Andrew Gross
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ahgmem.bsky.social
Andrew Gross
@ahgmem.bsky.social
Cat dad. Retired psychiatrist. Doomer/Realist. Born 318ppm CO2. Watching the Limits to Growth play out in real time.
They played at Barrington Hall, Berkeley, 1979-1980 when I was living there.
July 20, 2025 at 5:24 PM
What action is possible? "Degrowth" if that's politically possible (it's not) leading to the death of hundreds of millions because of lack of food or medical care? An overnight change from fossil energy to renewables - not physically possible. And in the general population there is little fear.
July 1, 2025 at 10:06 PM
2018? One of the hottest summers in England?
June 15, 2025 at 4:55 PM
I'll guess 1975. If I remember correctly, Britain had massive power shortages after the 1973-1974 OPEC oil embargo.
June 13, 2025 at 2:44 PM
Thanks for the detailed reply. I certainly see a die-off starting very soon here in the US (look at the steep drop in life expectancy in Russia after the fall of the Soviet Union), but I think it will be a slow process until it's not - maybe 20 years or so.
April 5, 2025 at 5:51 PM
Okay. We will find out soon enough, although I don't think I'll be one of the unlucky survivors.
April 5, 2025 at 5:37 PM
What is your reasoning? The only way I see that happening is with nuclear war.
April 5, 2025 at 5:19 PM
No idea of the month! But I remember James Hansen saying that in 1979 Jules Carney estimated 3°C with a doubling of CO2. Also, that it probably wouldn't have been until the late 1970s that the climate alarmists would even think of a 5°C sensitivity because of aerosol unmasking.
March 31, 2025 at 6:28 PM
I'll guess 1978.
March 31, 2025 at 6:09 PM
Yes I am very happy I'm now retired. Now trying my best not to fall into depression from the political insanity.
March 28, 2025 at 12:28 PM
~ 1990
March 2, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Twenty years from now? At the rate we're going, I'd say more like twenty days!
February 2, 2025 at 2:48 AM
Couldn't have said it better. Unfortunately, I think it'll be an agonizing death.
January 31, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Through Jan 28, Jan 2025 is 1.75°C above pre-industrial from the ERA5 dataset.
January 30, 2025 at 12:49 PM
Thanks!
January 29, 2025 at 11:31 PM
Found it!
January 27, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Thanks again. I didn't see the search feature, only the Antarctic view. Then I had to look up the longitude of the glacier. Much easier this way.
January 27, 2025 at 6:59 PM