Sam Stovall
@stovallcfra.bsky.social
U.S.Equality strategist with @cfraresearch Equity Research and fund business and author of the Seven Rules of Wall Street.Disclosures: bit.ly/2dxrxph
Frm the peak on Feb 19 to the end of the 10.1%⬇️on Mar 13, bearishness was prevalent. The #SP500 & #Nasdaq100 saw many stocks⬇️below oversold levels, the @CNNFearandGreed was in the #ExtremeFear category & the @AAIISentiment indicated a #caution not seen since the 2022 bear mrkt.
March 29, 2025 at 7:33 PM
Frm the peak on Feb 19 to the end of the 10.1%⬇️on Mar 13, bearishness was prevalent. The #SP500 & #Nasdaq100 saw many stocks⬇️below oversold levels, the @CNNFearandGreed was in the #ExtremeFear category & the @AAIISentiment indicated a #caution not seen since the 2022 bear mrkt.
After reaching a new all-time⬆️on Feb 19, the #SP500 ⬇️, pressured by the manufactured headwind of #tariffs imposed on our major trading partners, which resurrected the whisper of #recession. #BullMarkets don’t die of old age. They die of fright & are most afraid of recession.
March 29, 2025 at 7:28 PM
After reaching a new all-time⬆️on Feb 19, the #SP500 ⬇️, pressured by the manufactured headwind of #tariffs imposed on our major trading partners, which resurrected the whisper of #recession. #BullMarkets don’t die of old age. They die of fright & are most afraid of recession.
The limited bright spots in the past wk came from the international developed & emerging mrkts, as the U.S.💲index⬇️& investors decided it best to temporarily sidestep the #tariff turmoil by rotating into those areas that have underperformed the #SP500 in 12 of the last 15 yrs.
March 15, 2025 at 10:29 AM
As winter turns to spring, the stock mrkt typically rebounds in #March. The #SP500 has an avg rtn that ranks 5th⬆️since 1945 w/a 65% chance of➕rtns, outpacing the 60% avg 4 other mos. But, Mar also sees both the⬆️&⬇️rtns w/⬇️std dev compared to other mos, despite freq pullbacks.
March 9, 2025 at 3:52 AM
Investors who wanted to know which sectors would likely be winners and losers during a sharp selloff in the equity market could have channeled Captain Renault in the 1942 classic film Casablanca, who frequently ordered “round up the usual suspects!”.
February 27, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Investors who wanted to know which sectors would likely be winners and losers during a sharp selloff in the equity market could have channeled Captain Renault in the 1942 classic film Casablanca, who frequently ordered “round up the usual suspects!”.
Investors appear to be in a “yeah, but” kind of mindset. Despite being delivered unsettling news that initially caused the markets to fall, stock prices recovered quickly after investors convinced themselves that these negatives would likely be offset by positives.
February 19, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Investors appear to be in a “yeah, but” kind of mindset. Despite being delivered unsettling news that initially caused the markets to fall, stock prices recovered quickly after investors convinced themselves that these negatives would likely be offset by positives.
After #tariff announcements for major #TradingPartners, stocks saw significant selling, with most sectors and 80% of #SP1500 subindustries⬇️. However, President Trump’s 30-day extensions & strong Q4 earnings spurred a relief rally mid-week.
February 13, 2025 at 3:04 AM
After #tariff announcements for major #TradingPartners, stocks saw significant selling, with most sectors and 80% of #SP1500 subindustries⬇️. However, President Trump’s 30-day extensions & strong Q4 earnings spurred a relief rally mid-week.
In 2024, the #SP500 ⬆️over 23%, setting 57 new all-time⬆️, including 6 in Jan. In Jan 2025, it reached its 1st⬆️of the yr, fueled by dovish inflation, strong retail sales,➕producer sentiment & an expected EPS growth of 9.7% for Q4 2024,⬆️frm 8.7%, w/ 5 sectors seeing⬆️revisions.
January 30, 2025 at 12:21 PM
In 2024, the #SP500 ⬆️over 23%, setting 57 new all-time⬆️, including 6 in Jan. In Jan 2025, it reached its 1st⬆️of the yr, fueled by dovish inflation, strong retail sales,➕producer sentiment & an expected EPS growth of 9.7% for Q4 2024,⬆️frm 8.7%, w/ 5 sectors seeing⬆️revisions.
