@redsfanchris22.bsky.social
I’ll happily eat crow if/when I’m wrong, but I don’t think that TON contract will age well for the O’s
December 8, 2024 at 12:22 AM
I’ll happily eat crow if/when I’m wrong, but I don’t think that TON contract will age well for the O’s
I think Cole Schoenwetter is a guy that is going to take a huge step forward in 2025
The good
- 29.1 K%
- 48.7 GB%
- 4 pitch mix (4SFB, SI, CV, CH)
- 20 years old
The bad
- 21.5 BB% 🤮
Obviously the command/control is an issue, but there’s a lot of clay to work with. I think he’ll figure it out
The good
- 29.1 K%
- 48.7 GB%
- 4 pitch mix (4SFB, SI, CV, CH)
- 20 years old
The bad
- 21.5 BB% 🤮
Obviously the command/control is an issue, but there’s a lot of clay to work with. I think he’ll figure it out
December 7, 2024 at 6:17 PM
I think Cole Schoenwetter is a guy that is going to take a huge step forward in 2025
The good
- 29.1 K%
- 48.7 GB%
- 4 pitch mix (4SFB, SI, CV, CH)
- 20 years old
The bad
- 21.5 BB% 🤮
Obviously the command/control is an issue, but there’s a lot of clay to work with. I think he’ll figure it out
The good
- 29.1 K%
- 48.7 GB%
- 4 pitch mix (4SFB, SI, CV, CH)
- 20 years old
The bad
- 21.5 BB% 🤮
Obviously the command/control is an issue, but there’s a lot of clay to work with. I think he’ll figure it out
Maybe I’m naive, maybe it’s wishful thinking, or maybe I’m just plain dumb, but I’m willing to bet big on CES having a post-hype breakout year.
I don’t have any stats to back this up, this is strictly going off vibes.
I don’t have any stats to back this up, this is strictly going off vibes.
December 7, 2024 at 4:02 PM
Maybe I’m naive, maybe it’s wishful thinking, or maybe I’m just plain dumb, but I’m willing to bet big on CES having a post-hype breakout year.
I don’t have any stats to back this up, this is strictly going off vibes.
I don’t have any stats to back this up, this is strictly going off vibes.
Today is a great day for the Reds to trade for Brandon Lowe.
December 7, 2024 at 3:49 PM
Today is a great day for the Reds to trade for Brandon Lowe.
2022-2024
Player A
373.1 IP
14.4 K-BB%
4.36 ERA
4.53 FIP
3.1 fWAR
Player B
359 IP
14.7 K-BB%
3.31 ERA
3.79 FIP
5.3 fWAR
Player C
296.1 IP
14.3 K-BB%
4.43 ERA
4.25 FIP
3.4 fWAR
Player D
444 IP
19.1 K-BB%
4.24 ERA
4.20 FIP
5.0 fWAR
Player A
373.1 IP
14.4 K-BB%
4.36 ERA
4.53 FIP
3.1 fWAR
Player B
359 IP
14.7 K-BB%
3.31 ERA
3.79 FIP
5.3 fWAR
Player C
296.1 IP
14.3 K-BB%
4.43 ERA
4.25 FIP
3.4 fWAR
Player D
444 IP
19.1 K-BB%
4.24 ERA
4.20 FIP
5.0 fWAR
December 5, 2024 at 8:58 PM
2022-2024
Player A
373.1 IP
14.4 K-BB%
4.36 ERA
4.53 FIP
3.1 fWAR
Player B
359 IP
14.7 K-BB%
3.31 ERA
3.79 FIP
5.3 fWAR
Player C
296.1 IP
14.3 K-BB%
4.43 ERA
4.25 FIP
3.4 fWAR
Player D
444 IP
19.1 K-BB%
4.24 ERA
4.20 FIP
5.0 fWAR
Player A
373.1 IP
14.4 K-BB%
4.36 ERA
4.53 FIP
3.1 fWAR
Player B
359 IP
14.7 K-BB%
3.31 ERA
3.79 FIP
5.3 fWAR
Player C
296.1 IP
14.3 K-BB%
4.43 ERA
4.25 FIP
3.4 fWAR
Player D
444 IP
19.1 K-BB%
4.24 ERA
4.20 FIP
5.0 fWAR
December 5, 2024 at 6:55 PM
In the lab cooking up lineups
v RHP
Friedl CF
EDLC SS
McLain 2B
Michael Conforto LF
Stephenson C
Carlos Santana 1B
CES DH
Candelario 3B
Steer/Fraley RF
v LHP
Steer LF
EDLC SS
McLain 2B
Stephenson C
Santana 1B
Candelario 3B
Fairchild/Conforto RF
CES DH
Friedl CF
v RHP
Friedl CF
EDLC SS
McLain 2B
Michael Conforto LF
Stephenson C
Carlos Santana 1B
CES DH
Candelario 3B
Steer/Fraley RF
v LHP
Steer LF
EDLC SS
McLain 2B
Stephenson C
Santana 1B
Candelario 3B
Fairchild/Conforto RF
CES DH
Friedl CF
December 4, 2024 at 4:45 PM
In the lab cooking up lineups
v RHP
Friedl CF
EDLC SS
McLain 2B
Michael Conforto LF
Stephenson C
Carlos Santana 1B
CES DH
Candelario 3B
Steer/Fraley RF
v LHP
Steer LF
EDLC SS
McLain 2B
Stephenson C
Santana 1B
Candelario 3B
Fairchild/Conforto RF
CES DH
Friedl CF
v RHP
Friedl CF
EDLC SS
McLain 2B
Michael Conforto LF
Stephenson C
Carlos Santana 1B
CES DH
Candelario 3B
Steer/Fraley RF
v LHP
Steer LF
EDLC SS
McLain 2B
Stephenson C
Santana 1B
Candelario 3B
Fairchild/Conforto RF
CES DH
Friedl CF
Maybe I’m crazy, but I still think that Emilio Pagan can be a really good RP for the Reds in 2025.
