What are the odds?* *The odds are 1 in 1.7 million

Wayne Ma and Qianer Liu say we'll have to wait to see a sequel to iPhone Air, but The Information provides literally nothing beyond this headline (https://www.theinformation.com/articles/apple-delays-release-next-iphone-air-amid-weak-sales) outside their paywall: Apple Delays Release of Next iPhone Air Amid Weak Sales But does one truly need to fork over $399 to know exactly what the body of the article is going to say? All you need to know is that Justin Searls loving an Apple product is effectively the kiss of death in the Tim Cook era:

I'm back and I'm angry. My power went out, which caused my Internet to go down, which broke my favorite mug. And that's just the shit that happened before 7 AM. By 9 AM my doorbell was continuously chiming for no fucking reason. Join me in the struggle. We shall persevere. Tell me how your morning went by writing in to: podcast@searls.co. Here 4 U:

Fantastic write-up by Nowfal (https://www.wreflection.com/p/ai-dial-up-era) comparing AI's current moment to the Internet's dial-up era. This bit in particular points to a cleavage that far too few people understand: Software presents an even more interesting question. How many apps do you need? What about software that generates applications on demand, that creates entire software ecosystems autonomously? Until now, handcrafted software was the constraint. Expensive software engineers and their our labor costs limited what companies could afford to build. Automation changes this equation by making those engineers far more productive. Both consumer and enterprise software markets suggest significant unmet demand because businesses have consistently left projects unbuilt. They couldn't justify the development costs or had to allocate limited resources to their top priority projects. I saw this firsthand at Amazon. Thousands of ideas went unfunded not because they lacked business value, but because of the lack of engineering resources to build them. If AI can produce software at a fraction of the cost, that unleashes enormous latent demand. The key question then is if and when that demand will saturate.

For stupid reasons (/takes/2025-10-30-11h00m40s/), I had to downgrade my Vision Pro from visionOS 26.1 to 26.0.1 today. Here's how to put Vision Pro into Device Firmware Update ("DFU") mode and downgrade. Here's how to restore a Vision Pro in 9 easy steps: 1. Buy a Developer Strap (https://developer.apple.com/visionos/developer-strap/) for $299 2. Go to https://ipsw.me/product/Vision and do your best to dodge its shitty ads as you try to download the IPSW restore file for your model Vision Pro at the version you need (if you don't see that version, it's likely because Apple isn't signing it anymore and you're SOL (https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/shit_out_of_luck)) 3. Install Apple Configurator (https://apps.apple.com/us/app/apple-configurator/id1037126344?mt=12) to your Mac 4. Connect the Developer Strap to your Mac via USB-C, and disconnect Vision Pro from power 5. Get ready to press and hold the top button (not the digital crown, the other one), then reconnect power to Vision Pro and immediately press and hold the top button until the outer screen shows a cable icon 6. Open Apple Configurator, and you should see a Vision Pro icon. 7. Drag the IPSW file over the Vision Pro icon and click Restore 8. Click things and hope it works 9. Ask yourself what the fuck you did in a past life that brought you to this moment Good luck, have fun. 🕶️

This may be the version 45 release of Breaking Change, but when you factor in its Hotfixes and Feature Release entries, this is somehow the 50th episode of the show! Why? Why are we still doing this to ourselves? Write in your answer and how you feel about yourself as a result to podcast@searls.co. Seriously, I need some new material. The web runs on links, so have some:

Like many other Vision Pro sickos, I was far more excited about this week's announcement of a newly-updated Developer Strap (https://www.macrumors.com/2025/10/22/apple-releases-new-vision-pro-developer-strap/) than I was about last week's news of the M5 Vision Pro (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2025/10/apple-vision-pro-upgraded-with-the-m5-chip-and-dual-knit-band/) itself. Why? The original strap allowed you to connect your Vision Pro to a Mac, but at unacceptably slow USB 2.0 (480 Mbps) speeds. This still achieved much lower latency connection than WiFi, but the image quality when running Mac Virtual Display (https://support.apple.com/en-us/118521) over the USB connection was rendered far too blurry to be worthwhile. The new strap, however, offers a massively-upgraded 20 Gbps connection speed. I rushed to order one at the news, because, in theory, those speeds ought to offer the absolute best experience possible when using Vision Pro as an immersive Mac display.