While the US equity market is at a historic high in terms of stock market valuation—driven by the massive performance of the technology sector—the European equity market could represent a relative catch-up opportunity in the coming months, both technically and fundamentally. After a decade dominated by US stocks, Europe now appears to be a region where the combination of significantly lower valuations and the more accommodative monetary stance of the ECB creates an appealing relative …

Technical analysis provides trend-following indicators and indicators designed to measure the strength of a trend — these belong to what we call momentum indicators. A weakening bearish trend is always the first stage of a bullish reversal, and a tiring bullish trend is always the first step toward a downward reversal. Today, I propose a focus on the DSS Bressert technical indicator, which captures these transition phases between bearish and bullish trends quite well, especially on the weekly …

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For nearly five years, Genfit’s share price has been moving within a broad consolidation zone between €3 and €6, forming a horizontal accumulation base on the long-term timeframe represented here by monthly candlesticks. This type of pattern, especially visible on a logarithmic chart, often appears after a long downtrend and can form the foundation for a sustainable bullish reversal if and only if prices eventually break out to the upside. According to technical analysis principles, repeated …

President Trump is expected to appoint the next Chair of the Federal Reserve at the beginning of 2026 (for a term starting after Powell’s departure in May 2026). Based on current probabilities, Kevin Hassett appears to be the frontrunner to succeed Jerome Powell at the head of the FOMC. Hassett has consistently expressed his preference for a more accommodative monetary stance, so if he were to lead the Fed, it would significantly change the outlook for US monetary policy in 2026 and beyond. If …

Since Monday, December 1, 2025, the quantitative tightening (QT) program initiated in 2022 has been halted. The evolution of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet has always had a major impact on financial assets, particularly in the FX market. Through which mechanisms? And what impact should we expect on FX and the US dollar? Since Monday, December 1, 2025, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has officially ended the quantitative tightening cycle initiated in 2022. This decision marks an important …

For more than two decades, the “yen carry trade” has been a discreet yet powerful pillar of global finance. This mechanism relies on borrowing at low cost in yen—thanks to the ultra-low rates set by the Bank of Japan (BoJ)—and investing those funds in higher-yielding foreign assets (equities, bonds, emerging markets, etc.). The logic was appealing: low financing costs + high returns = profit. But estimating the size of this phenomenon is challenging. The transactions span loans, bonds, …

As we approach the last monetary policy meeting of the year, scheduled for Wednesday, December 10, uncertainty remains high. The CME FedWatch tool now suggests a dominant probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut, but this probability can shift significantly from one day to the next depending on the lagging macro data that will be released before the Fed meeting on Wednesday, December 10. https://www.tradingview.com/x/sTD8X2AG/ The reason is simple: the decision no longer depends solely on …

Under the credible, and now widely discussed, hypothesis that Bitcoin’s last bullish cycle ended on Monday, October 6, at a peak around 126,000 USD, it becomes logical to consider that the market then entered its new cyclical bear market. This bear market is part, as always, of the well-known 4-year cycle dynamic, itself directly linked to the quadrennial halving mechanism, which halves the mining reward and mechanically reduces the new supply of BTC. In other words, the market follows a …