After coming off the IL (for the 2nd time) on 8/11, he pitched in 16 games, totaling:
- 17.2 IP, 25.4 K%, 5.6 BB%, 3.28 FIP
- 108 Stuff+, 111 Location+, 113 Pitching+
- best FB velo of the year
After coming off the IL (for the 2nd time) on 8/11, he pitched in 16 games, totaling:
- 17.2 IP, 25.4 K%, 5.6 BB%, 3.28 FIP
- 108 Stuff+, 111 Location+, 113 Pitching+
- best FB velo of the year
December 4, 2024 at 2:47 PM
Maybe I’m crazy, but I still think that Emilio Pagan can be a really good RP for the Reds in 2025.
After coming off the IL (for the 2nd time) on 8/11, he pitched in 16 games, totaling:
- 17.2 IP, 25.4 K%, 5.6 BB%, 3.28 FIP
- 108 Stuff+, 111 Location+, 113 Pitching+
- best FB velo of the year
After coming off the IL (for the 2nd time) on 8/11, he pitched in 16 games, totaling:
- 17.2 IP, 25.4 K%, 5.6 BB%, 3.28 FIP
- 108 Stuff+, 111 Location+, 113 Pitching+
- best FB velo of the year
👀
Morosi: Cubs, Reds among "viable candidates" to acquire Garrett Crochet.
December 4, 2024 at 1:18 PM
👀
Jesse Winker vs RHP in 2024
12.9 BB%
.258 AVG
.366 OBP
.422 SLG
.788 OPS
124 wRC+
Here’s how he would’ve ranked among the 14 Reds with 100+ PA vs RHP last year in those categories:
1st
5th
1st
5th
2nd
2nd
12.9 BB%
.258 AVG
.366 OBP
.422 SLG
.788 OPS
124 wRC+
Here’s how he would’ve ranked among the 14 Reds with 100+ PA vs RHP last year in those categories:
1st
5th
1st
5th
2nd
2nd
December 3, 2024 at 1:30 AM
Jesse Winker vs RHP in 2024
12.9 BB%
.258 AVG
.366 OBP
.422 SLG
.788 OPS
124 wRC+
Here’s how he would’ve ranked among the 14 Reds with 100+ PA vs RHP last year in those categories:
1st
5th
1st
5th
2nd
2nd
12.9 BB%
.258 AVG
.366 OBP
.422 SLG
.788 OPS
124 wRC+
Here’s how he would’ve ranked among the 14 Reds with 100+ PA vs RHP last year in those categories:
1st
5th
1st
5th
2nd
2nd
Reposted
Zach Maxwell is going to turn heads next season out of the Reds bullpen with his electric fastball and nasty cutter
The command will likely
hold him back, but he will be an extremely fun pitcher to watch
The command will likely
hold him back, but he will be an extremely fun pitcher to watch
December 2, 2024 at 9:46 PM
Zach Maxwell is going to turn heads next season out of the Reds bullpen with his electric fastball and nasty cutter
The command will likely
hold him back, but he will be an extremely fun pitcher to watch
The command will likely
hold him back, but he will be an extremely fun pitcher to watch
Brady Singer’s predictive metrics are pretty fascinating.
Usually stats like a good K-BB% and SIERA in year 1 led to a good ERA in year 2, but Singer is the exact opposite.
2021
4.91 ERA - 4.04 FIP - 4.11 xFIP
13.3 K-BB%
4.30 SIERA
2022
3.23 ERA - 3.58 FIP - 3.30 xFIP
18.5 K-BB%
3.40 SIERA
Usually stats like a good K-BB% and SIERA in year 1 led to a good ERA in year 2, but Singer is the exact opposite.
