StaChesstics
@stachesstics.bsky.social
♟️ Chess stats & AI-powered predictions | StaChesstics AI
🔗 http://stachesstics.com
🔗 http://stachesstics.com
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StaChesstics
@stachesstics.bsky.social
· Nov 23
Hi Bluesky #Chess Community! ♟️
We’re StaChesstics, diving into tournament-winning probabilities and chess stats like never before.
Excited to bring you deeper, more detailed insights right here on Bluesky. Let’s chat about the numbers behind the game. Follow along, and let’s nerd out over chess! 🌟
We’re StaChesstics, diving into tournament-winning probabilities and chess stats like never before.
Excited to bring you deeper, more detailed insights right here on Bluesky. Let’s chat about the numbers behind the game. Follow along, and let’s nerd out over chess! 🌟
Only three rounds left at #SinquefieldCup 2025! With 6 points likely enough to win, #FabianoCaruana is sitting comfortably on top, holding a 50% chance to win outright and a 27% chance to tie for first.
Follow the excitement and see more detailed stats on the StaChesstics website!
Follow the excitement and see more detailed stats on the StaChesstics website!
August 25, 2025 at 4:49 PM
Only three rounds left at #SinquefieldCup 2025! With 6 points likely enough to win, #FabianoCaruana is sitting comfortably on top, holding a 50% chance to win outright and a 27% chance to tie for first.
Follow the excitement and see more detailed stats on the StaChesstics website!
Follow the excitement and see more detailed stats on the StaChesstics website!
June 1, 2025 at 8:35 PM
After round 5, our AI model predicted that 6 points would be needed for sole victory and that's exactly what happened.
Not only is this kind of analysis insightful for fans, but players can also benefit from it and adjust their strategy based on the predicted score cutoffs.
#GrandChessTour
#chess
Not only is this kind of analysis insightful for fans, but players can also benefit from it and adjust their strategy based on the predicted score cutoffs.
#GrandChessTour
#chess
May 16, 2025 at 6:00 PM
After round 5, our AI model predicted that 6 points would be needed for sole victory and that's exactly what happened.
Not only is this kind of analysis insightful for fans, but players can also benefit from it and adjust their strategy based on the predicted score cutoffs.
#GrandChessTour
#chess
Not only is this kind of analysis insightful for fans, but players can also benefit from it and adjust their strategy based on the predicted score cutoffs.
#GrandChessTour
#chess
Congratulations to #ZhuJiner, the first player to secure her ticket to the 2026 Candidates with a 100% qualification chance! 🎉 A phenomenal run!
Anna Muzychuk can boost her odds to 69% with a win tomorrow using White. She’d also need Zhu to not win with Black.
#chess
#fidewomengrandprix
Anna Muzychuk can boost her odds to 69% with a win tomorrow using White. She’d also need Zhu to not win with Black.
#chess
#fidewomengrandprix
May 14, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Congratulations to #ZhuJiner, the first player to secure her ticket to the 2026 Candidates with a 100% qualification chance! 🎉 A phenomenal run!
Anna Muzychuk can boost her odds to 69% with a win tomorrow using White. She’d also need Zhu to not win with Black.
#chess
#fidewomengrandprix
Anna Muzychuk can boost her odds to 69% with a win tomorrow using White. She’d also need Zhu to not win with Black.
#chess
#fidewomengrandprix
Less than an hour to go before Round 7 of the Superbet Chess Classic Romania begins.
The key match is between two co-leaders, #AlirezaFirouzja and #Praggnanandhaa, and we look at how this game could impact the tournament winning chances for either of them.
#GrandChessTour
The key match is between two co-leaders, #AlirezaFirouzja and #Praggnanandhaa, and we look at how this game could impact the tournament winning chances for either of them.
#GrandChessTour
May 14, 2025 at 11:23 AM
Less than an hour to go before Round 7 of the Superbet Chess Classic Romania begins.
The key match is between two co-leaders, #AlirezaFirouzja and #Praggnanandhaa, and we look at how this game could impact the tournament winning chances for either of them.
