Nikolas K. Gvosdev

Nikolas Gvosdev

@fpriorbis.bsky.social

2.9K followers 260 following 2.9K posts

Someone who follows geopolitical and geo-economic trends and studies how national security decisions get made. All comments are personal opinions and do not reflect any official/institutional views.
https://www.linkedin.com/in/nikolas-gvosdev-925485301/ .. more

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Nikolas Kirrill Gvosdev is a Russian–American international relations scholar. He is currently professor of national security studies at the U.S. Naval War College and the former Editor of the bi-monthly foreign policy journal, The National Interest. He writes as a specialist on US foreign policy as well as international politics as they affect Russia and its neighbors. He currently serves as editor of the journal Orbis. .. more

Political science 69%

Sociology 14%

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Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 10d

Conversation with Peter Apps for Project for the Study of the 21st Century: Episode 36 of #FacingComingStorms-- "Inside U.S. Defence Uncertainty."

projects21.org/2025/10/30/e...

Episode 36: Inside U.S. Defence Uncertainty

Power without a plan: what happens when the world’s strongest military hits pause? In this episode of Facing Coming Storms, Pete Apps sits down with Nikolas Gvosdev, Senior Fellow at the …

projects21.org

Reposted by Nikolas K. Gvosdev

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 1d

This conflict has really demonstrated the say-do gap between political forces and business interests.

🪖MilitaryNewsUA🇺🇦 @militarynewsua.bsky.social · 13d

❗️Baltic companies secretly refuel Russia's shadow fleet - LRT

Two tankers, the Rina and Zircone, refuelled 159 ships linked to Moscow's shadow fleet in 10 months, helping it evade Western sanctions.

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 1d

the water-food-energy nexus will continue to manifest itself in politics all around the world. 2/

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 1d

#trilemma is real. From the strain on Tehran's water infrastructure, with #Pezeshkian raising the possibility of evacuating people from the capital, to Virginia governor-elect @SpanbergerForVA talking about a statewide energy crisis from data center demand, 1/

Reposted by Nikolas K. Gvosdev

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 3d

So my read of this is that Greece and Hungary reach deals with the U.S. on matters of interest to the Trump administration, and get somewhat of a pass on their ongoing arrangements with Russia in other areas.

Rachel Ziemba @reziemba.bsky.social · 3d

Reported US exemption for Hungarian purchases of Russian oil in context of a set of bilateral coordinations including making Hungary center of eastern Europe SMR push. Also includes switch in nuclear fuel to Westinghouse from Russia.

www.state.gov/releases/off...

U.S.-Hungary Relations Reach New Heights - United States Department of State

Under the leadership of President Donald J. Trump and Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, U.S.-Hungary relations continue to reach new heights of cooperation and achievement. This partnership is built on mut...

www.state.gov

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 3d

perhaps a sign that just as in Africa, Central Asia would welcome more joint U.S.-Gulf investments in the mining sector. Major question is extent of follow-up and focus after leaders depart Washington and #POTUS attention goes to other matters ... 2/

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 3d

So my first read of the C5+1 summit: good vibes, clear statement of U.S. interest in Central Asia, but still largely aspirational rather than firm concrete commitments. Uzbekistan president proposing a Central Asia partnership fund; Kazakhstan joining Abraham Accords ... 1/

Reposted by Nikolas K. Gvosdev

Rachel Ziemba @reziemba.bsky.social · 3d

U.S.-Hungary Relations Reach New Heights - United States Department of State

www.state.gov

Reposted by Nikolas K. Gvosdev

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 4d

Thinking about NATO obligations in terms of spending on resilience and self-reliance ... www.defensenews.com/opinion/2025...

NATO’s spending pledge is no invitation for creative accounting

Opinion: Nobody knows exactly what counts toward a 1.5% target, and the first progress check slated in the summit declaration is only set for 2029.

www.defensenews.com

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 4d

At @fpri.bsky.social @soliman.bsky.social discusses rise of "America, Inc." as government no longer trusts markets to self-correct in critical areas ... www.fpri.org/article/2025...

America, Incorporated: The Era of the Portfolio State - Foreign Policy Research Institute

For much of the last century, the American state has intervened directly in the economy only in times of extraordinary crisis. During World War II, Washington

www.fpri.org

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 4d

– a factor that explains some of his contradictory statements on Ukraine. It also fuels concerns in Moscow that Trump may be willing to abandon foundational arms-control agreements, raising doubts about his ability to broker or enforce any potential peace settlement." In Asia Times ... 2/

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 4d

James Davis: "Russian officials ... express growing confusion over who in Washington is truly formulating policy and who is providing intelligence. This, they say, reinforces their impression that Trump is not receiving high-quality briefings ... 1/

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 4d

So we can see the pitch Central Asian, Southeast Asian, and African leaders might make as to why their regions of the world should matter more to the United States. x.com/SecretaryBur...

Secretary Doug Burgum on X: "🚨 Today, @Interior and @USGS released the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals, identifying 60 minerals essential to our economy, national security and way of life. 🧵 https://t.co/YUC3wFAqQf" / X

🚨 Today, @Interior and @USGS released the final 2025 List of Critical Minerals, identifying 60 minerals essential to our economy, national security and way of life. 🧵 https://t.co/YUC3wFAqQf

x.com

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 4d

At Asia Times Nile Bowie concludes "Beijing appeared to gain an upper hand by humbling Washington into recognizing the economic & political costs of open confrontation, coaxing Trump to abandon hawkish maximalism in favor of a rivalry managed with periodic truces ..."

Reposted by Nikolas K. Gvosdev

Vasabjit Banerjee @vasabjit.bsky.social · 4d

The U.S. is planning to reopen the Manta airbase and Salinas naval base in Ecuador. The decision by Ecuador is contingent on an upcoming referendum to make the necessary legal changes.

www.infobae.com/america/amer...

Kristi Noem se reunió con el presidente Daniel Noboa para evaluar las capacidades de la antigua base militar de EEUU en Ecuador

La secretaria de Seguridad estadounidense y el presidente ecuatoriano discutieron sobre recursos tecnológicos y estrategias integradas para combatir el narcotráfico. Ambos visitaron la Base Aérea Eloy...

www.infobae.com

Nikolas Gvosdev @fpriorbis.bsky.social · 5d

Watching @gracebaskaran.bsky.social presentation & point about China's nuclear power capacity surging gives Beijing ability to offer advantageous terms to others seeking increased power generation to deal with their #trilemma issues. www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XkH...

Can Kazakhstan Reduce U.S. Reliance on Russian Uranium? | Mapping Minerals Diplomacy

YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies

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