2021
4.91 ERA - 4.04 FIP - 4.11 xFIP
13.3 K-BB%
4.30 SIERA
2022
3.23 ERA - 3.58 FIP - 3.30 xFIP
18.5 K-BB%
3.40 SIERA
December 2, 2024 at 4:38 PM
Brady Singer’s predictive metrics are pretty fascinating.
Usually stats like a good K-BB% and SIERA in year 1 led to a good ERA in year 2, but Singer is the exact opposite.
2021
4.91 ERA - 4.04 FIP - 4.11 xFIP
13.3 K-BB%
4.30 SIERA
2022
3.23 ERA - 3.58 FIP - 3.30 xFIP
18.5 K-BB%
3.40 SIERA
Usually stats like a good K-BB% and SIERA in year 1 led to a good ERA in year 2, but Singer is the exact opposite.
2021
4.91 ERA - 4.04 FIP - 4.11 xFIP
13.3 K-BB%
4.30 SIERA
2022
3.23 ERA - 3.58 FIP - 3.30 xFIP
18.5 K-BB%
3.40 SIERA
I’m sorry but if Frankie Montas (4.84 ERA, 1.4 fWAR) is getting $17M AAV on the open market then $21.05M for Nick Martinez is an absolute bargain.
December 2, 2024 at 4:02 AM
I’m sorry but if Frankie Montas (4.84 ERA, 1.4 fWAR) is getting $17M AAV on the open market then $21.05M for Nick Martinez is an absolute bargain.
Another Reds legend off the board.
After a huge season with the #Mariners' Triple-A affiliate, this versatile left-handed hitter is headed to Japan:
www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/11/npbs...
www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/11/npbs...
November 30, 2024 at 6:25 PM
Another Reds legend off the board.
If you ever get mad about the Dodgers and they’re deferred contracts, just remember that the Cincinnati Reds were paying Ken Griffey Jr as recent as……2024.
The Dodgers didn’t invent deferred contracts 🤷
The Dodgers didn’t invent deferred contracts 🤷
November 29, 2024 at 10:26 PM
If you ever get mad about the Dodgers and they’re deferred contracts, just remember that the Cincinnati Reds were paying Ken Griffey Jr as recent as……2024.
The Dodgers didn’t invent deferred contracts 🤷
The Dodgers didn’t invent deferred contracts 🤷
Spencer Steer is a conundrum that I can’t figure out
You can pencil him in for ~20HR+20SB, which is great
But he was also 19th and 20th among the 23 qualified LFers in fWAR and wRC+, respectively, in 2024, which is not great
He’s good enough to play everyday, but his ceiling is a 2ish WAR player?
You can pencil him in for ~20HR+20SB, which is great
But he was also 19th and 20th among the 23 qualified LFers in fWAR and wRC+, respectively, in 2024, which is not great
He’s good enough to play everyday, but his ceiling is a 2ish WAR player?
November 27, 2024 at 4:07 PM
Spencer Steer is a conundrum that I can’t figure out
You can pencil him in for ~20HR+20SB, which is great
But he was also 19th and 20th among the 23 qualified LFers in fWAR and wRC+, respectively, in 2024, which is not great
He’s good enough to play everyday, but his ceiling is a 2ish WAR player?
You can pencil him in for ~20HR+20SB, which is great
But he was also 19th and 20th among the 23 qualified LFers in fWAR and wRC+, respectively, in 2024, which is not great
He’s good enough to play everyday, but his ceiling is a 2ish WAR player?
Reposted
Are the Dodgers ruining baseball with their spending?
Quick reminder on what the Yankees were doing 15-20 years ago:
Quick reminder on what the Yankees were doing 15-20 years ago:
November 27, 2024 at 9:55 AM
Are the Dodgers ruining baseball with their spending?
Quick reminder on what the Yankees were doing 15-20 years ago:
Quick reminder on what the Yankees were doing 15-20 years ago:
Red
Michael Conforto's avgEV, Barrel%, Contact%, & PullFB% were all better than his career averages in 2024. And he's a career .804 OPS, 120 OPS+ hitter. One of the most underrated free agents this offseason.
November 26, 2024 at 10:32 PM
Red
I think Carlos Santana could be a sneaky name to watch in FA.
He’ll be 39, but he’s off a 23 HR, 114 wRC+, 3.0 fWAR year and is known to be a great clubhouse guy.
Also a lot of familiarity with Tito
He’ll be 39, but he’s off a 23 HR, 114 wRC+, 3.0 fWAR year and is known to be a great clubhouse guy.
