@tradetalks87.bsky.social
Your ego is the biggest enemy of your P/L. Admit when you're wrong, cut the losers, and let the winners run. ✂️🌹
January 13, 2026 at 5:03 PM
Your ego is the biggest enemy of your P/L. Admit when you're wrong, cut the losers, and let the winners run. ✂️🌹
💎 Micron ($MU) Deep Dive: Why is $MU up? HBM (High Bandwidth Memory). You can't run Nvidia chips without it. The "Memory Supercycle" is just starting. This is a structural demand shift, not just a cycle. 💾 #Semiconductors #TechTrends
December 26, 2025 at 2:08 PM
💎 Micron ($MU) Deep Dive: Why is $MU up? HBM (High Bandwidth Memory). You can't run Nvidia chips without it. The "Memory Supercycle" is just starting. This is a structural demand shift, not just a cycle. 💾 #Semiconductors #TechTrends
📉 Market Morning Update:A brutal session for Tech yesterday despite "Perfect" macro data. Nasdaq hit 3-week lows. The market ignored the CPI beat (2.7%) and the Fed cut to focus on valuations. When good news can't lift stocks, caution is required. ⚠️ #Nasdaq #StockMarket #Trading
December 18, 2025 at 5:21 PM
📉 Market Morning Update:A brutal session for Tech yesterday despite "Perfect" macro data. Nasdaq hit 3-week lows. The market ignored the CPI beat (2.7%) and the Fed cut to focus on valuations. When good news can't lift stocks, caution is required. ⚠️ #Nasdaq #StockMarket #Trading
🎯 The Last Mile: Core inflation stuck at 2.8%. The final push to 2% is hardest. This sets the Fed's floor. Failure = higher for longer. #CPI #InflationTarget
December 16, 2025 at 6:20 PM
🎯 The Last Mile: Core inflation stuck at 2.8%. The final push to 2% is hardest. This sets the Fed's floor. Failure = higher for longer. #CPI #InflationTarget
The "compute war" is real. Over 80% of big tech capex goes to compute power (data centers, chips). This creates a powerful tailwind for semiconductor and infrastructure firms in the near term. But it also means their fate is tied to the continuous, unchecked spending of a few giants.
December 11, 2025 at 6:10 PM
The "compute war" is real. Over 80% of big tech capex goes to compute power (data centers, chips). This creates a powerful tailwind for semiconductor and infrastructure firms in the near term. But it also means their fate is tied to the continuous, unchecked spending of a few giants.
Rising yields + Rate Cut expectations = Policy Mistake Risk. If the Fed cuts and yields keep ripping, the market will break. I'm hedging with short-duration bonds until the dust settles. 🛡️ #Bonds #YieldCurve #RiskManagement
December 9, 2025 at 1:49 PM
Rising yields + Rate Cut expectations = Policy Mistake Risk. If the Fed cuts and yields keep ripping, the market will break. I'm hedging with short-duration bonds until the dust settles. 🛡️ #Bonds #YieldCurve #RiskManagement
Did your portfolio survive the "uncharacteristically weak" November? If you held through the tech sell-off, you were rewarded on Friday. Patience pays. 💎🙌 #HODL #InvestingMindset
November 28, 2025 at 4:36 PM
Did your portfolio survive the "uncharacteristically weak" November? If you held through the tech sell-off, you were rewarded on Friday. Patience pays. 💎🙌 #HODL #InvestingMindset
Nvidia investing billions in Taiwan while politicians argue about tariffs tells you everything. Capital follows efficiency, not rhetoric. Follow the CAPEX. 💰➡️🏭 #SmartMoney #Business #Tech
November 24, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Nvidia investing billions in Taiwan while politicians argue about tariffs tells you everything. Capital follows efficiency, not rhetoric. Follow the CAPEX. 💰➡️🏭 #SmartMoney #Business #Tech
Everyone loves the Nikkei at 50k, but keep an eye on yields. 🧐 If global bond yields spike due to US fiscal deficits, the equity risk premium evaporates. Enjoy the rally, but keep stops tight. 🛑📉 #RiskManagement #Bonds
November 21, 2025 at 4:54 PM
Everyone loves the Nikkei at 50k, but keep an eye on yields. 🧐 If global bond yields spike due to US fiscal deficits, the equity risk premium evaporates. Enjoy the rally, but keep stops tight. 🛑📉 #RiskManagement #Bonds
💸 Cash is King? With the Fed holding firm, short-term yields look attractive again vs. volatile equities. Why risk capital for 1.6% GDP growth when you can clip coupons? The risk premium on stocks is too low. #AssetAllocation #InvestingStrategy
November 20, 2025 at 8:58 PM
💸 Cash is King? With the Fed holding firm, short-term yields look attractive again vs. volatile equities. Why risk capital for 1.6% GDP growth when you can clip coupons? The risk premium on stocks is too low. #AssetAllocation #InvestingStrategy