#GrandChessTour
The key match is between two co-leaders, #AlirezaFirouzja and #Praggnanandhaa, and we look at how this game could impact the tournament winning chances for either of them.
#GrandChessTour
Candidates 2026 Spot Nearly Secured for Zhu!
With only two rounds to go, #ZhuJiner is on fire! five wins in a row! A very exciting player, and we’re (most likely) lucky to see her in action at Candidates 2026.
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
With only two rounds to go, #ZhuJiner is on fire! five wins in a row! A very exciting player, and we’re (most likely) lucky to see her in action at Candidates 2026.
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
May 14, 2025 at 9:34 AM
Candidates 2026 Spot Nearly Secured for Zhu!
With only two rounds to go, #ZhuJiner is on fire! five wins in a row! A very exciting player, and we’re (most likely) lucky to see her in action at Candidates 2026.
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
With only two rounds to go, #ZhuJiner is on fire! five wins in a row! A very exciting player, and we’re (most likely) lucky to see her in action at Candidates 2026.
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
Candidates 2026 Spot Nearly Secured for Zhu!
With only two rounds to go, #ZhuJiner is on fire! five wins in a row! A very exciting player, and we’re (most likely) lucky to see her in action at Candidates 2026.
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
With only two rounds to go, #ZhuJiner is on fire! five wins in a row! A very exciting player, and we’re (most likely) lucky to see her in action at Candidates 2026.
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
May 14, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Candidates 2026 Spot Nearly Secured for Zhu!
With only two rounds to go, #ZhuJiner is on fire! five wins in a row! A very exciting player, and we’re (most likely) lucky to see her in action at Candidates 2026.
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
With only two rounds to go, #ZhuJiner is on fire! five wins in a row! A very exciting player, and we’re (most likely) lucky to see her in action at Candidates 2026.
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
Key game of Round 6: Alireza (White) vs Gukesh (Black).
A clash between the defending GCT champ and the world champ, both in must-win mode to stay alive.
A win could boost Alireza’s chances to nearly 27%.
Does #Gukesh risk it with Black or play solid to provoke Firouzja?
#GrandChessTour #Chess
A clash between the defending GCT champ and the world champ, both in must-win mode to stay alive.
A win could boost Alireza’s chances to nearly 27%.
Does #Gukesh risk it with Black or play solid to provoke Firouzja?
#GrandChessTour #Chess
May 13, 2025 at 10:41 AM
Key game of Round 6: Alireza (White) vs Gukesh (Black).
A clash between the defending GCT champ and the world champ, both in must-win mode to stay alive.
A win could boost Alireza’s chances to nearly 27%.
Does #Gukesh risk it with Black or play solid to provoke Firouzja?
#GrandChessTour #Chess
A clash between the defending GCT champ and the world champ, both in must-win mode to stay alive.
A win could boost Alireza’s chances to nearly 27%.
Does #Gukesh risk it with Black or play solid to provoke Firouzja?
#GrandChessTour #Chess
Round 6 of the #GrandChessTour Superbet Classic Romania starts in a few hours! Our simulations at StaChesstics show that in 70% of cases, the sole winner finishes with 6 points.
At this stage, there's no time to play it safe. With two White games left for each player, it’s a MUST-WIN with White
At this stage, there's no time to play it safe. With two White games left for each player, it’s a MUST-WIN with White
May 13, 2025 at 8:36 AM
Round 6 of the #GrandChessTour Superbet Classic Romania starts in a few hours! Our simulations at StaChesstics show that in 70% of cases, the sole winner finishes with 6 points.
