@sbmintelligence.bsky.social
#Africa Watch: 🇳🇪#Niger’s Abdourahamane Tchiani states the border with 🇧🇯#Benin will remain closed, accusing Benin of hosting 🇫🇷French troops and financing terrorism.
Benin denies the claims.
Since the 2023 coup, the closure has disrupted trade.
Benin denies the claims.
Since the 2023 coup, the closure has disrupted trade.
Niger keeps border with Benin shut
Niger’s junta leader insists the border with Benin will stay closed, accusing its neighbour of hosting terrorists and betraying Nigerien aspirations.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
November 17, 2025 at 7:41 AM
#Africa Watch: 🇳🇪#Niger’s Abdourahamane Tchiani states the border with 🇧🇯#Benin will remain closed, accusing Benin of hosting 🇫🇷French troops and financing terrorism.
Benin denies the claims.
Since the 2023 coup, the closure has disrupted trade.
Benin denies the claims.
Since the 2023 coup, the closure has disrupted trade.
#TheWeekAhead
A tale of two West Africas: 🇳🇬#Nigeria sees political wins & a new economic plan, 🇬🇭#Ghana sees economic recovery.
Meanwhile, regional standoffs and jihadist feuds rumble on.
A tale of two West Africas: 🇳🇬#Nigeria sees political wins & a new economic plan, 🇬🇭#Ghana sees economic recovery.
Meanwhile, regional standoffs and jihadist feuds rumble on.
The Week Ahead - Onto a landmine
Nigeria’s political and economic strides contrast with regional tensions and militant infighting, creating a mixed picture of West African progress.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
November 14, 2025 at 8:23 AM
#TheWeekAhead
A tale of two West Africas: 🇳🇬#Nigeria sees political wins & a new economic plan, 🇬🇭#Ghana sees economic recovery.
Meanwhile, regional standoffs and jihadist feuds rumble on.
A tale of two West Africas: 🇳🇬#Nigeria sees political wins & a new economic plan, 🇬🇭#Ghana sees economic recovery.
Meanwhile, regional standoffs and jihadist feuds rumble on.
Chart of the week: Expat targets
Insecurity in #Nigeria that specifically targets foreign nationals poses a significant risk to international businesses and expatriates.
Insecurity in #Nigeria that specifically targets foreign nationals poses a significant risk to international businesses and expatriates.
November 13, 2025 at 7:42 AM
Chart of the week: Expat targets
Insecurity in #Nigeria that specifically targets foreign nationals poses a significant risk to international businesses and expatriates.
Insecurity in #Nigeria that specifically targets foreign nationals poses a significant risk to international businesses and expatriates.
🥼Doctor-to-patient 🏥ratios in 🇳🇬 #Nigeria's states
The earlier version of this chart saw Enugu's d2p ratio displayed as 1:299. The correct ratio is 1:2998.
This has also been corrected in the reissued report: www.sbmintel.com/wp-content/u...
We regret the typo.
The earlier version of this chart saw Enugu's d2p ratio displayed as 1:299. The correct ratio is 1:2998.
This has also been corrected in the reissued report: www.sbmintel.com/wp-content/u...
We regret the typo.
November 11, 2025 at 7:08 AM
🥼Doctor-to-patient 🏥ratios in 🇳🇬 #Nigeria's states
The earlier version of this chart saw Enugu's d2p ratio displayed as 1:299. The correct ratio is 1:2998.
This has also been corrected in the reissued report: www.sbmintel.com/wp-content/u...
We regret the typo.
The earlier version of this chart saw Enugu's d2p ratio displayed as 1:299. The correct ratio is 1:2998.
This has also been corrected in the reissued report: www.sbmintel.com/wp-content/u...
We regret the typo.
#Africa Watch: Post-election violence erupts in 🇹🇿 #Tanzania as a promising political thaw under Suluhu Samia gives way to a familiar authoritarian crackdown.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/crackdowns...
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/crackdowns...
Crackdowns and curfews
Deadly crackdowns in Cameroon and violent curfew-defying protests in Tanzania follow disputed election results, drawing international condemnation and allegations of fraud.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
November 10, 2025 at 7:33 AM
#Africa Watch: Post-election violence erupts in 🇹🇿 #Tanzania as a promising political thaw under Suluhu Samia gives way to a familiar authoritarian crackdown.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/crackdowns...
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/crackdowns...
Tensions flare as Donald Trump threatens 🇳🇬with military action.
Meanwhile, Abuja secures new loans, imposes a fuel import duty, & settles with Meta.
