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ukwx.bsky.social
UK Weather Updates
@ukwx.bsky.social
Amateur weather enthusiast from Wakefield. Providing balanced UK weather commentary, frequent severe weather updates, model insights & severe weather graphics.
Some very stormy charts continue to be shown for Friday by the global models - there remains great uncertainty on exact positioning and potential intensity of the winds. Location will matter on areas at greatest risk of strongest of the winds.

Eyes peeled on the models!
January 20, 2025 at 11:39 PM
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
VALID: Tomorrow, 26th September

More info: www.instagram.com/p/DAW0QSdiBLE/
September 25, 2024 at 10:19 PM
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
VALID: Today

Interactive map: ukwxupdates.org

More info: www.instagram.com/p/DALV3XLClzZ/

[UPDATE 1] Thunderstorms are expected to develop again through this afternoon, some of which may be locally strong.
September 21, 2024 at 11:19 AM
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
VALID: Tomorrow, 20th September

Interactive map: ukwxupdates.org

More info: www.instagram.com/p/DAGfQ18C8pw/

[UPDATE 1] A trough moving through tomorrow afternoon, with embedded instability, will allow the development of thundery showers and thunderstorms.
September 19, 2024 at 2:04 PM
A sunshine and shower kind of day again - less windy today so could fly the drone up and catch this passing heavy shower ☔️
September 12, 2024 at 3:22 PM
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
VALID: Tomorrow, 6th September

Interactive map: ukwxupdates.org

More info: www.instagram.com/p/C_iMn87C-Lp/

[UPDATE 1] Through early tomorrow morning, with an unstable air continuing to be present, this is likely to bring a further risk of thunderstorms.
September 5, 2024 at 11:48 AM
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

VALID: Tomorrow, 1st September

Interactive map: ukwxupdates.org
More info: www.instagram.com/p/C_WCbEaij84/

[UPDATE 1] Significant uncertainty remains on thunderstorm development, if any, through tomorrow afternoon.
August 31, 2024 at 6:29 PM
Meteorological summer ends tomorrow, and what a rather uneventful summer it's been in terms of weather for me! The only real things I will take away from this summer's weather is end of July heat, thunderstorms on 1st August and Storm Lilian.
August 30, 2024 at 1:01 PM
Perhaps a little less uncertainty now.

ECM OP and its ensembles remain rather keen on a disturbance to be stuck and move over the UK and to our W/SW

GFS differs, but there are about 17/30 of its ensembles suggesting a scenario more akin of the ECMWF.

ECMWF ensembles largely supportive of ECM OP.
August 30, 2024 at 10:36 AM
A decent weekend coming up! Temperatures generally around 18-22°C. SE looks to be more prone to cloud this time around, but plenty of dry weather in store.
Might need to watch the possibility of something thundery through Sunday in the SE.
August 29, 2024 at 12:51 PM
High pressure beginning to build in today, what looks to be a rather warm and sunny weekend!

However.. as I mentioned a couple days ago, that weakness in between the initial build of pressure and a rebuild of the Azores high needed watching, which continues to be modeled.
August 29, 2024 at 12:42 PM
All that build of high pressure just for us to sit under the 'green blob' of doom thanks to a weakness in the ridging. 🧐

One of many possible outcomes as we go into this weekend and start of next week.
August 26, 2024 at 7:13 PM
Please be aware that currently the weather
August 24, 2024 at 1:26 PM
#StormLilian located just to the west of Ireland at the moment
August 22, 2024 at 6:04 PM
Possible rainfall totals over the next 72 hours ☔️
August 22, 2024 at 6:01 PM
With #StormLilian being named, that brings this storm season's storm count to 12, beating 2015/16's 11 to become the most active storm season so far.

Additionally, Lilian is the 5th named storm in August and the 2nd latest named storm on record, just beaten by Francis (2020) named on 24th August.
August 22, 2024 at 10:31 AM
ChatGPT does not mess around 🫢
August 20, 2024 at 10:40 AM
#Ernesto remains a hurricane at a relatively high latitude of 43.8°N (similar latitude to just off the northern coast of Spain).
August 19, 2024 at 9:42 PM
Going to be a windy one tomorrow afternoon through the majority of the country. Widespread heavy showers in the NW, some, potentially a bit thundery.
August 19, 2024 at 9:27 PM
Weather we so love is back ☔️
August 19, 2024 at 12:29 PM
Wildfires from Canada making for a murky sunset here in the UK. Cheeky shot of an airplane on the right of course!
August 18, 2024 at 7:40 PM
The jet stream behind Ernesto's passage will become quite enhanced - while not a washout, could be a rather showery and breezy period of weather through 22nd-26th.
August 16, 2024 at 11:39 AM
Unlike the remnants of hurricane Debby which allowed some amplification of the high leading to a period of warmer/hotter weather, the remnants of hurricane #Ernesto look to enhance the Atlantic influence after its passage.
August 15, 2024 at 7:24 PM
A small risk of some thundery downpours around the Home Counties tomorrow - UKV showing a somewhat greater extent of thundery showers.
August 13, 2024 at 9:27 PM
Could be quite a wet night for a few places tonight within this area, varied model outputs, but below is the UKV for 4am. Some quite heavy rain mixed in with that. ☔️
August 13, 2024 at 8:02 AM