At this stage, there's no time to play it safe. With two White games left for each player, it’s a MUST-WIN with White
At this stage, there's no time to play it safe. With two White games left for each player, it’s a MUST-WIN with White
Reposted by StaChesstics
We ran 10 million simulations. Here’s what the numbers say:
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
📸:
Eldar Azimov (Cropped from original)
Ekaterina Vasilchenko (Cropped from original)
Stefan64 (Cropped from original)
Tatarstan ru (Cropped from original)
#chess
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
📸:
Eldar Azimov (Cropped from original)
Ekaterina Vasilchenko (Cropped from original)
Stefan64 (Cropped from original)
Tatarstan ru (Cropped from original)
#chess
May 9, 2025 at 7:17 PM
We ran 10 million simulations. Here’s what the numbers say:
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
📸:
Eldar Azimov (Cropped from original)
Ekaterina Vasilchenko (Cropped from original)
Stefan64 (Cropped from original)
Tatarstan ru (Cropped from original)
#chess
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
📸:
Eldar Azimov (Cropped from original)
Ekaterina Vasilchenko (Cropped from original)
Stefan64 (Cropped from original)
Tatarstan ru (Cropped from original)
#chess
FIDE Women’s Grand Prix: Who will qualify for the Candidates? 🎯
Current chances after Round 4 by StaChesstics AI:
Anna Muzychuk: 73.7%
Goryachkina: 75%
Zhu Jiner: 44.5%
Tan Zhongyi: 4.6%
Humpy Koneru: 2.3%
#WomenInChess
#FIDEWomensGrandPrix
Current chances after Round 4 by StaChesstics AI:
Anna Muzychuk: 73.7%
Goryachkina: 75%
Zhu Jiner: 44.5%
Tan Zhongyi: 4.6%
Humpy Koneru: 2.3%
#WomenInChess
#FIDEWomensGrandPrix
May 9, 2025 at 7:17 PM
FIDE Women’s Grand Prix: Who will qualify for the Candidates? 🎯
Current chances after Round 4 by StaChesstics AI:
Anna Muzychuk: 73.7%
Goryachkina: 75%
Zhu Jiner: 44.5%
Tan Zhongyi: 4.6%
Humpy Koneru: 2.3%
#WomenInChess
#FIDEWomensGrandPrix
Current chances after Round 4 by StaChesstics AI:
Anna Muzychuk: 73.7%
Goryachkina: 75%
Zhu Jiner: 44.5%
Tan Zhongyi: 4.6%
Humpy Koneru: 2.3%
#WomenInChess
#FIDEWomensGrandPrix
🚨 The #FIDEWomenGrandPrix in Austria is about to start!
We’ve run 5 million simulations with our 88 %-accurate StaChesstics model:
🏆 #TanZhongyi has a higher chance to win than #ZhuJiner—even though Zhu’s projected points are higher!
Why? The first tiebreak is number of Black games...
We’ve run 5 million simulations with our 88 %-accurate StaChesstics model:
🏆 #TanZhongyi has a higher chance to win than #ZhuJiner—even though Zhu’s projected points are higher!
Why? The first tiebreak is number of Black games...
May 6, 2025 at 1:02 PM
🚨 The #FIDEWomenGrandPrix in Austria is about to start!
We’ve run 5 million simulations with our 88 %-accurate StaChesstics model:
🏆 #TanZhongyi has a higher chance to win than #ZhuJiner—even though Zhu’s projected points are higher!
Why? The first tiebreak is number of Black games...
We’ve run 5 million simulations with our 88 %-accurate StaChesstics model:
🏆 #TanZhongyi has a higher chance to win than #ZhuJiner—even though Zhu’s projected points are higher!
Why? The first tiebreak is number of Black games...
April 30, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Absolute domination by Fedoseev with 8/9 on Day 1 Blitz.
Points: 8/9
Performance Rating: 3072
Winning chances: 94.8%
Overall points: 19/27
Expected Score: 23.57
Based on others' expected scores, he probably needs ~4 more points to win it.
📸: Frans Peeters
#Chess
#GrandChessTour
Points: 8/9
Performance Rating: 3072
Winning chances: 94.8%
Overall points: 19/27
Expected Score: 23.57
Based on others' expected scores, he probably needs ~4 more points to win it.
📸: Frans Peeters
#Chess
#GrandChessTour
April 29, 2025 at 6:37 PM
Absolute domination by Fedoseev with 8/9 on Day 1 Blitz.