Elsewhere, 🇬🇭 intervenes in FX, post-election unrest hits 🇹🇿, & the opposition regroups in 🇨🇮.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...
Meanwhile, Abuja secures new loans, imposes a fuel import duty, & settles with Meta.
Elsewhere, 🇬🇭 intervenes in FX, post-election unrest hits 🇹🇿, & the opposition regroups in 🇨🇮.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...
The week Ahead - Fighting on multiple fronts
Nigeria and Ghana pursue economic plans with loans and FX intervention, while Central and West Africa face post-election unrest and political shifts.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
November 7, 2025 at 7:39 AM
Tensions flare as Donald Trump threatens 🇳🇬with military action.
Meanwhile, Abuja secures new loans, imposes a fuel import duty, & settles with Meta.
Elsewhere, 🇬🇭 intervenes in FX, post-election unrest hits 🇹🇿, & the opposition regroups in 🇨🇮.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...
Meanwhile, Abuja secures new loans, imposes a fuel import duty, & settles with Meta.
Elsewhere, 🇬🇭 intervenes in FX, post-election unrest hits 🇹🇿, & the opposition regroups in 🇨🇮.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...
The 2025 HPI reveals 🇳🇬 #Nigeria's health system is dangerously unprepared for the next crisis, with no state even 30% ready.
The "Japa Syndrome" and chronic underfunding are creating a perfect storm.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-2025-s...
The "Japa Syndrome" and chronic underfunding are creating a perfect storm.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-2025-s...
The 2025 SBM Health Preparedness Index
Five years post-pandemic, Nigeria’s health system remains critically fragile. No state is 30% prepared for the next major health crisis.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
November 6, 2025 at 7:22 AM
The 2025 HPI reveals 🇳🇬 #Nigeria's health system is dangerously unprepared for the next crisis, with no state even 30% ready.
The "Japa Syndrome" and chronic underfunding are creating a perfect storm.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-2025-s...
The "Japa Syndrome" and chronic underfunding are creating a perfect storm.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-2025-s...
Chart of the week: A decade of digital censorship
November 5, 2025 at 7:40 AM
Chart of the week: A decade of digital censorship
#Cameroon’s courts clear the path for Paul Biya's 8th term, sparking deadly protests & an internet blackout. A familiar script: legal ritual, force, and digital censorship substitute for democratic legitimacy. 🇨🇲
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/unrest-and...
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/unrest-and...
Unrest and web blackouts
Cameroon faces protests and internet blackouts after courts dismissed election petitions, paving the way for President Biya's eighth term amid deadly clashes.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
November 4, 2025 at 7:36 AM
#Cameroon’s courts clear the path for Paul Biya's 8th term, sparking deadly protests & an internet blackout. A familiar script: legal ritual, force, and digital censorship substitute for democratic legitimacy. 🇨🇲
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/unrest-and...
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/unrest-and...
🇳🇬#Nigeria's military & finance reshuffles, 🇬🇭#Ghana's economic contrasts, Biya's contested win in 🇨🇲#Cameroon, and Ouattara's victory in 🇨🇮#IvoryCoast.
A region of shifting political and economic sands. #WestAfrica
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...
A region of shifting political and economic sands. #WestAfrica
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...
The Week Ahead - Moving rapidly
From Nigeria's military shake-up and financial reforms to regional elections and unrest, West Africa presents a complex picture of change and continuity.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
October 31, 2025 at 8:46 AM
🇳🇬#Nigeria's military & finance reshuffles, 🇬🇭#Ghana's economic contrasts, Biya's contested win in 🇨🇲#Cameroon, and Ouattara's victory in 🇨🇮#IvoryCoast.
A region of shifting political and economic sands. #WestAfrica
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...
A region of shifting political and economic sands. #WestAfrica
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...
#Africa Watch: 🇿🇦#SouthAfrica's Democratic Alliance proposes scrapping race-based economic policies, reigniting a fierce debate about redressing the legacies of apartheid.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/south-afri...
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/south-afri...
South Africa's race laws face new challenge
South Africa's Democratic Alliance proposes scrapping race-based economic policies, reigniting a fierce debate about redressing the legacies of apartheid.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
October 27, 2025 at 7:49 AM
#Africa Watch: 🇿🇦#SouthAfrica's Democratic Alliance proposes scrapping race-based economic policies, reigniting a fierce debate about redressing the legacies of apartheid.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/south-afri...
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/south-afri...
A mixed week in West Africa.