Also a lot of familiarity with Tito
November 25, 2024 at 3:27 PM
I think Carlos Santana could be a sneaky name to watch in FA.
He’ll be 39, but he’s off a 23 HR, 114 wRC+, 3.0 fWAR year and is known to be a great clubhouse guy.
Also a lot of familiarity with Tito
He’ll be 39, but he’s off a 23 HR, 114 wRC+, 3.0 fWAR year and is known to be a great clubhouse guy.
Also a lot of familiarity with Tito
Would you rather pay Nick Martinez $21.05M for one year, or Yusei Kikuchi $21M a year for three years?
Both entering their age 34 season and coming off 3.5 fWAR seasons in 2024
Both entering their age 34 season and coming off 3.5 fWAR seasons in 2024
November 25, 2024 at 1:56 PM
Would you rather pay Nick Martinez $21.05M for one year, or Yusei Kikuchi $21M a year for three years?
Both entering their age 34 season and coming off 3.5 fWAR seasons in 2024
Both entering their age 34 season and coming off 3.5 fWAR seasons in 2024
My first underdog best ball of the offseason.
I think my outfield is pretty weak, but happy with how the pitchers and IF rounded out.
I think my outfield is pretty weak, but happy with how the pitchers and IF rounded out.
November 25, 2024 at 1:33 AM
My first underdog best ball of the offseason.
I think my outfield is pretty weak, but happy with how the pitchers and IF rounded out.
I think my outfield is pretty weak, but happy with how the pitchers and IF rounded out.
Possibly hot take?
If Noelvi Marte is on the Opening Day roster the Reds are in big trouble.
He showed no sign of being a capable big leaguer in 2024 and has shown no sign of being a capable big leaguer in winter ball.
I haven’t given up all hope completely, but the panic button has been pressed.
If Noelvi Marte is on the Opening Day roster the Reds are in big trouble.
He showed no sign of being a capable big leaguer in 2024 and has shown no sign of being a capable big leaguer in winter ball.
I haven’t given up all hope completely, but the panic button has been pressed.
November 24, 2024 at 5:08 PM
Possibly hot take?
If Noelvi Marte is on the Opening Day roster the Reds are in big trouble.
He showed no sign of being a capable big leaguer in 2024 and has shown no sign of being a capable big leaguer in winter ball.
I haven’t given up all hope completely, but the panic button has been pressed.
If Noelvi Marte is on the Opening Day roster the Reds are in big trouble.
He showed no sign of being a capable big leaguer in 2024 and has shown no sign of being a capable big leaguer in winter ball.
I haven’t given up all hope completely, but the panic button has been pressed.
I’d love to see the Reds make a run at Brandon Lowe.
Health is always a concern for him (missed ~60 games in 2023 and 2024), but you can also pencil him in for 20+ HR.
I think a power lefty bat has been missing from the Reds lineup and Lowe could fill that need.
Health is always a concern for him (missed ~60 games in 2023 and 2024), but you can also pencil him in for 20+ HR.
I think a power lefty bat has been missing from the Reds lineup and Lowe could fill that need.
November 23, 2024 at 6:20 PM
I’d love to see the Reds make a run at Brandon Lowe.
Health is always a concern for him (missed ~60 games in 2023 and 2024), but you can also pencil him in for 20+ HR.
I think a power lefty bat has been missing from the Reds lineup and Lowe could fill that need.
Health is always a concern for him (missed ~60 games in 2023 and 2024), but you can also pencil him in for 20+ HR.
I think a power lefty bat has been missing from the Reds lineup and Lowe could fill that need.
One concern with Singer is that he struggled mightily vs lefties last year (.291/.367/.488)
I wonder if he could be a guy that could benefit from an offseason in the Fernando Cruz School of Splitters
I wonder if he could be a guy that could benefit from an offseason in the Fernando Cruz School of Splitters
November 23, 2024 at 1:32 PM
One concern with Singer is that he struggled mightily vs lefties last year (.291/.367/.488)
I wonder if he could be a guy that could benefit from an offseason in the Fernando Cruz School of Splitters
I wonder if he could be a guy that could benefit from an offseason in the Fernando Cruz School of Splitters
Red
Michael Conforto is a great under-the-radar bat this offseason. Here are his xwOBAcon and 90th% bat speeds by month:
Apr: .370 (78.3)
May: .442 (77.1)
Jun: .386 (77.0)
Jul: .322 (77.9)
Aug: .520 (79.8)
Sep: .499 (80.6)
Had a 137 wRC+ in those final two months.
Apr: .370 (78.3)
May: .442 (77.1)
Jun: .386 (77.0)
Jul: .322 (77.9)
Aug: .520 (79.8)
Sep: .499 (80.6)
Had a 137 wRC+ in those final two months.
November 23, 2024 at 1:24 PM
Red