GOP appropriator told NOTUS. “I don’t think that’s an issue that’s really negotiable.”
www.notus.org
July 28, 2025 at 3:09 PM
NEW: The White House is pressuring Republicans to 'defund' gender-affirming care through the appropriations process, after they failed to ban Medicaid from covering these treatments in reconciliation
Trump "is very committed to this," one House R said
www.notus.org/congress/whi...
Trump "is very committed to this," one House R said
www.notus.org/congress/whi...
Senate Dems had three major recruitment targets when the cycle started. One of them, Roy Cooper, just announced he’s running.
But in a year with a very tough map for Dems, even getting their best recruits is no guarantee of success www.notus.org/north-caroli...
But in a year with a very tough map for Dems, even getting their best recruits is no guarantee of success www.notus.org/north-caroli...
‘Knife Fight in a Telephone Booth’: Roy Cooper Jumps Into Hotly Contested North Carolina Senate Race
The former governor ended months of speculation about his future Monday when he announced that he would run for the state’s open Senate seat.
www.notus.org
July 28, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Senate Dems had three major recruitment targets when the cycle started. One of them, Roy Cooper, just announced he’s running.
But in a year with a very tough map for Dems, even getting their best recruits is no guarantee of success www.notus.org/north-caroli...
But in a year with a very tough map for Dems, even getting their best recruits is no guarantee of success www.notus.org/north-caroli...
Reposted by Alex Roarty
“I can’t see how they couldn’t pay a price for it,” one conservative ally said.
Republicans embrace a huge political risk: Trump’s reconciliation bill.
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Republicans embrace a huge political risk: Trump’s reconciliation bill.
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Republicans Embrace a Huge Political Risk: Trump’s Bill
The reconciliation bill could undercut Republicans with working-class voters. “I can’t see how they couldn’t pay a price for it,” one conservative ally said.
www.notus.org
July 3, 2025 at 6:42 PM
“I can’t see how they couldn’t pay a price for it,” one conservative ally said.
Republicans embrace a huge political risk: Trump’s reconciliation bill.
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Republicans embrace a huge political risk: Trump’s reconciliation bill.
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Reposted by Alex Roarty
NEW: Democrats have been struggling to figure out how to message on trans issues — but they quietly killed the GOP's Medicaid ban on gender-affirming care in reconciliation
Here's an inside look into how Dems, led by Rep. Sarah McBride and Sen. Tammy Baldwin, did it
www.notus.org/congress/dem...
Here's an inside look into how Dems, led by Rep. Sarah McBride and Sen. Tammy Baldwin, did it
www.notus.org/congress/dem...
Inside the Democratic Effort to Kill the GOP’s Gender-Affirming Care Restriction in Reconciliation
Democrats are having a hard time figuring out how to message on trans issues — but they quietly killed a provision in the reconciliation bill that would have restricted access to gender-affirming care...
www.notus.org
July 3, 2025 at 9:04 PM
NEW: Democrats have been struggling to figure out how to message on trans issues — but they quietly killed the GOP's Medicaid ban on gender-affirming care in reconciliation
Here's an inside look into how Dems, led by Rep. Sarah McBride and Sen. Tammy Baldwin, did it
www.notus.org/congress/dem...
Here's an inside look into how Dems, led by Rep. Sarah McBride and Sen. Tammy Baldwin, did it
www.notus.org/congress/dem...
"Make no mistake about it: They just cut their own throats, they just slit their own throats with the very people who got them elected"
On the political risk of the GOP's reconciliation bill, a challenge they embrace but remains daunting nonetheless
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
On the political risk of the GOP's reconciliation bill, a challenge they embrace but remains daunting nonetheless
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Republicans Embrace a Huge Political Risk: Trump’s Bill
The reconciliation bill could undercut Republicans with working-class voters. “I can’t see how they couldn’t pay a price for it,” one conservative ally said.
www.notus.org
July 3, 2025 at 8:50 PM
"Make no mistake about it: They just cut their own throats, they just slit their own throats with the very people who got them elected"
On the political risk of the GOP's reconciliation bill, a challenge they embrace but remains daunting nonetheless
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
On the political risk of the GOP's reconciliation bill, a challenge they embrace but remains daunting nonetheless
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Dems already turning to JD Vance's role in passage of the reconciliation bill, with an eye on 2028.
Ken Martin: “Of all the people who betrayed folks this week and today, the one we’re going to make sure pays for it is JD Vance."
www.notus.org/trump-white-...
Ken Martin: “Of all the people who betrayed folks this week and today, the one we’re going to make sure pays for it is JD Vance."
www.notus.org/trump-white-...
Eyeing 2028, Dems Turn Focus to Vance’s Role in Passing Trump's Bill
“Of all the people who betrayed folks this week and today, the one we’re going to make sure pays for it is JD Vance,” DNC Chair Ken Martin said.
www.notus.org
July 3, 2025 at 8:48 PM
Dems already turning to JD Vance's role in passage of the reconciliation bill, with an eye on 2028.
Ken Martin: “Of all the people who betrayed folks this week and today, the one we’re going to make sure pays for it is JD Vance."
www.notus.org/trump-white-...
Ken Martin: “Of all the people who betrayed folks this week and today, the one we’re going to make sure pays for it is JD Vance."
www.notus.org/trump-white-...
Reposted by Alex Roarty
Collin Allred will once again run for a Texas Senate seat, despite losing to Sen. Ted Cruz in 2024 by nearly 9 percentage points.
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Colin Allred Launches Comeback Bid for Texas Senate Seat
Allred will try again to win a spot in the upper chamber after losing by nearly 9 percentage points against Sen. Ted Cruz in 2024.
www.notus.org
July 1, 2025 at 2:34 PM
Collin Allred will once again run for a Texas Senate seat, despite losing to Sen. Ted Cruz in 2024 by nearly 9 percentage points.
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
www.notus.org/2026-electio...
Reposted by Alex Roarty
NEW: Democrats have used SCOTUS rulings to galvanize their base — but they won’t do that with Skrmetti, which green lit gender-affirming care bans
One Dem said it’s now a states issue
Another said trans issues don’t poll well
A third pointed me to the Cass report
www.notus.org/democrats/tr...
One Dem said it’s now a states issue
Another said trans issues don’t poll well
A third pointed me to the Cass report
www.notus.org/democrats/tr...
Democrats Have Basically Given Up Trying to Message on Transgender Rights
“The Supreme Court has ruled,” said one House Democrat. “We’re either a party that supports the rule of law or not.”
www.notus.org
June 30, 2025 at 1:16 PM
NEW: Democrats have used SCOTUS rulings to galvanize their base — but they won’t do that with Skrmetti, which green lit gender-affirming care bans
One Dem said it’s now a states issue
Another said trans issues don’t poll well
A third pointed me to the Cass report
www.notus.org/democrats/tr...
One Dem said it’s now a states issue
Another said trans issues don’t poll well
A third pointed me to the Cass report
www.notus.org/democrats/tr...
Thom Tillis will NOT run for re-election, opening an opportunity for Dems in a state they already considered their top pickup target of '26 www.notus.org/senate/thom-...
June 29, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Thom Tillis will NOT run for re-election, opening an opportunity for Dems in a state they already considered their top pickup target of '26 www.notus.org/senate/thom-...