Bitcoin loves the liquidity narrative, but real rates are sticky. 🪙 Crypto is acting as the highest-beta asset to Fed policy. If the bond market sells off, BTC follows. Manage your risk. #Bitcoin #Crypto #FedPolicy
November 20, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Bitcoin loves the liquidity narrative, but real rates are sticky. 🪙 Crypto is acting as the highest-beta asset to Fed policy. If the bond market sells off, BTC follows. Manage your risk. #Bitcoin #Crypto #FedPolicy
The $14B loss is a tangible example of how non-economic factors (politics) are now essential components of global financial risk analysis. Adapt or perish. #FinancialRisk
November 19, 2025 at 12:01 PM
The $14B loss is a tangible example of how non-economic factors (politics) are now essential components of global financial risk analysis. Adapt or perish. #FinancialRisk
Bear Market Triggers: The crypto collapse is fueled by weakening ETF inflows, Fed rate uncertainty, and massive leverage liquidations. All risk factors converged. #Crypto #BearMarket
November 18, 2025 at 11:32 AM
Bear Market Triggers: The crypto collapse is fueled by weakening ETF inflows, Fed rate uncertainty, and massive leverage liquidations. All risk factors converged. #Crypto #BearMarket
AI's Double Edge: AI is driving IT spending, but it's also fueling 100K+ tech layoffs in 2025. The sector pivots to efficiency, not just expansion. #TechLayoffs #AIAutomation
November 16, 2025 at 3:22 PM
AI's Double Edge: AI is driving IT spending, but it's also fueling 100K+ tech layoffs in 2025. The sector pivots to efficiency, not just expansion. #TechLayoffs #AIAutomation
The massive sell-off confirms that the market is highly sensitive to Fed rate cut expectations. If inflation stays sticky, the high cost of capital punishes high-growth tech most. #FedPolicy #Rates
November 14, 2025 at 1:02 PM
The massive sell-off confirms that the market is highly sensitive to Fed rate cut expectations. If inflation stays sticky, the high cost of capital punishes high-growth tech most. #FedPolicy #Rates
Goldman Sachs 10-Year Warning: GS says US stocks will underperform global markets for a decade due to current valuations (P/E near dot-com bubble levels). Diversification is crucial. 🌍 #GlobalInvesting #GS
November 13, 2025 at 4:58 PM
Goldman Sachs 10-Year Warning: GS says US stocks will underperform global markets for a decade due to current valuations (P/E near dot-com bubble levels). Diversification is crucial. 🌍 #GlobalInvesting #GS
RISK ALERT: Technical "negative divergence" and historical parallels to the 2000 dot-com bubble indicate high susceptibility to a correction. Don't be a hero; hold capital. 🛑 #TechnicalAnalysis
November 12, 2025 at 10:29 PM
RISK ALERT: Technical "negative divergence" and historical parallels to the 2000 dot-com bubble indicate high susceptibility to a correction. Don't be a hero; hold capital. 🛑 #TechnicalAnalysis
Strategy Check: If the government deal passes, the focus shifts to the economic data backlog. Prepare for volatility when the jobs/inflation numbers finally hit. Trade the news, but plan for the data. #TradingStrategy
November 11, 2025 at 10:00 PM
Strategy Check: If the government deal passes, the focus shifts to the economic data backlog. Prepare for volatility when the jobs/inflation numbers finally hit. Trade the news, but plan for the data. #TradingStrategy
$GOOGL Thread 3/3: Buy the Core. $MSFT and $GOOGL are the two most expensive instruments on the Dow. They are the foundational AI players. Use any weakness to fortify core holdings. #TechStrategy
November 11, 2025 at 1:48 PM
$GOOGL Thread 3/3: Buy the Core. $MSFT and $GOOGL are the two most expensive instruments on the Dow. They are the foundational AI players. Use any weakness to fortify core holdings. #TechStrategy
Labor Contradiction: ADP added 42K jobs, but layoffs surged 175% YoY (7-month high). The corporate world is shrinking its workforce while the services sector still hires. Complex economy. #JobsReport #Economy
November 6, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Labor Contradiction: ADP added 42K jobs, but layoffs surged 175% YoY (7-month high). The corporate world is shrinking its workforce while the services sector still hires. Complex economy. #JobsReport #Economy
Don't panic sell your entire portfolio based on one day. Review your position sizing. Have a plan. If you're over-allocated to tech, this is your wake-up call. #RiskOff #PortfolioManagement
November 5, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Don't panic sell your entire portfolio based on one day. Review your position sizing. Have a plan. If you're over-allocated to tech, this is your wake-up call. #RiskOff #PortfolioManagement