Adam Hutchison
@adamhutchison.bsky.social
#fantasyfootball content exclusively for @footballguys.com | Physical Therapist
Here’s the breakdown by position.
A more detailed explanation of this will be found @Footballguys soon.
A more detailed explanation of this will be found @Footballguys soon.
July 29, 2025 at 6:33 PM
Here’s the breakdown by position.
A more detailed explanation of this will be found @Footballguys soon.
A more detailed explanation of this will be found @Footballguys soon.
We also didn’t feel it as much because using last season’s ADP of RBs that went rounds 1-2, 7/ 12 RBs played a full season
10/12 played at least 14 games with only Christian McCaffrey Isiah Pacheco missing this benchmark
10/12 played at least 14 games with only Christian McCaffrey Isiah Pacheco missing this benchmark
July 29, 2025 at 6:33 PM
We also didn’t feel it as much because using last season’s ADP of RBs that went rounds 1-2, 7/ 12 RBs played a full season
10/12 played at least 14 games with only Christian McCaffrey Isiah Pacheco missing this benchmark
10/12 played at least 14 games with only Christian McCaffrey Isiah Pacheco missing this benchmark
Drilling down to just 2024, it’s a smaller sample of 52 qualifying RB but that number drastically shot up. If we just used 2024 data RBs would have a 40% playing a full season
Four-Zero.
Massive jump
Average games played 14.7
Four-Zero.
Massive jump
Average games played 14.7
July 29, 2025 at 6:33 PM
Drilling down to just 2024, it’s a smaller sample of 52 qualifying RB but that number drastically shot up. If we just used 2024 data RBs would have a 40% playing a full season
Four-Zero.
Massive jump
Average games played 14.7
Four-Zero.
Massive jump
Average games played 14.7
I’ve always looked at positional fragility in #fantasyfootball
Historically since 2020, RBs have a 27% chance to play a full season (17 games)
Average 13.8 games played shown by dotted line here
But last year seems to have been an outlier that some are overlooking
Historically since 2020, RBs have a 27% chance to play a full season (17 games)
Average 13.8 games played shown by dotted line here
But last year seems to have been an outlier that some are overlooking
July 29, 2025 at 6:33 PM
I’ve always looked at positional fragility in #fantasyfootball
Historically since 2020, RBs have a 27% chance to play a full season (17 games)
Average 13.8 games played shown by dotted line here
But last year seems to have been an outlier that some are overlooking
Historically since 2020, RBs have a 27% chance to play a full season (17 games)
Average 13.8 games played shown by dotted line here
But last year seems to have been an outlier that some are overlooking
Diggs? I like his price. Feels appropriate per @Footballguys projections.
July 2, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Diggs? I like his price. Feels appropriate per @Footballguys projections.
💡 Bottom line: I think there’s opportunity with Aiyuk, especially at his Underdog ADP (8-9 turn). Even if he starts on PUP, he could provide late-season value. Risk seems baked in — and Best Ball is about ceiling swings.
July 2, 2025 at 5:38 PM
💡 Bottom line: I think there’s opportunity with Aiyuk, especially at his Underdog ADP (8-9 turn). Even if he starts on PUP, he could provide late-season value. Risk seems baked in — and Best Ball is about ceiling swings.
Correlations with post-injury fantasy PPG? Targets per game, Target Share, pre-injury fantasy PPG, YPPR — all had solid relationships (no shocker). Same as non-injured WRs, and a good base for projections.
July 2, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Correlations with post-injury fantasy PPG? Targets per game, Target Share, pre-injury fantasy PPG, YPPR — all had solid relationships (no shocker). Same as non-injured WRs, and a good base for projections.
Common assumptions like “he’s young/athletic, so I like his chances” didn’t show up in the data. Maybe it factors into return-to-play timeline, but otherwise weak.
July 2, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Common assumptions like “he’s young/athletic, so I like his chances” didn’t show up in the data. Maybe it factors into return-to-play timeline, but otherwise weak.
As we ramp up to #fantasyfootball season and Best Ball drafts, I wanted to dig deeper into two WRs coming off ACL reconstruction (ACLR): Brandon Aiyuk and Stefon Diggs.
#bestball #underdog
#bestball #underdog
July 2, 2025 at 5:38 PM
As we ramp up to #fantasyfootball season and Best Ball drafts, I wanted to dig deeper into two WRs coming off ACL reconstruction (ACLR): Brandon Aiyuk and Stefon Diggs.
#bestball #underdog
#bestball #underdog
James Conner felt like a risky play this week
December 29, 2024 at 2:28 AM
James Conner felt like a risky play this week
December 28, 2024 at 8:33 PM
This makes more sense.
I’d expect Tank Dell’s recovery to affect his 2025 season.
I’d expect Tank Dell’s recovery to affect his 2025 season.
December 23, 2024 at 6:51 PM
This makes more sense.
I’d expect Tank Dell’s recovery to affect his 2025 season.
I’d expect Tank Dell’s recovery to affect his 2025 season.