Points: 8/9
Performance Rating: 3072
Winning chances: 94.8%
Overall points: 19/27
Expected Score: 23.57
Based on others' expected scores, he probably needs ~4 more points to win it.
📸: Frans Peeters
#Chess
#GrandChessTour
Points: 8/9
Performance Rating: 3072
Winning chances: 94.8%
Overall points: 19/27
Expected Score: 23.57
Based on others' expected scores, he probably needs ~4 more points to win it.
📸: Frans Peeters
#Chess
#GrandChessTour
🚨 Who wins the Superbet Poland Rapid & Blitz?
After 10 MILLION StaChesstics AI simulations, the win probabilities are in!
Let's dive into the favorites ⬇️
#GrandChessTour #StaChesstics
After 10 MILLION StaChesstics AI simulations, the win probabilities are in!
Let's dive into the favorites ⬇️
#GrandChessTour #StaChesstics
April 28, 2025 at 6:10 PM
🚨 Who wins the Superbet Poland Rapid & Blitz?
After 10 MILLION StaChesstics AI simulations, the win probabilities are in!
Let's dive into the favorites ⬇️
#GrandChessTour #StaChesstics
After 10 MILLION StaChesstics AI simulations, the win probabilities are in!
Let's dive into the favorites ⬇️
#GrandChessTour #StaChesstics
Grand Chess Tour 2025 Rapid & Blitz Poland starts soon!
Top 4 players by tournament win chances (First + Shared First for the Rapid portion):
🇫🇷 Maxime Vachier-Lagrave: 27.24%
🇺🇸 Levon Aronian: 23.24%
🇸🇮 Vladimir Fedoseev: 22.11%
🇫🇷 Alireza Firouzja: 21.14%
#GrandChessTour
Top 4 players by tournament win chances (First + Shared First for the Rapid portion):
🇫🇷 Maxime Vachier-Lagrave: 27.24%
🇺🇸 Levon Aronian: 23.24%
🇸🇮 Vladimir Fedoseev: 22.11%
🇫🇷 Alireza Firouzja: 21.14%
#GrandChessTour
April 26, 2025 at 10:32 AM
Grand Chess Tour 2025 Rapid & Blitz Poland starts soon!
Top 4 players by tournament win chances (First + Shared First for the Rapid portion):
🇫🇷 Maxime Vachier-Lagrave: 27.24%
🇺🇸 Levon Aronian: 23.24%
🇸🇮 Vladimir Fedoseev: 22.11%
🇫🇷 Alireza Firouzja: 21.14%
#GrandChessTour
Top 4 players by tournament win chances (First + Shared First for the Rapid portion):
🇫🇷 Maxime Vachier-Lagrave: 27.24%
🇺🇸 Levon Aronian: 23.24%
🇸🇮 Vladimir Fedoseev: 22.11%
🇫🇷 Alireza Firouzja: 21.14%
#GrandChessTour
🎉 Congratulations to Humpy Koneru on winning the FIDE Women's Grand Prix 2024/25, 5th leg in Pune! Both Humpy and Zhu Jiner scored 7 out of 9 and share the Grand Prix points. Check out her stats below! ♟️🏆 #WomenInChess #FIDEWomenGrandPrix #KoneruHumpy
April 23, 2025 at 2:33 PM
🎉 Congratulations to Humpy Koneru on winning the FIDE Women's Grand Prix 2024/25, 5th leg in Pune! Both Humpy and Zhu Jiner scored 7 out of 9 and share the Grand Prix points. Check out her stats below! ♟️🏆 #WomenInChess #FIDEWomenGrandPrix #KoneruHumpy
Get real-time standings and AI-powered predictions for the FIDE Women’s Grand Prix 2024-2025 at stachesstics.com/live during rounds 8 and 9.
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
StaChesstics – AI-Powered Chess Predictions & Stats
Get real-time chess insights, tournament odds, and advanced player analytics. Free & AI-driven.
stachesstics.com
April 22, 2025 at 6:52 AM
Get real-time standings and AI-powered predictions for the FIDE Women’s Grand Prix 2024-2025 at stachesstics.com/live during rounds 8 and 9.
