Rick Thoman
@alaskawx.bsky.social
Climate specialist with ACCAP/IARC at UAF, highlighting Alaska and Arctic climate, environment & Indigenous cultures. Opinions are my own.
Alaska and Arctic Climate Newsletter: https://alaskaclimate.substack.com/
Alaska and Arctic Climate Newsletter: https://alaskaclimate.substack.com/
Not so much this year.
November 19, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Not so much this year.
Same. Is there an alternative besides going back to doing taxes on paper?
November 19, 2025 at 4:06 AM
Same. Is there an alternative besides going back to doing taxes on paper?
Extreme event analysis is a well developed branch of applied statistics. The problem with "1 in 10,000" is that given the extremely short period of observations, the confidence intervals are so large as render the estimates functionally meaningless.
November 19, 2025 at 3:03 AM
Extreme event analysis is a well developed branch of applied statistics. The problem with "1 in 10,000" is that given the extremely short period of observations, the confidence intervals are so large as render the estimates functionally meaningless.
Only observations can tell. Perhaps a TDY Jan 20-25 for “sunrise watch” is in order.
November 18, 2025 at 11:59 PM
Only observations can tell. Perhaps a TDY Jan 20-25 for “sunrise watch” is in order.
I’d expect ice to reform this weekend.
November 18, 2025 at 8:28 PM
I’d expect ice to reform this weekend.
In recent years this has also been a big problem at St. Michael
November 18, 2025 at 4:05 AM
In recent years this has also been a big problem at St. Michael
At least it’s in the plausible range.
November 18, 2025 at 1:25 AM
At least it’s in the plausible range.
In part because of the lack of solar heating this time of year in the North, winds in and around complex terrain can be extremely variable in short distance. Much like can temperatures depend greatly on if/where/when the inversion breaks or holds.
November 17, 2025 at 10:18 PM
In part because of the lack of solar heating this time of year in the North, winds in and around complex terrain can be extremely variable in short distance. Much like can temperatures depend greatly on if/where/when the inversion breaks or holds.
Reposted by Rick Thoman
Wild.
My home is on the flight path, and I’m on the same elevation level as the airport, (about 5 minute drive north) and virtually no wind
Also, I’m currently in town, below the airport. I can see the airport. There is, again, virtually no wind where I am. But I do see blowing snow up there
My home is on the flight path, and I’m on the same elevation level as the airport, (about 5 minute drive north) and virtually no wind
Also, I’m currently in town, below the airport. I can see the airport. There is, again, virtually no wind where I am. But I do see blowing snow up there
November 17, 2025 at 10:12 PM
Wild.
My home is on the flight path, and I’m on the same elevation level as the airport, (about 5 minute drive north) and virtually no wind
Also, I’m currently in town, below the airport. I can see the airport. There is, again, virtually no wind where I am. But I do see blowing snow up there
My home is on the flight path, and I’m on the same elevation level as the airport, (about 5 minute drive north) and virtually no wind
Also, I’m currently in town, below the airport. I can see the airport. There is, again, virtually no wind where I am. But I do see blowing snow up there