Tzvi Machlin
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Tzvi Machlin
@tzvi.bsky.social
Staff Writer for The Spun / Kachi Clash Ex-Yokozuna / twitch.tv/cyberstag
Aonishiki wins the January yusho! He becomes the first Ozeki since Hakuho to win his debut at the rank and just the 35th rikishi in history to win back-to-back titles.
Important Note: EVERY back-to-back yusho winner has either been a Yokozuna or became Yokozuna later.
It's now WHEN, not if.

#sumo
A loss by Aonishiki leaves SIX alive on Day 15. If Atamifuji or Aonishiki win, everyone below them are eliminated. If they both lose, we're looking at a playoff with no less than 4 - maybe 5!

Day 15 January yusho odds:
Aonishiki 40%
Atamifuji 40%
Onosato 6%
Kirishima 5%
Abi 5%
Oshoumi 4%

#sumo
You gotta hand it to the sumo schedule-makers: They know how to set up a thrilling finish. We won't get a winner until Day 15 but if Onosato beats Aonishiki yet again, we're in for a nail-biting end.

Day 14 January yusho odds:
Aonishiki 45%
Kirishima 25%
Atamifuji 18%
The Field 12%

#sumo
January 26, 2026 at 12:05 AM
A loss by Aonishiki leaves SIX alive on Day 15. If Atamifuji or Aonishiki win, everyone below them are eliminated. If they both lose, we're looking at a playoff with no less than 4 - maybe 5!

Day 15 January yusho odds:
Aonishiki 40%
Atamifuji 40%
Onosato 6%
Kirishima 5%
Abi 5%
Oshoumi 4%

#sumo
You gotta hand it to the sumo schedule-makers: They know how to set up a thrilling finish. We won't get a winner until Day 15 but if Onosato beats Aonishiki yet again, we're in for a nail-biting end.

Day 14 January yusho odds:
Aonishiki 45%
Kirishima 25%
Atamifuji 18%
The Field 12%

#sumo
We now have a sole leader and six others within one win with only 3 days of matches. Keep an eye on 9-3 Oshoumi, who may have the easiest path. Playoff looming?

Day 13 January yusho odds:
Aonishiki 35%
Kirishima 15%
Abi 15%
Asanoyama 10%
Oshoumi 10%
Atamifuji 6%
Shishi 5%
The Field 4%

#sumo
January 24, 2026 at 5:14 PM
You gotta hand it to the sumo schedule-makers: They know how to set up a thrilling finish. We won't get a winner until Day 15 but if Onosato beats Aonishiki yet again, we're in for a nail-biting end.

Day 14 January yusho odds:
Aonishiki 45%
Kirishima 25%
Atamifuji 18%
The Field 12%

#sumo
We now have a sole leader and six others within one win with only 3 days of matches. Keep an eye on 9-3 Oshoumi, who may have the easiest path. Playoff looming?

Day 13 January yusho odds:
Aonishiki 35%
Kirishima 15%
Abi 15%
Asanoyama 10%
Oshoumi 10%
Atamifuji 6%
Shishi 5%
The Field 4%

#sumo
January 23, 2026 at 2:43 PM
We now have a sole leader and six others within one win with only 3 days of matches. Keep an eye on 9-3 Oshoumi, who may have the easiest path. Playoff looming?

Day 13 January yusho odds:
Aonishiki 35%
Kirishima 15%
Abi 15%
Asanoyama 10%
Oshoumi 10%
Atamifuji 6%
Shishi 5%
The Field 4%

#sumo
January 22, 2026 at 2:50 PM
It feels like this basho is going to come down to whether Abi gets an easy schedule in the final few days. He is ROLLING and personally I hope he wins one more for the late-great Terao!

Day 12 January yusho odds:
Aonishiki 25%
Abi 25%
Atamifuji 18%
Kirishima 12%
Hoshoryu 12%
The Field 8%

#sumo
Onosato and Kirishima both lose, opening the basho wide open. I suspect Onosato withdraws soon. Meanwhile, Shishi is surging out of nowhere - never thought I'd utter that.

Day 11 January yusho odds:
Aonishiki 22%
Kirishima 20%
Abi 15%
Atamifuji 13%
Hoshoryu 12%
Kotozakura 10%
The Field 8%

#sumo
That might be all she wrote for our two Yokozuna this basho. Onosato could be looking at a LONG recovery road. Meanwhile, Kirishima is red-hot.