Join me for my session, The #FreeLunchPortfolio, @ the @MoneyShow's 2025 Portfolio Playbook Virtual Expo. I will discuss whether history advises buying last year’s #winners or #losers. Register today for your free pass. ow.ly/YVem50UH0jc
January 24, 2025 at 11:40 PM
Join me for my session, The #FreeLunchPortfolio, @ the @MoneyShow's 2025 Portfolio Playbook Virtual Expo. I will discuss whether history advises buying last year’s #winners or #losers. Register today for your free pass. ow.ly/YVem50UH0jc
Join me at the @MoneyShow's 2025 Portfolio Playbook Virtual Expo on Jan 28-29. My industry colleagues & I will provide guidance &recommendations for stocks, bonds, precious metals, real estate, cryptocurrencies, & more during this event. Register today! ow.ly/oHzq50UHh3k
January 23, 2025 at 9:03 PM
Join me at the @MoneyShow's 2025 Portfolio Playbook Virtual Expo on Jan 28-29. My industry colleagues & I will provide guidance &recommendations for stocks, bonds, precious metals, real estate, cryptocurrencies, & more during this event. Register today! ow.ly/oHzq50UHh3k
The Post-Election Honeymoon Period (PEHP) has ended, with the #SP500 rising nearly 4%, above the 1.6% avg since 1944. This performance ranks 11th among 21 PEHPs. The best return was 14.3% after Biden’s 2020 election, while the worst was a 19.9% drop post-Obama in 2008.
January 23, 2025 at 8:59 PM
The Post-Election Honeymoon Period (PEHP) has ended, with the #SP500 rising nearly 4%, above the 1.6% avg since 1944. This performance ranks 11th among 21 PEHPs. The best return was 14.3% after Biden’s 2020 election, while the worst was a 19.9% drop post-Obama in 2008.
Join me for my session, The #FreeLunchPortfolio, @ the @MoneyShow's 2025 Portfolio Playbook Virtual Expo. I am excited to share how a portfolio consisting of only two sectors delivered 94% of #Tech’s return since 1990 with 40% #lower #volatility. ow.ly/IeJS50UH0ks
January 22, 2025 at 8:04 PM
Join me for my session, The #FreeLunchPortfolio, @ the @MoneyShow's 2025 Portfolio Playbook Virtual Expo. I am excited to share how a portfolio consisting of only two sectors delivered 94% of #Tech’s return since 1990 with 40% #lower #volatility. ow.ly/IeJS50UH0ks
Join me for my session, The #FreeLunchPortfolio, @ the @MoneyShow's 2025 Portfolio Playbook Virtual Expo. I am excited to share how a portfolio consisting of only two sectors delivered 94% of #Tech’s return since 1990 with 40% #lower #volatility. online.moneyshow.com/2025/february/…
January 16, 2025 at 3:55 PM
Join me for my session, The #FreeLunchPortfolio, @ the @MoneyShow's 2025 Portfolio Playbook Virtual Expo. I am excited to share how a portfolio consisting of only two sectors delivered 94% of #Tech’s return since 1990 with 40% #lower #volatility. online.moneyshow.com/2025/february/…
Since the #FederalReserve cut the #FederalFundsRate for the 1st of 3 times in mid-Sept 2024, the 10-year yield ⬆️from the then 3.60% level to the recent 4.76% reading. Also, the prospects for additional federal funds rate cuts in 2025 slipped from 4 25-basis point easings to 2.
January 15, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Since the #FederalReserve cut the #FederalFundsRate for the 1st of 3 times in mid-Sept 2024, the 10-year yield ⬆️from the then 3.60% level to the recent 4.76% reading. Also, the prospects for additional federal funds rate cuts in 2025 slipped from 4 25-basis point easings to 2.
The Q4 2024 earnings season is about to begin, with #SP500 #EPS estimated to⬆️8.7% YoY, driven by strong double-digit gains in 7 sectors like #CommServices & #InformationTech. #GrowthStocks are projected to outpace #ValueStocks, with EPS gains of 17.4% vs a 3.1% ⬇️ respectively.
January 10, 2025 at 8:17 PM
The Q4 2024 earnings season is about to begin, with #SP500 #EPS estimated to⬆️8.7% YoY, driven by strong double-digit gains in 7 sectors like #CommServices & #InformationTech. #GrowthStocks are projected to outpace #ValueStocks, with EPS gains of 17.4% vs a 3.1% ⬇️ respectively.
.@LowryResearch indicated that many core indicators reached strong levels by end of Nov, supporting the long-term #health of the current #BullMarket. But, there has been a⬇️in strength in Dec w/the % of #SP1500 sub-industries trading above their 50 & 200 day moving avgs⬇️frm Nov.
January 10, 2025 at 8:13 PM
.@LowryResearch indicated that many core indicators reached strong levels by end of Nov, supporting the long-term #health of the current #BullMarket. But, there has been a⬇️in strength in Dec w/the % of #SP1500 sub-industries trading above their 50 & 200 day moving avgs⬇️frm Nov.
History says, but does not guarantee, that the best response is often #ThatDepends. Ideally investors tend to💵more by buying last year's #losers after a ⬇️yr & holding last year's #winners after an⬆️yr. From 1991 to early Dec 2024, the #SP500 averaged a 10.5% annual gain.