🇳🇬#Nigeria sees coup rumours, new power plans & falling inflation.
Meanwhile, 🇨🇮#IvoryCoast jails protesters & 🇬🇭#Ghana moves on crypto.
The plot, as ever, recycles.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-weak-a...
🇳🇬#Nigeria sees coup rumours, new power plans & falling inflation.
Meanwhile, 🇨🇮#IvoryCoast jails protesters & 🇬🇭#Ghana moves on crypto.
The plot, as ever, recycles.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-weak-a...
The Weak Ahead - The plot never thickens
Amid Nigerian coup rumours and regional power plans, bandit violence and economic pressures persist. Meanwhile, West African nations grapple with pre-election and crypto challenges.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
October 24, 2025 at 8:20 AM
A mixed week in West Africa.
🇳🇬#Nigeria sees coup rumours, new power plans & falling inflation.
Meanwhile, 🇨🇮#IvoryCoast jails protesters & 🇬🇭#Ghana moves on crypto.
The plot, as ever, recycles.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-weak-a...
🇳🇬#Nigeria sees coup rumours, new power plans & falling inflation.
Meanwhile, 🇨🇮#IvoryCoast jails protesters & 🇬🇭#Ghana moves on crypto.
The plot, as ever, recycles.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-weak-a...
Chart of the week: The spark in #IvoryCoast
🇨🇮The central conflict in Côte d'Ivoire comes from President Ouattara's bid for a 4th term and the exclusion of Tidjane Thiam from the day after tomorrow's elections.
🇨🇮The central conflict in Côte d'Ivoire comes from President Ouattara's bid for a 4th term and the exclusion of Tidjane Thiam from the day after tomorrow's elections.
October 23, 2025 at 7:36 AM
Chart of the week: The spark in #IvoryCoast
🇨🇮The central conflict in Côte d'Ivoire comes from President Ouattara's bid for a 4th term and the exclusion of Tidjane Thiam from the day after tomorrow's elections.
🇨🇮The central conflict in Côte d'Ivoire comes from President Ouattara's bid for a 4th term and the exclusion of Tidjane Thiam from the day after tomorrow's elections.
The SbM #JollofIndex: #Ghana's reforms cut inflation & #Nigeria saw a welcome dip in food prices. This small relief highlights the potential for sustained progress. By focusing on security & infrastructure, a lasting recovery is within reach.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-sbm-jo...
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-sbm-jo...
The SBM Jollof Index: A tale of two economies
Ghana achieved macroeconomic stability in 2025, while Nigeria's slight food price drop masked deep structural crises rooted in insecurity and decay.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
October 22, 2025 at 7:35 AM
The SbM #JollofIndex: #Ghana's reforms cut inflation & #Nigeria saw a welcome dip in food prices. This small relief highlights the potential for sustained progress. By focusing on security & infrastructure, a lasting recovery is within reach.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-sbm-jo...
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-sbm-jo...
A decade of Nigeria's oil rigs
🇳🇬#Nigeria's oil sector is rebounding sharply, with production and rig counts soaring, driven by major reforms and a steep decline in 🛢️crude oil theft.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/nigerias-o...
🇳🇬#Nigeria's oil sector is rebounding sharply, with production and rig counts soaring, driven by major reforms and a steep decline in 🛢️crude oil theft.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/nigerias-o...
Nigeria's oil finally back on tap
Nigeria's oil sector is rebounding sharply with production and rig counts soaring driven by major reforms and a steep decline in crude theft.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
October 21, 2025 at 8:07 AM
A decade of Nigeria's oil rigs
🇳🇬#Nigeria's oil sector is rebounding sharply, with production and rig counts soaring, driven by major reforms and a steep decline in 🛢️crude oil theft.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/nigerias-o...
🇳🇬#Nigeria's oil sector is rebounding sharply, with production and rig counts soaring, driven by major reforms and a steep decline in 🛢️crude oil theft.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/nigerias-o...
Following weeks of lethal protests, 🇲🇬#Madagascar's army seized power, forcing Andry Rajoelina to flee.
A transitional committee will govern, with Colonel Michael Randrianirina in charge, prompting jubilation and an AfricanUnion suspension.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/madagascar...
A transitional committee will govern, with Colonel Michael Randrianirina in charge, prompting jubilation and an AfricanUnion suspension.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/madagascar...