Day 10 January yusho odds:
Kirishima 20%
Aonishiki 20%
Abi 15%
Hoshoryu 15%
Atamifuji 12%
Onosato 10%
The Field 8%

#sumo
January 21, 2026 at 4:31 PM
Onosato and Kirishima both lose, opening the basho wide open. I suspect Onosato withdraws soon. Meanwhile, Shishi is surging out of nowhere - never thought I'd utter that.

Day 11 January yusho odds:
Aonishiki 22%
Kirishima 20%
Abi 15%
Atamifuji 13%
Hoshoryu 12%
Kotozakura 10%
The Field 8%

#sumo
That might be all she wrote for our two Yokozuna this basho. Onosato could be looking at a LONG recovery road. Meanwhile, Kirishima is red-hot.

Day 10 January yusho odds:
Kirishima 20%
Aonishiki 20%
Abi 15%
Hoshoryu 15%
Atamifuji 12%
Onosato 10%
The Field 8%

#sumo
The upper san'yaku clearly weren't in the mood to impress the Emperor yesterday. Onosato and Hoshoryu look hurt and Aonishiki looks like he's finally been figured out. Kirishima and Abi lead.

Day 9 January yusho odds:
Onosato 25%
Hoshoryu 25%
Aonishiki 15%
Abi 15%
Kirishima 12%
The Field 8%

#sumo
January 20, 2026 at 4:16 PM
That might be all she wrote for our two Yokozuna this basho. Onosato could be looking at a LONG recovery road. Meanwhile, Kirishima is red-hot.

Day 10 January yusho odds:
Kirishima 20%
Aonishiki 20%
Abi 15%
Hoshoryu 15%
Atamifuji 12%
Onosato 10%
The Field 8%

#sumo
The upper san'yaku clearly weren't in the mood to impress the Emperor yesterday. Onosato and Hoshoryu look hurt and Aonishiki looks like he's finally been figured out. Kirishima and Abi lead.

Day 9 January yusho odds:
Onosato 25%
Hoshoryu 25%
Aonishiki 15%
Abi 15%
Kirishima 12%
The Field 8%

#sumo
Abi gets slapped down and we now have a 6-way tie for 1st with 9 more just one off the pace. The Emperor and Empress will make a rare appearance tonight as the san'yaku continue to shine.

Day 8 January yusho odds:
Onosato 33%
Hoshoryu 30%
Aonishiki 25%
The Field 12%

#sumo
January 19, 2026 at 5:49 PM
The upper san'yaku clearly weren't in the mood to impress the Emperor yesterday. Onosato and Hoshoryu look hurt and Aonishiki looks like he's finally been figured out. Kirishima and Abi lead.

Day 9 January yusho odds:
Onosato 25%
Hoshoryu 25%
Aonishiki 15%
Abi 15%
Kirishima 12%
The Field 8%

#sumo
Abi gets slapped down and we now have a 6-way tie for 1st with 9 more just one off the pace. The Emperor and Empress will make a rare appearance tonight as the san'yaku continue to shine.

Day 8 January yusho odds:
Onosato 33%
Hoshoryu 30%
Aonishiki 25%
The Field 12%

#sumo
The upper san'yaku continues to hold firm. Oshoma's loss leaves Abi as the lone unbeaten fighter. Why I didn't pick him in Kachi Clash, I may never know. But he's a serious threat to win it all.

Day 7 January yusho odds:
Onosato 33%
Hoshoryu 29%
Aonishiki 17%
Abi 13%
The Field 8%

#sumo
January 18, 2026 at 6:03 PM
Abi gets slapped down and we now have a 6-way tie for 1st with 9 more just one off the pace. The Emperor and Empress will make a rare appearance tonight as the san'yaku continue to shine.

Day 8 January yusho odds:
Onosato 33%
Hoshoryu 30%
Aonishiki 25%
The Field 12%

#sumo
The upper san'yaku continues to hold firm. Oshoma's loss leaves Abi as the lone unbeaten fighter. Why I didn't pick him in Kachi Clash, I may never know. But he's a serious threat to win it all.

Day 7 January yusho odds:
Onosato 33%
Hoshoryu 29%
Aonishiki 17%
Abi 13%
The Field 8%

#sumo
We're 1/3rd of the way through January and seeing a lot of strong sumo from the upper san'yaku. Abi and Oshoma remain unbeaten and might stay that way until next week.

