akendalltaylor.bsky.social
@akendalltaylor.bsky.social
Based on research in our new book, "The Origins of Elected Strongmen How Personalist Parties Destroy Democracy from Within"

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global.oup.com
January 12, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Check out the book for more!

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global.oup.com
January 10, 2025 at 5:15 PM
If Washington downsized its commitment to Europe prematurely, Moscow could take it as a sign of growing U.S. disinterest and use the opportunity to press ahead. The prioritization of U.S. policies is important, but so is the sequencing.
December 20, 2024 at 3:39 PM
3. The US has to set European security on the right path before it can fully and effectively focus on China. Washington cannot simply hand off European security to a Europe that is not yet capable of managing the Russian threat.
December 20, 2024 at 3:39 PM
2. Russia will look to pocket concessions for ending the current war to strengthen its hand for the next 1. Just look at events of the past 2 decades: at every turn—Georgia 2008, Ukraine 2014, Syria 2015—Putin has grown more willing to take risks as he sees that doing so pays.
December 20, 2024 at 3:39 PM
1. The US and Europe must invest in resisting Russia now or pay a far greater cost later. Russia is likely to walk away from the war in Ukraine emboldened and, once it has reconstituted its military capacity, spoiling for another fight to revise the security order in Europe.
December 20, 2024 at 3:39 PM