Madagascar's military seizes control from fleeing leader
Madagascar's military has seized power, ousting President Rajoelina after he fled widespread protests. The African Union has suspended the country.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
October 20, 2025 at 7:57 AM
Following weeks of lethal protests, 🇲🇬#Madagascar's army seized power, forcing Andry Rajoelina to flee.
A transitional committee will govern, with Colonel Michael Randrianirina in charge, prompting jubilation and an AfricanUnion suspension.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/madagascar...
A transitional committee will govern, with Colonel Michael Randrianirina in charge, prompting jubilation and an AfricanUnion suspension.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/madagascar...
From 🇲🇬#Madagascar's coup to 🇳🇬#Nigeria's debt and 🇨🇮#IvoryCoast's protests, 🌍#Africa is a study in political and economic turmoil.
Only 🇬🇭#Ghana shows steady, IMF-approved progress.
Only 🇬🇭#Ghana shows steady, IMF-approved progress.
The Week Ahead - Africa’s double bind
Africa is in flux: Madagascar's coup, Nigeria's struggling reforms, Ghana's IMF progress, and Ivory Coast's election protests define a turbulent regional picture.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
October 17, 2025 at 7:46 AM
From 🇲🇬#Madagascar's coup to 🇳🇬#Nigeria's debt and 🇨🇮#IvoryCoast's protests, 🌍#Africa is a study in political and economic turmoil.
Only 🇬🇭#Ghana shows steady, IMF-approved progress.
Only 🇬🇭#Ghana shows steady, IMF-approved progress.
Information gaps
October 16, 2025 at 7:51 AM
Information gaps
#Africa Watch: Peter Mutharika has returned as 🇲🇼#Malawi's President, vowing to end corruption and revive the nation's struggling economy after a decisive election victory.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-lootin...
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-lootin...
The looting honeymoon is officially over
Peter Mutharika returns as Malawi's president vowing to end corruption and revive the nation's struggling economy after a decisive election victory.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
October 15, 2025 at 7:47 AM
#Africa Watch: Peter Mutharika has returned as 🇲🇼#Malawi's President, vowing to end corruption and revive the nation's struggling economy after a decisive election victory.
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-lootin...
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-lootin...
#Cameroon's real election isn't on the ballot. It's the behind-the-scenes battle for who succeeds Paul Biya. Our new report analyses the clash between the First Lady's clan and the state's powerful bureaucrat.
#Politics #Africa #Biya
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/cameroons-...
#Politics #Africa #Biya
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/cameroons-...
Cameroon's political future
While Paul Biya will win Cameroon's election, the real power struggle for his succession pits the presidential clan against the state's top bureaucrat.
sbmintelligence.substack.com
October 13, 2025 at 7:42 AM
#Cameroon's real election isn't on the ballot. It's the behind-the-scenes battle for who succeeds Paul Biya. Our new report analyses the clash between the First Lady's clan and the state's powerful bureaucrat.
#Politics #Africa #Biya
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/cameroons-...
#Politics #Africa #Biya
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/cameroons-...
The Week Ahead: From Nigerian market squabbles to Malawian comebacks, this week we are being served a masterclass in political and economic theatre by a continent united by its flair for the dramatic.
#Africa #WestAfrica #Politics #Economy
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...
#Africa #WestAfrica #Politics #Economy
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...
October 10, 2025 at 7:16 AM
The Week Ahead: From Nigerian market squabbles to Malawian comebacks, this week we are being served a masterclass in political and economic theatre by a continent united by its flair for the dramatic.
#Africa #WestAfrica #Politics #Economy
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...
#Africa #WestAfrica #Politics #Economy
sbmintelligence.substack.com/p/the-week-a...
The price of a security drawdown
Interviews with residents in #Nigeria's Benue State (bit.ly/3IMcvPh) revealed that the Nigerian Army's Operation Whirl Stroke has lost momentum, with communities now accusing security forces of complicity or indifference.
Interviews with residents in #Nigeria's Benue State (bit.ly/3IMcvPh) revealed that the Nigerian Army's Operation Whirl Stroke has lost momentum, with communities now accusing security forces of complicity or indifference.
October 9, 2025 at 8:05 AM
The price of a security drawdown
Interviews with residents in #Nigeria's Benue State (bit.ly/3IMcvPh) revealed that the Nigerian Army's Operation Whirl Stroke has lost momentum, with communities now accusing security forces of complicity or indifference.
Interviews with residents in #Nigeria's Benue State (bit.ly/3IMcvPh) revealed that the Nigerian Army's Operation Whirl Stroke has lost momentum, with communities now accusing security forces of complicity or indifference.