Anthony Reinhard
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Anthony Reinhard
@statbutler.com
Football Analytics | Data Viz
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With just three games left in the regular season, there are a handful of teams that will be better off losing. It doesn’t have to be like this!

New on statbutler dot com: My Plan to Defeat Tanking

🔗 below
An update to my alternative draft ordering proposal that I shared last week!

The Titans jump to the top spot with their Week 16 win and will stay there with one more win or a Jets loss. The winner of this week's NYG-LV game would clinch a pick in the top 5.
December 23, 2025 at 6:54 PM
Yesterday on statbutler dot com, I shared an alternative method for establishing the order of the NFL draft that would encourage teams to win games late in the season.

Here is the current draft order under my proposed format:
December 21, 2025 at 3:44 PM
With just three games left in the regular season, there are a handful of teams that will be better off losing. It doesn’t have to be like this!

New on statbutler dot com: My Plan to Defeat Tanking

🔗 below
December 20, 2025 at 2:50 PM
Brady Cook will be the 16th rookie UDFA to start a game at QB since 1988. Their teams are 15-36 in those games.

@stathead.com @pro-football-reference.com
December 12, 2025 at 4:53 PM
Week 14 TNF Snap Counts
December 5, 2025 at 5:02 AM
December 5, 2025 at 3:08 AM
Pressure rate allowed by offensives based on the alignment of the pass rusher for Weeks 1 to 13.

Data from NFL Pro
December 3, 2025 at 11:24 PM
Haven't had a chance to update my Browns season benchmarks for a while! Current tally is 8-9.

Four wins are locked in (2, 3, 4, 8) and four losses are locked in (6, 7, 11, 15) with the remaining nine reasonably up for grabs.
December 3, 2025 at 4:52 PM
Was playing around last night with what I think is a better way to show the functional age of a roster. I'm counting the number of years a player has before they reach a position-specific age threshold and zeroing out older players. Packers & Jets are young, Commanders old.
December 3, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Just added MNF
December 2, 2025 at 4:46 AM
Snap count graphs for Week 13 are posted on statbutler dot com
December 1, 2025 at 5:42 AM
TNF Week 12 Snap Counts
November 21, 2025 at 5:43 AM
TNF Week 11 Snap Counts
November 14, 2025 at 5:24 AM
Snap counts graphs are up for Week 9 at statbutler dot com
November 3, 2025 at 3:30 PM
TNF Week 9 snap counts
October 31, 2025 at 1:31 PM
Week 8 was a boring week of professional football. Since 1999, only three other weeks have had fewer minutes of game time where win probability was between 10% & 90%.
October 28, 2025 at 3:52 PM
MNF Week 8 snaps:
October 28, 2025 at 3:33 AM
On Sunday, Myles Garrett became the 25th player since 1982 (first year sacks were recorded) to be credited with 4 sacks in a losing effort.

Garrett, Andra Davis ('03), and DeMarcus Ware ('11) are the only three to do it in a loss of 17 points or more.

@pro-football-reference.com @stathead.com
October 27, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Snap counts for all of the Sunday game in Week 8 are up on statbutler dot com
October 27, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Snap counts of TNF Week 8
October 24, 2025 at 12:31 PM
2025 roles, snap counts, and PFF grade percentiles for each team's most recent free agent class
October 22, 2025 at 10:24 PM
PFF win rate on pass rushes for edge defenders in 2024 vs 2025
October 22, 2025 at 3:49 PM
In light of the PFF grade discourse in recent days, I dug up something a created back in 2021. This shows that PFF passing grade around this time of year distinguishes itself as a better solo predictor of rest-of-season production than season-to-date EPA/dropback alone.
October 22, 2025 at 12:54 PM
Goodnight!
October 21, 2025 at 5:43 AM
Snap counts for the first MNF game are up
October 21, 2025 at 3:36 AM