Day 6 January yusho odds:
Onosato 33%
Hoshoryu 28%
Aonishiki 17%
Abi 12%
The Field 10%

#sumo
January 17, 2026 at 8:02 PM
Reposted by Tzvi Machlin
A hearty welcome to this newest batch of X refugees
January 16, 2026 at 4:47 PM
The upper san'yaku continues to hold firm. Oshoma's loss leaves Abi as the lone unbeaten fighter. Why I didn't pick him in Kachi Clash, I may never know. But he's a serious threat to win it all.

Day 7 January yusho odds:
Onosato 33%
Hoshoryu 29%
Aonishiki 17%
Abi 13%
The Field 8%

#sumo
We're 1/3rd of the way through January and seeing a lot of strong sumo from the upper san'yaku. Abi and Oshoma remain unbeaten and might stay that way until next week.

Day 6 January yusho odds:
Onosato 33%
Hoshoryu 28%
Aonishiki 17%
Abi 12%
The Field 10%

#sumo
And in one night the rest of the upper san'yaku all suffer their first losses too. Yoshinofuji looks like the real deal right now. Kirishima, Oshoma and Abi are our only unbeaten rikishi.

Day 5 January yusho odds:
Onosato 35%
Hoshoryu 25%
Aonishiki 15%
Kirishima 12%
Abi 8%
The Field 5%

#sumo
January 16, 2026 at 4:47 PM
We're 1/3rd of the way through January and seeing a lot of strong sumo from the upper san'yaku. Abi and Oshoma remain unbeaten and might stay that way until next week.

Day 6 January yusho odds:
Onosato 33%
Hoshoryu 28%
Aonishiki 17%
Abi 12%
The Field 10%

#sumo
And in one night the rest of the upper san'yaku all suffer their first losses too. Yoshinofuji looks like the real deal right now. Kirishima, Oshoma and Abi are our only unbeaten rikishi.

Day 5 January yusho odds:
Onosato 35%
Hoshoryu 25%
Aonishiki 15%
Kirishima 12%
Abi 8%
The Field 5%

#sumo
Forgot to do Day 3 but the odds would've been the same since the upper san'yaku held firm. Even with Hoshoryu losing, I'm not sure it needs a massive change. JUSTICE FOR URA!!!!

Day 4 January yusho odds:
Onosato 40%
Hoshoryu 25%
Aonishiki 20%
Kirishima 8%
The Field 7%

#sumo
January 15, 2026 at 3:36 PM
And in one night the rest of the upper san'yaku all suffer their first losses too. Yoshinofuji looks like the real deal right now. Kirishima, Oshoma and Abi are our only unbeaten rikishi.

Day 5 January yusho odds:
Onosato 35%
Hoshoryu 25%
Aonishiki 15%
Kirishima 12%
Abi 8%
The Field 5%

#sumo
Forgot to do Day 3 but the odds would've been the same since the upper san'yaku held firm. Even with Hoshoryu losing, I'm not sure it needs a massive change. JUSTICE FOR URA!!!!

Day 4 January yusho odds:
Onosato 40%
Hoshoryu 25%
Aonishiki 20%
Kirishima 8%
The Field 7%

#sumo
Perhaps I overestimated Asanoyama's readiness. At any rate, the upper san'yaku went 4-0 and none of them look hampered by injury. Let's keep the momentum going!

Day 2 January yusho odds:
Onosato 40%
Hoshoryu 35%
Aonishiki 15%
The Field 10%

#sumo
January 14, 2026 at 3:12 PM
Forgot to do Day 3 but the odds would've been the same since the upper san'yaku held firm. Even with Hoshoryu losing, I'm not sure it needs a massive change. JUSTICE FOR URA!!!!

Day 4 January yusho odds:
Onosato 40%
Hoshoryu 25%
Aonishiki 20%
Kirishima 8%
The Field 7%

#sumo
Perhaps I overestimated Asanoyama's readiness. At any rate, the upper san'yaku went 4-0 and none of them look hampered by injury. Let's keep the momentum going!

Day 2 January yusho odds:
Onosato 40%
Hoshoryu 35%
Aonishiki 15%
The Field 10%

#sumo
New episode of the New To Sumo Podcast episode is out, previewing the 2026 Hatsu basho. Open wide for some sumo!

youtu.be/X5ZdBF_MCBg?...

Day 1 January yusho odds:
Onosato 40%
Hoshoryu 35%
Asanoyama 10%
Aonishiki 10%
The Field 5%

#sumo
January 13, 2026 at 3:01 PM
Perhaps I overestimated Asanoyama's readiness. At any rate, the upper san'yaku went 4-0 and none of them look hampered by injury. Let's keep the momentum going!