Cart out for Tank Dell after this TD catch
High concern for ACL tear at minimum
High concern for ACL tear at minimum
December 21, 2024 at 7:59 PM
Cart out for Tank Dell after this TD catch
High concern for ACL tear at minimum
High concern for ACL tear at minimum
Bit surpised to see Ladd McConkey INACTIVE tonight but I did have this to say in Footballguys Gameday Expections.
He was a risky play this week
Link: www.footballguys.com/article/2024...
He was a risky play this week
Link: www.footballguys.com/article/2024...
December 8, 2024 at 11:55 PM
Bit surpised to see Ladd McConkey INACTIVE tonight but I did have this to say in Footballguys Gameday Expections.
He was a risky play this week
Link: www.footballguys.com/article/2024...
He was a risky play this week
Link: www.footballguys.com/article/2024...
Carson Beck elbow injury
Possible UCL sprain or ulnar nerve strain
Possible UCL sprain or ulnar nerve strain
December 7, 2024 at 11:06 PM
Carson Beck elbow injury
Possible UCL sprain or ulnar nerve strain
Possible UCL sprain or ulnar nerve strain
Possibly the groin injury Nabers has been dealing all season
If this is a setback it hurts his chances of playing this week
Going back to 2017 groin/hip flexor strains typically result in time miss (avg 2 weeks) with 65% of the sample missing at least 1 game
If this is a setback it hurts his chances of playing this week
Going back to 2017 groin/hip flexor strains typically result in time miss (avg 2 weeks) with 65% of the sample missing at least 1 game
December 6, 2024 at 4:50 PM
Possibly the groin injury Nabers has been dealing all season
If this is a setback it hurts his chances of playing this week
Going back to 2017 groin/hip flexor strains typically result in time miss (avg 2 weeks) with 65% of the sample missing at least 1 game
If this is a setback it hurts his chances of playing this week
Going back to 2017 groin/hip flexor strains typically result in time miss (avg 2 weeks) with 65% of the sample missing at least 1 game
Christian McCaffrey PCL sprains
Sounds like he will have similar timeline to Puka Nacua
Sounds like he will have similar timeline to Puka Nacua
December 2, 2024 at 9:42 PM
Christian McCaffrey PCL sprains
Sounds like he will have similar timeline to Puka Nacua
Sounds like he will have similar timeline to Puka Nacua
Unfortunately this was always the fear with JK Dobbins
November 30, 2024 at 9:00 PM
Unfortunately this was always the fear with JK Dobbins
Aidan O’Connell recovery timeline fit this. Not surprised to see him under center again
November 26, 2024 at 6:52 PM
Aidan O’Connell recovery timeline fit this. Not surprised to see him under center again
JK Dobbins knee seen bending inward (valgus) force at end of tackle.
Common for MCL sprains or meniscus. When minor players can play through injury but on avg they cause 4+ weeks missed for NFL RBs
Dobbins has history of left knee injuries
Common for MCL sprains or meniscus. When minor players can play through injury but on avg they cause 4+ weeks missed for NFL RBs
Dobbins has history of left knee injuries
November 26, 2024 at 3:20 AM
JK Dobbins knee seen bending inward (valgus) force at end of tackle.
Common for MCL sprains or meniscus. When minor players can play through injury but on avg they cause 4+ weeks missed for NFL RBs
Dobbins has history of left knee injuries
Common for MCL sprains or meniscus. When minor players can play through injury but on avg they cause 4+ weeks missed for NFL RBs
Dobbins has history of left knee injuries
“Josh Downs is a long shot to play this week”
November 25, 2024 at 4:16 PM
“Josh Downs is a long shot to play this week”
Really think if Brock Purdy’s shoulder soreness was bad he would have not practiced at all.
I am projecting he plays in Week 12. #fantasyfootball
I am projecting he plays in Week 12. #fantasyfootball
November 20, 2024 at 11:26 PM
Really think if Brock Purdy’s shoulder soreness was bad he would have not practiced at all.
I am projecting he plays in Week 12. #fantasyfootball
I am projecting he plays in Week 12. #fantasyfootball
Some players are just better at playing though injuries.
Kittle is one of those guys
You can find more information like this at @footballguys.bsky.social
Kittle is one of those guys
You can find more information like this at @footballguys.bsky.social
November 20, 2024 at 9:56 PM
Some players are just better at playing though injuries.
Kittle is one of those guys
You can find more information like this at @footballguys.bsky.social
Kittle is one of those guys
You can find more information like this at @footballguys.bsky.social
My thoughts on Brock Purdy heading into Week 12
More injuries over at Footballguys
link: www.footballguys.com/article/2024...
More injuries over at Footballguys
link: www.footballguys.com/article/2024...
November 19, 2024 at 11:30 PM
My thoughts on Brock Purdy heading into Week 12
More injuries over at Footballguys
link: www.footballguys.com/article/2024...
More injuries over at Footballguys
link: www.footballguys.com/article/2024...
@footballguys.bsky.social subscribers knew
November 17, 2024 at 7:56 PM
@footballguys.bsky.social subscribers knew