Adrian Raftery
adrianraftery.bsky.social
Adrian Raftery
@adrianraftery.bsky.social
Statistician at UW developing methods for demography, climate change, cluster analysis, model selection & averaging.
Reposted by Adrian Raftery
I'm delighted to serve as Chair-Elect for this new section, along with Chair @adrianraftery.bsky.social, Programme chair @nialfriel.bsky.social, Treasurer @monjalexander.bsky.social, and Secretary EJ Wagenmakers.

I'm looking forward to building this section and serving the community!
September 22, 2025 at 10:25 AM
It will sponsor the 3rd Workshop on Bayesian Methods for the Social Sciences (BMSS-3) in Dublin, December 9-11, 2026.
September 22, 2025 at 9:21 AM
Reposted by Adrian Raftery
This does involve using R, but I think you could get away with following the manual pretty closely, @adrianraftery.bsky.social's webpage on demographic projections is pretty thorough bayespop.csss.washington.edu
BayesPop
Probabilistic Population Projections
bayespop.csss.washington.edu
June 6, 2025 at 6:51 PM