Ryan Evans
ryanevans.bsky.social
Ryan Evans
@ryanevans.bsky.social
Founder, War on the Rocks (warontherocks.com) and Bedrock Knowledge (thebedrock.co). Opinions are my own. I'm not a journalist so please don't mistake me for one.
Why did so many people think Trump wouldn't do a regime change op? My thoughts in article form here

warontherocks.com/2026/01/trum...
Trump’s Venezuelan Regime Change: Why Do People Keep Getting Him Wrong on Foreign Policy?
A number of thoughtful observers argued President Donald Trump would not pursue regime change in Venezuela. I was never convinced. On our podcast and in
warontherocks.com
January 3, 2026 at 7:54 PM
A ten-part thread on misreading Trump:

A number of thoughtful observers argued Trump would not pursue regime change in Venezuela. From the outset I argued that he would on the podcast and in private conversation.
January 3, 2026 at 10:55 AM
I never thought I'd become an e-reader fan. It feels almost sacrilegious, but I've become quite attached to my Kobo reader. It doesn't require me to be locked into an ecosystem like Amazon, the UI is simple and uncluttered, and the notes function works well.
January 1, 2026 at 9:45 PM
Reading this deeply reported article by Adam Entous on the US approach to Ukraine and Russia was painful for me as an American. I will provide some of my thoughts later on here. This is probably the most important piece of journalism in 2025 on foreign policy.
The Separation: Inside the Unraveling U.S.-Ukraine Partnership
As President Trump sought a peace deal and Vladimir V. Putin sought victory, factions in the White House and Pentagon bled the Ukrainian war effort.
www.nytimes.com
January 1, 2026 at 3:03 PM
Occam's Razor points toward a clear conclusion: Putin's claim of an attempted Ukrainian drone attack on one of his homes is a fabrication. Why do I come to this conclusion
December 30, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Perhaps worth revisiting as Trump and Zelensky convene today
December 28, 2025 at 3:36 PM
What are your favorite short stories or novellas about war? (Please don't name your own)
December 28, 2025 at 3:34 PM
This article by Justin Bronk is very important

www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
America’s Drone Delusion
Why the lessons of Ukraine don’t apply to a conflict with China.
www.foreignaffairs.com
December 15, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Amanda Bresler names names in this cutting take down of systematic abuse of the Small Business Innovation Research program and tells legislators how they can save it
warontherocks.com/2025/12/deca...
Decades of Lost Potential in Defense Research and Development
America's greatest national security threat is an enemy born from and nurtured by the Pentagon: crippling bureaucracy. It starves the oxygen from good
warontherocks.com
December 7, 2025 at 10:08 PM
Re-upping my article on what a more sensible and effective approach to bringing #Ukraine and #Russia to the table would look like (Ukrainian language version also available)

warontherocks.com/2025/11/a-15...
A 15-Point Plan to Get to a Ukrainian-Russian Settlement
Editor's Note: A Ukrainian language version of this article is available / Будь ласка, зверніть увагу, що українська версія цієї статті доступна.   I
warontherocks.com
November 26, 2025 at 4:00 PM
With #BlackFriday comes the War on the Rocks holiday reading list

Watch this space @warontherocks.bsky.social
November 26, 2025 at 2:14 PM
I have a new article today in @warontherocks.bsky.social that attempts to lead Washington to a different approach to negotiations to end the war between Ukraine and Russia. I offer 15 principles the belligerents should agree to before negotiations can begin
warontherocks.com/2025/11/a-15...
A 15-Point Plan to Get to a Ukrainian-Russian Settlement
I do not know the origins of the Trump administration’s 28-point peace plan to resolve the Russo-Ukrainian War, but I can safely say it has caused quite a
warontherocks.com
November 25, 2025 at 12:14 PM
November 22, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Were you let go in the recent RAND cuts? I’m connected with organizations that are hiring. Add your info to this Google Form and I will do my best to help

forms.gle/gTaQgBLpT3HA...
Former RAND employees open for work
Were you let go in the recent RAND cuts? I’m connected with organizations that are hiring. Add your info and I will do my best to help - Ryan Evans, War on the Rocks
forms.gle
November 7, 2025 at 4:13 PM
JP McGee is one of the best officers of his generation. I am grateful for his service to our Army and our country
November 3, 2025 at 3:16 PM
Part 2 is coming out soon. Catch up on part 1
Morgan Plummer's new piece in Cogs of War is one of the smartest takes yet on the choices shaping national security #AI. Early policy decisions are setting trajectories that will be hard to undo
warontherocks.com/2025/10/four...
Four AI Policy Choices Policymakers Can’t Afford to Get Wrong
Editor’s Note: This is the first in a series of articles. Subsequent articles will examine answers to each of the four questions laid out below. As
warontherocks.com
November 2, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Reposted by Ryan Evans
My running list of fellowships and other opportunities has been updated, including a veteran fellowship recently highlighted by Jason Galui - the Stand-To Veteran Leadership Program at the Bush Presidential Center.

nathankfinney.com/fellowships-...
Fellowships and Seminars
nathankfinney.com
November 1, 2025 at 6:55 PM
When Putin feels weak, he often resorts to nuclear sabre-rattling. The prospect of nuclear war is of course terrifying, but this is just a tired and non-credible maneuver from Putin. Here's why:
November 1, 2025 at 3:05 PM
I was pleased to have Congressman Himes on the show. We talked for half the episode about Venezuela and Latin America but we also covered the rest of the world.

I'm sure this episode will only deepen the confusion of my more imaginative critics on this website
pod.link/682478916/ep...
pod.link
October 31, 2025 at 1:56 PM
A tale of two social media platforms
October 31, 2025 at 1:37 PM
War on the Rocks has only raised $300k from investors in its 12 year history. We haven't raised a dollar from investors for over six years. None of it was from venture capital or private equity. You people have no clue what you're talking about but I'm enjoying the fanfic
Didn’t they get a bunch of VC money in the last year?
October 31, 2025 at 1:22 AM
Any theories for why the Trump administration is formally celebrating the USMC birthday three weeks early?
October 19, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Morgan Plummer's new piece in Cogs of War is one of the smartest takes yet on the choices shaping national security #AI. Early policy decisions are setting trajectories that will be hard to undo
warontherocks.com/2025/10/four...
Four AI Policy Choices Policymakers Can’t Afford to Get Wrong
Editor’s Note: This is the first in a series of articles. Subsequent articles will examine answers to each of the four questions laid out below. As
warontherocks.com
October 9, 2025 at 5:34 PM
Reposted by Ryan Evans
If you were organizing a candid panel on the performance of Western defense tech in Ukraine, who would you invite?
October 7, 2025 at 2:13 AM