AI reduces aggregate demand for jobs that it provides assistance with (a displacement effect). AI makes workers more productive. So, individuals aren't affected—it's the marginal decisions in the hiring process that's affected.

There has been some confusion in the media about how unemployment is measured and how StatsSA is amending the Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS). In this Codera Analytics blog post, I discuss this, and the measurement of the informal economy in the QLFS. codera.co.za/absorption-r...

An important goal to strive for is to not have worries.

[New SALDRU Working Paper]:

Horn, A.J. (@aidanhorn.bsky.social), Leibbrandt, M., Donaldson, A. (2025). Occupational Polarization in South Africa: Evidence from the Post-Apartheid Labour Market Series. (SALDRU WP 312)

opensaldru.uct.ac.za/handle/11090...

Cape Town property prices have grown at an annualized rate of 1.4% between January 2010 and November 2024, after discounting headline inflation (6.52% before discounting inflation).
econdata.co.za/user-guide/s...

Horn, A.J., Leibbrandt, M. & Donaldson, A. 2025. Occupational Polarization in South Africa: Evidence from the Post-Apartheid Labour Market Series. (SALDRU working paper 312). Available: www.opensaldru.uct.ac.za/handle/11090...

Gaps in the South African Inflation Targeting Debate
March 2025. MPRA Paper No. 124010. mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/124010/
To lower South Africa's inflation target without economic harm, the paper argues for supportive fiscal policy...
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