January 10, 2025 at 8:07 PM
History says, but does not guarantee, that the best response is often #ThatDepends. Ideally investors tend to💵more by buying last year's #losers after a ⬇️yr & holding last year's #winners after an⬆️yr. From 1991 to early Dec 2024, the #SP500 averaged a 10.5% annual gain.
As of Dec 6, the #SP500 has⬆️nearly 28% YTD, with gains across all sectors & over 70% of sub-industries. As we prepare for 2025, #investors are debating whether to invest in 2024's #winners or #losers, considering strategies like #LetYourWinnersRide & #BuyLow, #SellHigh.
January 10, 2025 at 8:02 PM
As of Dec 6, the #SP500 has⬆️nearly 28% YTD, with gains across all sectors & over 70% of sub-industries. As we prepare for 2025, #investors are debating whether to invest in 2024's #winners or #losers, considering strategies like #LetYourWinnersRide & #BuyLow, #SellHigh.
The U.S. equity markets continue to plow ahead, setting new all-time⬆️. YTD through the end of Nov, the #SP500 accumulated the greatest # of closing ⬆️(53), followed by the #DJIA (47) & the #Nasdaq100 (30). The #Russell2000 is about to set its 1st new closing⬆️in over 3yrs.
January 10, 2025 at 8:00 PM
The U.S. equity markets continue to plow ahead, setting new all-time⬆️. YTD through the end of Nov, the #SP500 accumulated the greatest # of closing ⬆️(53), followed by the #DJIA (47) & the #Nasdaq100 (30). The #Russell2000 is about to set its 1st new closing⬆️in over 3yrs.
In a year of financial uncertainty, your best investment is knowledge. Join me & my industry colleagues for the @MoneyShow #MastersSymposium, three days of expert talks, networking, and actionable strategies that can reshape your portfolio. Register now. ow.ly/VoXk50UgbU3
January 10, 2025 at 7:55 PM
In a year of financial uncertainty, your best investment is knowledge. Join me & my industry colleagues for the @MoneyShow #MastersSymposium, three days of expert talks, networking, and actionable strategies that can reshape your portfolio. Register now. ow.ly/VoXk50UgbU3
What a difference a week makes. During the U.S. #Presidentialelection week, all sizes, styles, & sectors within the #SP1500⬆️in price on the combined stimulus from a #Republican sweep & the expected continued easing of monetary policy.
January 10, 2025 at 7:52 PM
What a difference a week makes. During the U.S. #Presidentialelection week, all sizes, styles, & sectors within the #SP1500⬆️in price on the combined stimulus from a #Republican sweep & the expected continued easing of monetary policy.
The election process concluded unexpectedly quickly, suggesting a #RedWave, in which Republicans achieve control of the #executive & #legislative branches. Historically, a Red Wave has led to significant gains for the #SP500, averaging nearly 13% under a #RepublicanPresident.
January 10, 2025 at 7:46 PM
The election process concluded unexpectedly quickly, suggesting a #RedWave, in which Republicans achieve control of the #executive & #legislative branches. Historically, a Red Wave has led to significant gains for the #SP500, averaging nearly 13% under a #RepublicanPresident.
The scariest month of the year has come to an end. Typically, the #SP500 posted a ⬇️ in the month before the Presidential election, and this year was no different. All sizes, styles, and 8 of 11 sectors in the #SP1500Index slipped in price.
January 10, 2025 at 7:43 PM
The scariest month of the year has come to an end. Typically, the #SP500 posted a ⬇️ in the month before the Presidential election, and this year was no different. All sizes, styles, and 8 of 11 sectors in the #SP1500Index slipped in price.
In a year of financial uncertainty, your best investment is knowledge. Join me & my industry colleagues for the @MoneyShow #MastersSymposium, three days of expert talks, networking, and actionable strategies that can reshape your portfolio. Register now. ow.ly/I6lG50TTslC
Prepare Your Portfolio for a Crucial Year Ahead | Sarasota MoneyShow Masters Symposium
Join an interactive forum to explore economics, politics, markets, real estate, alternative assets, technology, artificial intelligence, and more in a relaxed, resort setting in Sarasota, Florida. Alt...
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January 10, 2025 at 4:01 PM
In a year of financial uncertainty, your best investment is knowledge. Join me & my industry colleagues for the @MoneyShow #MastersSymposium, three days of expert talks, networking, and actionable strategies that can reshape your portfolio. Register now. ow.ly/I6lG50TTslC
In a year of financial uncertainty, your best investment is knowledge. Join me & my industry colleagues for the @MoneyShow #MastersSymposium, three days of expert talks, networking, and actionable strategies that can reshape your portfolio. Register now. ow.ly/I6lG50TTslC
January 10, 2025 at 4:00 PM
In a year of financial uncertainty, your best investment is knowledge. Join me & my industry colleagues for the @MoneyShow #MastersSymposium, three days of expert talks, networking, and actionable strategies that can reshape your portfolio. Register now. ow.ly/I6lG50TTslC