Day 2 January yusho odds:
Onosato 40%
Hoshoryu 35%
Aonishiki 15%
The Field 10%

#sumo
New episode of the New To Sumo Podcast episode is out, previewing the 2026 Hatsu basho. Open wide for some sumo!

youtu.be/X5ZdBF_MCBg?...

Day 1 January yusho odds:
Onosato 40%
Hoshoryu 35%
Asanoyama 10%
Aonishiki 10%
The Field 5%

#sumo
January 2026 Basho PREVIEW | Looking Back, Looking Ahead | New to Sumo Podcast
YouTube video by New to Sumo Podcast
youtu.be
January 11, 2026 at 5:59 PM
New episode of the New To Sumo Podcast episode is out, previewing the 2026 Hatsu basho. Open wide for some sumo!

youtu.be/X5ZdBF_MCBg?...

Day 1 January yusho odds:
Onosato 40%
Hoshoryu 35%
Asanoyama 10%
Aonishiki 10%
The Field 5%

#sumo
January 2026 Basho PREVIEW | Looking Back, Looking Ahead | New to Sumo Podcast
YouTube video by New to Sumo Podcast
youtu.be
January 2, 2026 at 4:59 PM
Late Breaking Sumo News: Onosato withdraws from Day 15, Hoshoryu gets the win by default. Now Hoshoryu can win the yusho without fighting. Aonishiki must beat Kotozakura to force a playoff and then beat Hoshoryu to win the cup.

Updated Day 15 November yusho odds:
Hoshoryu 75%
Aonoshiki 25%

#sumo
November 23, 2025 at 3:13 AM
The sumo gods apologize to Aonishiki for the day 13 nonsense by having Onosato lose to Kotozakura(??) and then giving him a no-show Hoshoryu. He now controls his own destiny, but I think a Yokozuna takes the Emperor's Cup.

Day 15 November yusho odds:
Onosato 45%
Hoshoryu 40%
Aonoshiki 15%

#sumo
November 22, 2025 at 4:19 PM
My outrage at the Aonishiki-Onosato result aside, the outcome itself was what I expected. Worse still, if Aonishiki loses out his Ozeki run is jeopardized. But it’s officially a 3-way race now.

Day 14 November yusho odds:
Onosato 50%
Hoshoryu 48%
Aonishiki 2%

#sumo
November 21, 2025 at 1:11 PM
Tokihayate is quietly having an exceptional tournament. He hasn't fought the top dogs yet and I don't think he's going to, so he could finish 12-3 and be in a potential playoff. A special prize seems certain.

Day 13 November yusho odds:
Onosato 48%
Hoshoryu 44%
Aonishiki 7%
Tokihayate 1%

#sumo
November 20, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Chaos reigns on Day 11! Onosato and Aonishiki both lost, turning this into a 3-way tie with Hoshoryu. Yoshinofuji is suddenly lurking and can force his way into the conversation if he wins out.

Day 12 November yusho odds
Onosato 43%
Hoshoryu 40%
Yoshinofuji 10%
Aonishiki 7%

#sumo
November 19, 2025 at 3:00 PM
Onosato is invincible no more! He falls at the hands of Yoshinofuji in their first-ever meeting. With Aonishiki and Hoshoryu both on strong winning streaks, things just got very interesting.

Day 11 November yusho odds
Onosato 70%
Aonishiki 14%
Hoshoryu 14%
Yoshinofuji 2%

#sumo
November 18, 2025 at 4:16 PM
Hoshoryu and Aonishiki have been so good lately that I feel comfortable saying that it's now a 3-horse race, but Onosato still looks invincible. I think the only way Onosato doesn't take the yusho is if both of them beat him.

Day 10 November yusho odds:
Onosato 90%
Aonishiki 9%
Hoshoryu 1%

#sumo
November 18, 2025 at 3:04 AM
Just when it looked like the Maegashira were rising, they lose. Feels like a 2-horse race that’ll be decided by Day 14 or even Day 13 at the latest.

Day 9 November yusho odds:
Onosato 90%
Aonishiki 9%
The Field 1%

#sumo
November 16, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Aonishiki continues his charge, Fujinokawa looks even better than he did on debut, and Yoshinofuji looks exactly like he was advertised before September. But an Onosato zensho is still likely.

Day 8 November yusho odds:
Onosato 86%
Aonishiki 6%
Fujinokawa 3%
Yoshinofuji 3%
The Field 2%

#sumo
November 15, 2025 at 6:47 PM