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix #WomenInChess
Humpy Koneru wins the key game of the tournament. She defeated Zhu Jiner with the white pieces and now has an 88% chance of winning the tournament, with half a point clear ahead. What a tournament she has.
Performance Rating: 2674
#KoneruHumpy #womeninchess #chess
📷: Seshudak
Performance Rating: 2674
#KoneruHumpy #womeninchess #chess
📷: Seshudak
April 21, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Humpy Koneru wins the key game of the tournament. She defeated Zhu Jiner with the white pieces and now has an 88% chance of winning the tournament, with half a point clear ahead. What a tournament she has.
Performance Rating: 2674
#KoneruHumpy #womeninchess #chess
📷: Seshudak
Performance Rating: 2674
#KoneruHumpy #womeninchess #chess
📷: Seshudak
Reposted by StaChesstics
Who’s the favorite to win the Women’s Grand Prix - Pune? It’s not the current leader, according to our AI model. It disagrees with Elo... again. 🧵
#chess
#womeninchess
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix
#chess
#womeninchess
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix
April 17, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Who’s the favorite to win the Women’s Grand Prix - Pune? It’s not the current leader, according to our AI model. It disagrees with Elo... again. 🧵
#chess
#womeninchess
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix
#chess
#womeninchess
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix
Who’s the favorite to win the Women’s Grand Prix - Pune? It’s not the current leader, according to our AI model. It disagrees with Elo... again. 🧵
#chess
#womeninchess
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix
#chess
#womeninchess
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix
April 17, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Who’s the favorite to win the Women’s Grand Prix - Pune? It’s not the current leader, according to our AI model. It disagrees with Elo... again. 🧵
#chess
#womeninchess
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix
#chess
#womeninchess
#FIDEWomenGrandPrix
After two rounds of the FIDE Women's Grand Prix 2024/25 in Pune, India, we have four players who are clear favorites, both by the Elo-based mathematical model and our AI model. Two of them are from the host country, India.
#WomenInChess
#WomenInChess
April 15, 2025 at 6:20 PM
After two rounds of the FIDE Women's Grand Prix 2024/25 in Pune, India, we have four players who are clear favorites, both by the Elo-based mathematical model and our AI model. Two of them are from the host country, India.
#WomenInChess
#WomenInChess
With the overall score of 6-2, on paper Tan Zhongyi can only force the playoff and she needs to win all the remaining games.
It's obvious that it's almost over. If you wanna see the numbers:
🔵 Tan’s chances: 0.06%
🟡 Playoff chance: 0.13%
🔴 Ju Wenjun: 99.94% chance to keep the title
#JuTan #chess
It's obvious that it's almost over. If you wanna see the numbers:
🔵 Tan’s chances: 0.06%
🟡 Playoff chance: 0.13%
🔴 Ju Wenjun: 99.94% chance to keep the title
#JuTan #chess
April 14, 2025 at 11:44 AM
Tan Zhongyi is in a very difficult position, but it's not over yet. She still has around an 8% chance of winning the title.
#JuTan #WomenInChess
#JuTan #WomenInChess
April 11, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Tan Zhongyi is in a very difficult position, but it's not over yet. She still has around an 8% chance of winning the title.
#JuTan #WomenInChess
#JuTan #WomenInChess
After her second win in a row with the white pieces, Ju Wenjun now has almost a 70% chance of retaining the title. There's also a 26% chance of reaching the playoff games to decide the Women's World Champion.
Ju Wenjun is a heavy favorite, but it's far from over.
#JuTan
Ju Wenjun is a heavy favorite, but it's far from over.
#JuTan
April 9, 2025 at 12:11 PM
After her second win in a row with the white pieces, Ju Wenjun now has almost a 70% chance of retaining the title. There's also a 26% chance of reaching the playoff games to decide the Women's World Champion.
Ju Wenjun is a heavy favorite, but it's far from over.
#JuTan
Ju Wenjun is a heavy favorite, but it's far from over.
#JuTan